The World's 4th, 4.5 & 5th Generation Fighters

Ambivalent

Junior Member
Re: The World's 4th,4.5 & 5th Generation Fighters

Hell, the US military can't even get their hands on all the data for it's weapons. The manufacturers claim major design features are "proprietary" and so far the DoD hasn't tried to press the issue in court. For the most part, the DoD is a slave to the manufacturers when it comes time to overhaul or repair their aircraft because the manufacturers hold all the data rights and ask hundreds of millions of dollars to sell the data rights and level three drawings to the DoD. Without these the DoD cannot farm overhaul work out to the military depots where the work can usually be accomplished for lest cost than using the OEM.
The data rights issue is a major complaint in the now famous Ashton Carter memo from late last year.
If the Lockheed-Martins and Raytheons of the world won't give the US DoD data rights and technical drawing packages for the weapons we buy, you can bet they won't offer them to the Japanese either.
 

kwaigonegin

Colonel
Re: J-20... The New Generation Fighter II

Yes, I agree with you. It might not be the technical knowhow that keep Japan from developing their own heavy fighters... However I don't think it is the cost of setting up the necessary production lines that keep them from developing their own fighters.

In my opinion, it was more a political choice, international pressure and also US influences that keep Japan from developing her own fighters. However with China flying her first J-20, it would be interesting what the Japanese would do. Maybe their F-X or own stealth fighter program will go on full swing now.

Does anyone know if Japan's constitution prohibits the country from exporting advance weaponry? Hell half the world drive Japanese cars what's preventing them from staring their own "military industrial complex"? We all know they have the knowledge and technology to make them just the lack of will.
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
Re: J-20... The New Generation Fighter II

Does anyone know if Japan's constitution prohibits the country from exporting advance weaponry? Hell half the world drive Japanese cars what's preventing them from staring their own "military industrial complex"? We all know they have the knowledge and technology to make them just the lack of will.

As far as I know Japan constitution still prohibit Japan the exporting of lethal weapon. Building car is one thing but building defense industry is much more difficult. Japan is self sufficient in ground armament but Aerospace is different matter.

Lately they can't even built zero defect car
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heck when is the last time Japan produce a whiz bang product maybe Walkman. They completely missed the PC and internet and the handphone revolution

Gas turbine is the most difficult to manufacture There is only small number of country that can idependently developed Gas turbine because of extreme temperature on the first stage turbine blade. Just see how China struggle with developing single crystal turbine blade. I posted the article on the struggle of Chinese metalurgy in developing single crystal turbine blade.
It took them 30 years to prove beyond doubt that their technology is reliable

Without indigeneous Gas Turbine you can kiss goodbye in developing domestic Aerospace industry. Not that they didn't try before back in 1989 Japan want to deveoped FSX fighter but due unavailability of domestic Gas Turbine they have to rely of the like of GE and Pratt and Whitney essentialy giving veto power to US Senate and Congress by witholding the licence export Here is what wiki has to say

The FSX
Mitsubishi F-2Over 25 % of the ¥18.4 trillion Mid-Term Defense Estimate for FY 1986 through FY 1990 was allocated for equipment procurement, most of it domestically produced; but the most lucrative defense contract was for the FSX. Envisioned as a successor to the F-1 support fighter in the ASDF inventory, the FSX was expected to take ten years to develop at an estimated cost of ¥200 billion. In October 1985, the Defense Agency began considering three development options for the FSX: domestic development, adoption of an existing domestic model, or adoption of a foreign model. The agency originally favored domestic development. But by late 1986, after consultation and much pressure from the United States, it decided to consider a coproduction agreement with the United States. And in October 1987, Japanese and United States defense officials meeting in Washington decided on a joint project to remodel either the F-15 or the F-16. The Defense Agency selected the F-16.

Once the agreement was reached, it came under heavy criticism from members of the United States Congress concerned about loss of key United States technologies and technological leadership, risks of Japanese commercialization of technology at United States expense, and an insufficient share in the project for United States-based firms. As a result of the controversy, in early 1989 the United States demanded and obtained a review and revision of the agreement, restricting technology transfer and specifying that United States-based firms would receive 40 % of the work. The controversy left bitterness on both sides, and Japanese industrialists, convinced that a Japanese-designed and Japanese-developed FSX would be superior to a modified F-16 codeveloped by Japan and the United States, were irritated at United States pressure to renegotiate They considered the agreement already favorable to the United States. Japanese industrialists and defense planners seem to be inclined to be self sufficient with respect to future weapons research.

The FSX was never built, instead, the Japanese side decided to forgo cooperation with the Americans and develop a successor to the F-16 completely on their own. The result was the Mitsubishi F-2, entering service in 2001 finally. The Japanese aerospace industry is successful, also planning to launch a new Mitsubishi airplane.

Because of small production run it cost almost 4X the original F 16 and have structural problem eventually they end the production

The F-2 program was controversial, because the unit cost, which includes development costs, is roughly four times that of a Block 50/52 F-16, which does not include development costs. Inclusion of development costs distorts the incremental unit cost (this happens with most modern military aircraft), though even at the planned procurement levels, the price per aircraft was somewhat high. The initial plan of 141 F-2s would have reduced the unit cost by up to US$ 10 million per unit, not including reduced cost from mass production. As of 2008, 94 aircraft were planned.[1] Also controversial is the amounts claimed to be paid to American side as various licensing fees, although making use of the pre-existing technology was much cheaper than trying to develop it from scratch.

The Japanese may eventually make up to 94, at a cost of roughly US$ 110 million each in 2004 dollars. Much of the F-16 technology used in the F-2 was the subject of some political debate in the U.S. and Japan in the early 1990s. The technology transfers were authorized however, and the project proceeded.

The F-2's maiden flight was on 7 October 1995. Later that year, the Japanese government approved an order for 141 (but that was soon cut to 130), to enter service by 1999; structural problems resulted in service entry being delayed until 2000. Because of issues with cost-efficiency, orders for the aircraft were curtailed to 98 in 2004.

On 31 October 2007, an F-2B crashed during takeoff and subsequently caught fire at Nagoya Airfield in central Japan. The jet was being taken up on a test flight by Mitsubishi employees, after major maintenance and before being delivered to the JSDF. Both test pilots survived the incident with only minor injuries.[5] It was eventually determined that improper wiring caused the crash

So much for the much vaunted "Japanese technology prowess"
 
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Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
^ That's a bit harsh, there are delays in almost all fighter programs these days.
 

Spartan95

Junior Member
Re: J-20... The New Generation Fighter II

This actually has given the US a chance to sell their F-35s to Japan but in fact the Japanese want F-22s due to its proven operational status. Selling F-35s to Japan is unstablising the Japanese economic as each F-35 costs as much as US$100million, so US proposed 40x F-35 is US$4000million, which is roughly Japanese Yen 329900. See the amount? Astronomical...

US$100 million for an F-35 isn't all that expensive. Japan has been paying US$127 million for each F-2 that Mitsubishi Heavy Industries has been producing in Japan.

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Also, consider that the more expensive F-2 is a 4th gen aircraft, while the F-35 is a 5th gen aircraft that costs less.
 

Spartan95

Junior Member
Re: J-20... The New Generation Fighter II

Does anyone know if Japan's constitution prohibits the country from exporting advance weaponry? Hell half the world drive Japanese cars what's preventing them from staring their own "military industrial complex"? We all know they have the knowledge and technology to make them just the lack of will.

Apparently their constitution does indeed ban export of weapons. But this allegedly is a self-imposed ban and not because the US arm twisted them into it.

And the Japanese have their own military industrial complex. They produce all their own military hardware (including license production of foreign designs, such as the F-15Js). And quite a bit of the hardware they produce are their own designs (MBT, ships and subs mainly).
 

Ambivalent

Junior Member
Re: J-20... The New Generation Fighter II

Well, their MBT-90 is pretty much an expensive Leopard II. Kraus-Maffei Wegmann was heavily involved in designing it for Japan. Their combat ships use standard USN naval architecture. Go in one, it is like being in a 7/8 scale USN warship. Same light fixtures, same water tight doors and hatches, same battle lanterns, same damage control gear, same sound powered phones, often the weapons are USN standard too. Same "X-Ray", "Yoke" and "Zebra" markings for material condition (defines how tightly the ship is sealed for peacetime steaming of general quarters). Heck, even the data plates are embossed in both Japanese and English! You could almost put an American crew on one, and except for grinding their scalps on the low overheads, and having to scrub their uniforms in a big basin on a washboard ( ! ) they would feel at home.
 

Ambivalent

Junior Member
Re: J-20... The New Generation Fighter II

Average Procurement Unit Cost is calculated the same for any weapon. RDT&E costs are not included in these, unless you a member of the press with an axe to grind looking for a way to make a weapons appear more costly than it is.
This is from the Defense Acquisition University:
"Average Procurement Unit Cost (APUC) is calculated by dividing total procurement cost by the number of articles to be procured. Total procurement cost includes flyaway, rollaway, sailaway cost (that is, recurring and nonrecurring costs associated with production of the item such as hardware/software, Systems Engineering (SE), engineering changes and warranties) plus the costs of procuring Technical Data (TD), training, support equipment, and initial spares.

Scroll down to the diagram to see how the costs roll up. RDT&E, Research, Development, Test and Evaluation costs are not rolled up into Procurement Average Unit Cost.

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The press plays games with these definitions to make weapons systems look more or less expensive depending on which side of the game they are on. They can quote a "procurement cost", but that includes support equipment and initial spares, to make a weapon seem more costly, or simply quote the flyaway cost, which is prime mission equipment, the basic airplane or weapon and nothing else if their point is to show the item is not so costly. If someone really wants to inflate the apparent price, they quote "Program Acquisition Cost" which includes Procurement Costs, but also includes development costs and "Milcon", military construction, meaning any new facilities built to support the new item. Now we're talking real money! This is how the press manipulates honest data to make their argument. Most laymen are blithely unaware of how this game is played and react with outrage at the size of the Program Acquisition Cost number, particularly when someone in the press divides this cost by the number of aircraft or weapons and call it the "average cost".
But be certain, the terms themselves are as carefully and narrowly defined as any accounting term.

Where it gets sloppy is estimating procurement costs in the future. Find out what a learning curve is. The difference in cost for an airplane or weapon over a ten year production run will change by many hundreds of millions of dollars depending on what slope of the learning curve you, um, "estimate" (estimate: a guess made by an expert). A two percent change in the learning curve makes a huge difference in what an aircraft or weapon is expected to cost over the production run.
I like to say I use a decimal point to show I have a sense of humor. There is huge political pressure to keep cost estimates low so weapons programs will be approved and funded, and the learning curve is a subject of heated discussions due to it's impact on the cost estimate.
 

Asymptote

Banned Idiot
Re: The World's 4th,4.5 & 5th Generation Fighters

Actually, it will reach operational status for the conventional take-off version 4-6 years before the J-20.

Overall, the F-35 program completed 321 test flights last year, and is working toward a total of 394 test flight for 2010. There are already 19 aircraft flying.

13 USAF F-35As. First production aircraft for the F-35A (CTOL) for the Air Force is projected for next year.

4 US Marine F-35B VTOL models are already flying, and they expect to get first operational aircraft by 2016.

2 US Navy F-35C CATOBAR aircraft are already flying. They expect operational aircraft to be delivered in the 4th quarter of 2014.

A contract for a total of 31 more aircraft was recently completed. This calles for:

10 more US Airforce aircraft.
16 more US Marine aircraft.
4 more US Navy aircraft.
1 STOVL aircraft of the UK Royal Navy.

That will make a total of fifty aircraft flying.

With US Airforce in service capability next year, that means a good 4-6 years of full production experience with the aircraft before it is expected the first J-20 will go into production. By then, the US Navy will also have had the aircraft in production for 2-4 years, and the US Marines for 1-3 years with the VTOL version. At that point, hundreds of aircraft will be flying with several different countries.

See:

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Is that from the Tom Clancy H.A.W.X. game or Flight Simulator X?
 
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BAJRANGBAL

New Member
The Indian Fifth Generation Fighter Aircraft model at Aero India 2011


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