Not Another Taiwan Thread

SampanViking

The Capitalist
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You probably think there is very little genuine military discussion left on the subject of Taiwan, certainly when it comes to avoiding political and nationalistic flaming etc.

Well you would be wrong. There is an area that has not been discussed and; given the likely nature of improving relations over the short to medium term, far more relevant than the belligerent threads which have previously been started.

If matters in Taiwan and Cross Strait Relations continue in the way that they have recently settled in to, I think that we can deduce the following that the next Taiwanese Presidential Election in 2008/09 will be a resounding victory for the KMT, based on a manifesto of normalisation, reconciliation and beginning a process of increasing co-operation with China; who by this time is likely to be the worlds second largest economy.

Such a process would be wide ranging and all encompassing and would by necessity include the military and other security related matters.

So here is the problem that I wish to pose for you.

Both the PLA and Taiwanese Military are two very different forces. How would they tackle the problem of ever closer co-operation in an increasingly joint operational and security sense.?

How would PLA deployments in the Straits theatre area be affected?

How would Taiwanese Military procurement be affected? Would the US be prepared to honour the contracts currently on hold in the LegislativeYuan?

Would the EU relax its arms ban again the PRC

How would both sides overcome both doctrinal and simple day to day operational differences in order to perform effectively together?

This is a highly likely future situation with very real problems to consider, so lets have some very properly thought out and considered responses.
 

patriot

New Member
You sure had a lot of question

EU will eventually relax its arm ban on China. The important thing is when. In the next 4 years it's not very likely since the "China Threat Theory" is getting bigger than ever. More western politician had becoming alarmed at China's rapid military modernization. Right now there are two groups in Europe. France leads the group that want to relax the ban. Britain and Germany wants to continue the ban.
 

Roger604

Senior Member
I was born in Taiwan, and I have to tell you that the DPP have done a good (or awful, depending on your perspective) job of brainwashing the population into begging to be a colony or satellite of the west.

So it will take a long time for the KMT to reverse this thinking in order for there to be greater cooperation between the mainland and Taiwan. After normalization of relations (which I think will happen after a KMT victory), there will probably be a long period of stasis where Taiwan is "re-sinified," while the mainland gets richer and richer and Taiwan doesn't go anywhere economically.

I disagree with patriot above regarding Germany. Germany is against the embargo. The western continental nations are pro-China while UK and eastern nations (like Poland) are anti-China. I think it will be lifted this year. France and Germany have an opportunity to sell military technologies to China, but since China is developing its technologies so quickly, this window of opportunity will likely all but vanish in 5 years or less.
 

patriot

New Member
I hope so that the KMT will win a victory in 2008

They had a vote on the EU embargo just a few month ago and Britain won.
 
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