Reporting coming out that the recent (within couple hours) explosions in Tehran weren't airstrikes but car bombs.
Where is Iranian Counter Intel!?!?!?!
Reporting coming out that the recent (within couple hours) explosions in Tehran weren't airstrikes but car bombs.
Any such attempt would cause per-emptive nuclear strike by Israel most likely. Its too late now for Iran to build the bomb.Iran can make a nuclear bomb in two weeks, they ahve enought HEU for 6 bomb, and they have liquid fuel BM with 2200 kg throw capacity.
Little Boy weight is 4400 kg, with current technology it could be expected in less than 2000 kg. Needed 60 kg or less 80% average U235, Iran has 400+kg 60%, means few more trip in the centrifuge cascade will do it in few weeks.
Design simple, doesn't require testing, carrier available.
If people here consider a flooding pipe strategic damage. I don't what to say.
Where is Iranian Counter Intel!?!?!?!
On point. People fail to realize just how large Iran is. And how small Israel is. They for some reason believe that Tehran IS Iran, but that’s not even close to being true.Ratios:
population of Iran is 8.5 times bigger than Israel
Area of iran is 80 times bigger than Israel.
the non Negev desert , livable area of Israel is smaller than Beijing city.
View attachment 154535
Kyiv Oblast in Ukraine bigger than Israel.
500 missile/shahed per days means 10 hit per square km, including negev
The whole USA+NATO MIC can make 500 patriot missile/year .
By the Patriot battery attack in downtown Tel Aviv required 12 missile to intercept one warhead from the three, the leftover managed to destroy the radar.
Means Iran need to launch one missile in every third day to keep empty the USA SAM inventory. They had 3000 interceptor left, after the last few days most likell 2000-2500 on stock .
even Russia can spare more interceptor per year than the USA can make.
And now China or Russia can loan few mobile defence if needed, but most likelly Iran has enoguth spare capacity , need only reorganisation.
Iran can make a nuclear bomb in two weeks, they ahve enought HEU for 6 bomb, and they have liquid fuel BM with 2200 kg throw capacity.
Little Boy weight is 4400 kg, with current technology it could be expected in less than 2000 kg. Needed 60 kg or less 80% average U235, Iran has 400+kg 60%, means few more trip in the centrifuge cascade will do it in few weeks.
Design simple, doesn't require testing, carrier available.
Only chance that Israel had is to collaps IRan on first day, by decapating the leadership, and by conducting PR strikes, like attack oil storage next to highways, making and sharing videos, and creating an atomsphere of defeat to trigger a quick collapse of Iran.
Approx. the same strategy followed in 2022 against Russia.
If Iran can't strike back in 24hrs, then they succed.
Iran strike back. Israel lost. Can't win the war of atrition against Iran. And if USA jumps in the China/Russia could be expected to do the same, because they done't want Iranian bomb.
It’s the same reaction as when Ukraine destroys any small thing in Russia. I’m afraid people just don’t understand scale when it comes to war.If people here consider a flooding pipe strategic damage. I don't what to say.
Israel may very well be going through the same right now, but we’ll never know thanks to the media blackout they put in place.Iran really became a playground for mossad. Seems like they are free to experiment with creative ways for sabotages .. sigh
Agree in everything except this part. The only chance the Iran has is damaging Israel economic infrastructure to the point that force Western powers to peace deal. To damage military target, Iranian missiles are not very accurate to do meaningful damage. Iran doesn't have a decent air force. They best defense is deception using decoys to make Israel to wasted munitions and hit their economic infrastructure as hard as they can. Intel fabs are pretty nice target for example.