It is already Cuban crisis II .Campbell said: the US will take decisive actions if Russia goes that way. Cuba crisis II?
I agree with gelgoog that Russia and China should try to build large air and naval bases in Cuba and Venezuela first.
The USA managed to turn Russia from positive / supportive to neutral, and now in 2022 they managed to turn them to negative.
Now Russia will initiative crisises until the issue resolved in the magnitude of Cuban Missile Crisis.
They wil analyse the options, and choose the ones that gives the same level of fustration to the USA like the missile crisis.
Game theory, in Russia there is long tradition of using theroetical mathematicians for military/political maters.
This whole chain of events is designed by an university professor working in the game theory (I presume )