An article featured in Proceedings magazine, published by the US Naval Institute. Basically the author is saying that in order for China to have a grand anniversary ceremony in 2049, it needs to have conquered Taiwan by military means by 2030, and that such a military conflict is inevitable. But that theory is full of holes. Just to name a few. Even after 2030, China's economy and military capabilities will likely still be on an upwards ramp up, due to the time lag in converting China's larger economy into a stock of advanced weapons. And if China aims to be a hi-tech, content middle-class nation by 2049, isn't that the ultimate expression of the rejuvenation of the Chinese people, rather than military conquest? After this, I can understand why the author was "retired" from his post in the U.S. Pacific Fleet a few years ago, after a few too many public statements.