PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

texx1

Junior Member
There are no guarantees but Mao wasn't stupid enough to invade Taiwan when China didn't have the military capability to do so back then. At least China is in a much better position now.
Many of PVA soldiers were earmarked for the liberation of Taiwan. Many were stationed and trained in warm Fujian in 1950. It's one of the contributing reason for lacking winter clothing initially.
 

texx1

Junior Member
The red line for a war is Taiwan's declaration of independence, other so called "red lines breach" are just breach of earlier agreement between China and others on One China policy which are not serious enough to go for war.

Short of military actions, China could use many other tools like sanctioning foreign diplomats visiting Taiwan, baring business associated with them from HK, macau and mainland. It could go over EU and US businesses with a fine tooth comb for compliance with local regulations and fine them heavily for non-compliance. But I just mostly see talks.
 

Sleepyjam

Junior Member
Registered Member
Many of PVA soldiers were earmarked for the liberation of Taiwan. Many were stationed and trained in warm Fujian in 1950. It's one of the contributing reason for lacking winter clothing initially.
So you are saying China had the capability to take over Taiwan back then?
 

Sleepyjam

Junior Member
Registered Member
Short of military actions, China could use many other tools like sanctioning foreign diplomats visiting Taiwan, baring business associated with them from HK, macau and mainland. It could go over EU and US businesses with a fine tooth comb for compliance with local regulations and fine them heavily for non-compliance. But I just mostly see talks.
Some were definitely sanctioned like Pomeo. China has also started to sanction separatists on Taiwan. So it’s not just talk.
 

Sleepyjam

Junior Member
Registered Member
I am saying the PRC made active preparations to liberate Taiwan in the early 50s with troop concentration, amphibious training, trying to purchase transports from soviets, even forming an airborne regiment. Without Korean war, PRC might have liberated Taiwan with soviet support.
What is “might have” what are the odds. What is the extent of Soviet support and American intervention? Air, Naval, amphibious forces matchup and logistics? These require careful calculations not just bravado.
 
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texx1

Junior Member
Some were definitely sanctioned like Pomeo. China has also started to sanction separatists on Taiwan. So it’s not just talk.
That was over Xinjiang and HK. Plus, PRC sanctioned him after he's no longer in office. I am aware of the recent press release from mainland's Taiwan relation office. Three Taiwanese (苏贞昌, 游锡堃, 吴钊燮) named, they have been openly anti ccp and pro independence for a long time. I doubt any of them has business relations with mainland or HK. If CCP is serious about going after DPP, they should go after the new tide fraction (新潮流).
 

Sleepyjam

Junior Member
Registered Member
That was over Xinjiang and HK. Plus, PRC sanctioned him after he's no longer in office. I am aware of the recent press release from mainland's Taiwan relation office. Three Taiwanese (苏贞昌, 游锡堃, 吴钊燮) named, they have been openly anti ccp and pro independence for a long time. I doubt any of them has business relations with mainland or HK. If CCP is serious about going after DPP, they should go after the new tide fraction (新潮流).
Not just because of Xinjiang and HK. Being no longer in office is when it hurts. Those three have family and relatives. New tide isn't in power.
 
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ecaedus

New Member
Registered Member
And the Average Americans have a say in their foreign affairs or wars of choices that's been waged since forever? What the f..k are you smoking up making a statement you actually don't have a clue about. Make a comment that's pertinent to your country of residence and not about a country you probably never been to and if you have, you've only been there as a wild eyed tourist. Geez...what's up with these dip s...t comments.
why are you so agitated at the sight of differing perspectives and opinions? this isn't a china biased forum and we are allowed to express our "non-conforming to the party" viewpoints here. I was simply pondering the supposed reaction of a "no response" reaction from the PLA towards tw independence, I have no way of knowing if or not the PLA will strike, i can only deduct what i think the average chinese will react, if you disagree then simply disagree, calling names to my argument doesn't make yours any more valid. also, i believe despite your flared up emotional chatter, you can't say for certain whether they will or won't either.
 
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