J-35A fighter (PLAAF) + FC-31 thread

MiraiAAA

Just Hatched
Registered Member
In addition to the F-15E/EX, the U.S. military has hundreds of F-16s and F/A-18s with excellent multi-role capabilities as well, but the J-16 is one of the few multi-role aircraft in the PLAAF.
中国目前已拥有超过400架歼-16,而美国目前拥有的F-15EX只有十几架。美国空军目前计划采购的F-15EX约为104架,另有219架F-15E正在服役,总计只有343架第四代半炸弹卡车。没有人说中国空军在引进歼-35A后会立即退役歼-16,我们只是说,如果可以把更多产能投入到歼-35A上,继续生产歼-16毫无意义。歼-16很可能还会在未来一二十年里作为低强度冲突中的廉价炸弹卡车和电子战装备的舰载机服役。
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
My guess is that the unit cost of J-35A will be closer to J-20A than J-10C. As J-20A/J-20S approaches 100 units per year before J-36 reaches production, only export orders can help maintain J-35A production scale. After J-36 and J50 reach production, there is not much room for J-35A, for it is not a good candidate for low end compliment or royal wingman. Anyway, no matter how you cut it, J-35A will not replace J10 as homeland defense. Beyond 2030, 1000 J-20 and 1000 J-16 plus UAV will be sufficient to compliment J-36 and J-50.
J-50 will probably be produced in much greater volume than J-36 and will probably use J-35 production space. J-35A will also share most of its production line with the naval J-35. Also pretty sure J-16 is never hitting 1000. Production should already be winding down today. The J-16 is a very good strike fighter but is just not very survivable going into the future.

Rather than high vs low logic I think people should start shifting their thinking towards what an optimal stealth fighter fleet size is for China going into the future and how to get to those numbers in a reasonable timeframe for the chronological window where the PLA anticipates the highest threat for high intensity conflict. If say you want to hit 1200 stealth fighters by 2030 assuming there are roughly 300 J-20 today you’d have to get production up to ~200 a year*. Putting that all on CAC when SAC can also pitch in with the production capacity it set up for the naval J-35 that’s otherwise going to be slow run while it’s waiting on carriers to complete assembly would be a pretty poor use of present available resources. It’s not like CAC line expansion happens overnight. CAC isn’t a magical stealth fighter fairy that can just wave its wand and double production with no lead time. Insofar as part of any production expansion ramp up is constrained by skilled technicians and line workers, why would you wait on CAC when SAC has spare capital that would just be idling without a project? Using the resources you have on hand is actually always far more efficient in practice than assigning wunderkind status to one of your suppliers and expecting them to carry everything.

Furthermore for all the talk of CCAs as fleet number fillers, realistically we don’t know where CCA development is and you are not planning your next five years of your primary force procurement around unproven capabilities with immature employment doctrine.

*And no, I do not think 1200 by 2030 is an absurd number. Yes there are also training bottlenecks but insofar as people want to talk about accelerating readiness it’s better to have your equipment first so that you can begin meaningful training earlier.
 

ACuriousPLAFan

Brigadier
Registered Member
The reality is

The reality is that you're refusing to acknowledge reality.

the J-35A doesn't really offer anything more than the J-20.

So you've decided to throw everything that not just myself, but @Blitzo and all others have already clarified and explained not just in this instance, but also in many of the previous pages in this thread out of the window and declares "Muh, I don't see sh1t with what the J-35A could bring to the table"? Really?

It's more geared toward A2G? Based on what exactly?

I didn't say that the J-35A is more geared towards A2G. I said that the J-35A is more of balanced with A2A-A2G (compared to the majorly A2A-focused J-20), with a slight tilt towards the former (relative to the F-35A/B/C).

One the topic of A2G capability - In fact, the J-35A is expected to have an IWB that is deeper for greater portions of its length than the J-20's IWB, alongside a 360-degree IRST EOTS (compared to the 240-degree IRST EOTS on the J-20), among other features.

WhatsApp Image 2025-05-25 at 10.12.51_ac629c76.jpg WhatsApp Image 2025-05-25 at 10.12.52_53994c4b.jpg
WhatsApp Image 2025-05-25 at 10.12.52_89289101.jpg

Plus, go back and have a read on what the CCTV reporting mentioned. Also, you need to brush up your comprehension skills.

The only advantage it can possibly add is cost, but due to its medium sized 2 engine design and likely much smaller production run compared to the J-20 it's hard to see it costing much less, unless it's subsidized by exports.

You have been basing your entire logic of reasoning and argument in this thread on that bolded sentence, which is based on mere assumptions, projections based on false historical analyses and "what I feel like", which is plain wrong to begin with.



And while we're at it (not just directed at you) - I would recommend everyone who can understand Chinese to go have a good look at this video to understand about the J-35A and why the PLAAF wants to procure it:

【为什么海军空军都需要歼35?歼35未来要做什么?硬核解析【珠海航展特别节目】】
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bsdnf

Junior Member
Registered Member
I think the Guancha trio has already mentioned the Air Force's reasons for procuring the J-35A: it's cheaper relative to the J-20 and J-35, and it is able for increased production. They need the J-35A to counter the F-35's numerical advantage

CAC, especially the J-20 production line, is said to have been working on an unofficial 7-day schedule for a long time, 996 is like a vacation. Yankee claims that more than two people have died last year due to overwork or illness. Their sacrifices are not taken for granted, and it is inhumane to push them to increase production capacity. Transferring the J-10 production to Guizhou will reduce the burden on personnel, but don't expect them increase production capacity.
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tphuang

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
I think the Guancha trio has already mentioned the Air Force's reasons for procuring the J-35A: it's cheaper relative to the J-20 and J-35, and it is able for increased production. They need the J-35A to counter the F-35's numerical advantage

CAC, especially the J-20 production line, is said to have been working on an unofficial 7-day schedule for a long time, 996 is like a vacation. Yankee claims that more than two people have died last year due to overwork or illness. Their sacrifices are not taken for granted, and it is inhumane to push them to increase production capacity. Transferring the J-10 production to Guizhou will reduce the burden on personnel, but don't expect them increase production capacity.
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I am not a fan of using last year’s production rate for j20 to extrapolate future production since factories are expanding and work force will increase. There are many reasons for and against procurement of J35A, but J20 program production limit isn’t one you can use longer term since production capacity can always be expanded.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
I am not a fan of using last year’s production rate for j20 to extrapolate future production since factories are expanding and work force will increase. There are many reasons for and against procurement of J35A, but J20 program production limit isn’t one you can use longer term since production capacity can always be expanded.
It’s more a question of short term cadence than long term capacity. Suspect that the Air Force has decided to hit a certain number by a certain time window which will require a certain cadence.
 

Phead128

Captain
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
So expand the ceiling. I don't know why you think that would be harder than building never-before-built production lines at SAC for the J-35A, not to mention doing the same for a myriad of new suppliers.
Sure, expanding the ceiling sounds simple on paper, but losing SAC’s production talent over time isn’t just a gap, it’s a generational break. Retraining or rebuilding that capacity is harder than setting up new lines with a fresh workforce and suppliers. That’s part of why spreading production across multiple primes, while expensive, ends up being the more resilient approach in the long run. SAC can’t retain its talent just doing exports and low-rate PLAN work. And realistically, we should expect heavy attrition of (naval) J-35s in any serious Pacific conflict—having parallel J-35A production means replacements can (significantly) come faster, and that kind of redundancy isn’t just nice to have, it’s essential.
 

TK3600

Major
Registered Member
This isn't just numbers.

J-20 is limited to external data feed and radar working in SAR mode when it comes to attacking ground targets.
If its EOTS is indeed LWIR, it won't come very useful even for positive human id.

J-20 is very much a "not a pound for air to ground" kind of aircraft.
I.e. in most situations, when you're doing strike, you're risking piloted aircraft for a glorified truck work.

They developed their own variant, though.
"Subsidy" could've been done with just a j-35.
F-35 has its own variants too. Doesn't mean each variant cannot subsidize each other.
 
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