055 DDG Large Destroyer Thread

[Yvrch]

hmm i thought that's what I was saying LOL.. individual chances on a singular event has no bearing on the cumulative total probability.

Well if that's what you're saying, then you are still not understanding it. Individual chance on a singular event DOES have bearing on the cumulative statistical chance (just not on other individual chances). If the coin toss/missile Pk is .50 to get heads/hit or tails/miss, then the cumulative probability of 5 tails/misses out of 5 attempts is only 3.125% chance. If the coin is weighted to favor heads or the missile Pk is higher, say 0.7, then the cumulative probability of 5 tails/misses out of 5 attempts drops to only 0.243% chance.

A decision tree, or a probability tree.
It has an order, like in permutation. When you add up the final probability of each branch, you would get 1.
What Iron Man said is true. What kwaigonegin was saying doesn't even involve an order, like in combination.

 

[by78]

Latest satellite photos on the two units under construction at Dalian.

 

[kriss]

Latest satellite photos on the two units under construction at Dalian.

That seems have enough definition. Can we get a shot on the other 055 from whatever site this is from?

 

[asif iqbal]

DL is doing a lot of work

Few years ago it was a rumour that they would join JNCX in the DDG programme

Now they have 2 x giant CG under construction

 

[Jeff Head]

DL is doing a lot of work

Few years ago it was a rumour that they would join JNCX in the DDG programme

Now they have 2 x giant CG under construction

Yes...building both Type 052D and Type 055.

The PLAN's naval shipbuilding capabilities are pretty phenomenal.

It is simply amazing what they have accomplished in the last 10+ years.

 

[Blitzo]

That seems have enough definition. Can we get a shot on the other 055 from whatever site this is from?

Terraserver does not image the whole world regularly or anything. They've had some fairly regular images of DL over the last year or so but their images of JNCX has been fairly inconsistent and poor quality.

 

[SpicySichuan]

Latest satellite photos on the two units under construction at Dalian.

Can we possibly get an estimation of the rear VLS number?

 

[Blitzo]

Can we possibly get an estimation of the rear VLS number?

No.

The ships are in too early a state of construction to know how big the rear VLS "hole" will be.


Our best hope for getting a rear VLS number in the near future is a clear satellite picture of the first 055 at JNCX, or by a picture taken by someone on the ground.
I wouldn't be surprised if it takes a few months until we get that visual confirmation, if not half a year or more.

 

[jobjed]

Our best hope for getting a rear VLS number in the near future is a clear satellite picture of the first 055 at JNCX, or by a picture taken by someone on the ground.

Orrrrrr @Iron Man gets a nice overhead shot of it on his way to Shanghai.

Here's hoping.

 

[Iron Man]

Orrrrrr @Iron Man gets a nice overhead shot of it on his way to Shanghai.

Here's hoping.

Or on my way out. Failing both, there are potentially other means. Either way, it will be much sooner than half a year.