Trade War with China

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cyan1320

Junior Member
The United States International Trade Commission (USITC) announced on Monday that it is to end an antitrust case, also known as a Section 337 investigation, against Chinese steel companies.
The USITC stated that the US steel producers who brought the case failed to prove they had suffered antitrust damages and are therefore unable to file an antitrust complain

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cyan1320

Junior Member
The way trade is calculated is actually outdated in a world with global supply chains.

Inside any “Made in China” phone, you’ll find all manner of processors, circuits and parts from South Korea, Taiwan, Japan and elsewhere -- even the U.S. Yet, according to official trade statistics, the entire value of the phone counts as an import from China.

"Huge" Trade Deficits Are Smaller Than You Think
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taxiya

Brigadier
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A very informative article from Japan Times. It breaks down the value of making the iPhone X as follow
Take a look at the iPhone X. IHS Markit estimates its components cost a total of $370.25. Of that, $110 goes to Samsung Electronics in South Korea for supplying displays. Another $44.45 goes to Japan’s Toshiba and South Korea’s SK Hynix for memory chips.

Other suppliers from Taiwan, the United States and Europe also take their portion, while assembly, done by contract manufacturers in China like Foxconn, represents only an estimated 3 to 6 percent of the manufacturing cost.

This situation is true to many "made in China" Foreign brands, not only Apple.

Imposing custom duties of 25% on these imports is imposing same 25% on South Korea, Japan, European and US domestic companies. All these countries will be hurt before Apple moves the final assembly line from China (if it can find a place with the same supply chain and infrastructure). Even if Apple moves this plant back to US, the fact of importing most of the components from South Korea, Japan, Taiwan and Europe does not change. The US will only take back the 3 to 6 percent value from China, note the 3/6 does not include the value created in California already today.

So, it looks like TRUMP is shooting China with a bullet (3-6%) and blast South Korea, Taiwan and Europe with a nuke. Maybe this is why China is pretty calm on this "trade war" this time. Perhaps China expects other countries to be equally or more concerned of Trump's punishing China.
 
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taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
Let's wait to this weekend to see "if Trump will exempt EU for steel and aluminum". EU is the 2nd largest exporter to US after Canada. Mexico is the 3rd. Canada and Mexico are already exempted, with EU exempted, Trump's "punishment" would become an empty threat.

It is possible that EU has given in some concession in exchange for exemption, that could be counted as a win by Trump (renegotiation for better deal). But it is equally possible that EU's list of retaliation convinced Trump to exempt EU for its "compliance". Either way, Trump can claim a win and fulfillment of his election promise, nobody knows if there is any meaningful change.
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
Let's wait to this weekend to see "if Trump will exempt EU for steel and aluminum". EU is the 2nd largest exporter to US after Canada. Mexico is the 3rd. Canada and Mexico are already exempted, with EU exempted, Trump's "punishment" would become an empty threat.

It is possible that EU has given in some concession in exchange for exemption, that could be counted as a win by Trump (renegotiation for better deal). But it is equally possible that EU's list of retaliation convinced Trump to exempt EU for its "compliance". Either way, Trump can claim a win and fulfillment of his election promise, nobody knows if there is any meaningful change.
He did exempt the EU.
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now I read
Trump signs tariffs memorandum against China despite strong warnings
Xinhua 2018-03-23 03:09:15
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Despite strong warnings from business groups and trade experts, U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday signed a memorandum that could impose tariffs on up to 60 billion U.S. dollars of imports from China, the latest unilateral move that poses a threat to global trade.

Trump has directed U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer to publish a list of proposed Chinese goods that could be subject to tariffs in 15 days, while the U.S. Treasury Department will have 60 days to propose restrictions on Chinese investment in the United States, according to the presidential memorandum.

The tariffs "could be about 60 billion" dollars, Trump said Thursday at the White House before signing the memorandum. But a senior White House official told reporters earlier in the day that the number would be close to 50 billion dollars.

The memorandum comes after strong warnings from Chinese and U.S. business groups in recent weeks.

China will "take all necessary measures" to defend its rights and interests, an official with the Ministry of Commerce said Thursday, responding to media reports that Washington will soon release results of a Section 301 investigation against China.

"China has made clear its position several times that it stands firmly against such unilateral and trade protectionist practices from the U.S. side," the official said.

In a letter to Trump on Sunday, 45 U.S. trade associations, representing retail, technology, agriculture and other consumer-product industries, urged the administration not to move forward its tariff plan on Chinese imports, as it would hurt U.S. consumers and companies.

A group of 25 major U.S. retail companies, including Walmart, Costco and Best Buy, also warned on Monday that any additional broad-based tariff would worsen U.S. inequity and "punish American working families" with higher prices on household basics like clothing, shoes and electronics.
 

N00813

Junior Member
Registered Member
The early response:

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"China announced plans for reciprocal tariffs on $3 billion of imports from the U.S., including products from steel to pork, after President Donald Trump’s move to order levies on a range of Chinese goods sent markets plunging.

In a statement Friday, hours after Trump instructed U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer to slap tariffs on at least $50 billion in Chinese imports, China’s Commerce Ministry said it plans a 25 percent tariff on U.S. pork imports and recycled aluminum, and 15 percent tariffs on American steel pipes, fruit and wine.

China will also pursue legal action against the U.S. at the World Trade Organization, the statement said, and called for dialogue to resolve the dispute."
 

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
I'm watching the news post-tariff announcement and there are all these TV anti-China hawks during Obama era especially on trade coming out attacking Peter Navarro, many of whom were TV colleagues of his then, for tariffs on China. Navarro was spinning the stock plunge that apparently the Trump Administration didn't see coming. Navarro spun it as an opportunity to buy cheap stocks. Also they're claiming there's no trade war unless China retaliates so the trade war would be China's fault. Yes wife abusers have the same mentality. If she would just do what he wanted, then she wouldn't be abused so it's her fault.
 
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