Perhaps. But I don't think so. Rather, I think you are underestimating the current low in the relationship between India-China, the increased geopolitical and economic gains China stands to make (one could argue at India's expense) if its regional programs continue on course, and the planning that goes on in a countries security establishment with regard to its rivals.
Perhaps you misunderstood me, I am not saying it is beyond the Indians to risk open war to try and screw with China, what I find had to believe is that the Indians would start a fight they'd know they would loose just to score some sympathy points in the US and elsewhere.
The gains just don't come anywhere close to making the costs worthwhile.
I did not say India 'concocted' this flashpoint. China is after all building said road in the Doklam zone adjacent a non-finalized boarder with Bhutan. But India has, in my opinion, seized this as an opportunity, as I laid out previous. Its a smart move and not at all beyond the scope of Indian establishment.
Any India has been building military fortifications in disputed territory themselves.
Road building is and has always been a pathetically weak excuse for this stand off, and the deafening silence from the west regarding this issue speaks volumes.
Despite the massive bias in favour of India in all things concerning China and India, not one western official has publically supported India's actions.
If the west is unwilling to voice support for India, which would cost them nothing now, what makes you think they will be willing to endure real economic pain to help India later if and when the Chinese response militarily?
India is a sizeable and growing market and consumer base, full stop. Additionally China has a substantial trade surplus with India (somewhere on the order of $45 Billion USD), meaning conflict and economic fallout between the two would inflict greater damage on China than on India.
$45bn might be a lot for you or I, but for China, it is a trivial amount, especially when national security is concerned.
Besides, India doesn't have all that trade with China just to do China any favours. It does so because that trade massively benefits their people and economy. Thus, stopping that trade will hurt their economy just as much if not more so than China's.
To call a 'massive stretch', the prospects of the US, Japan and parts of Europe joining a sanctions regime against China resulting from a China initiated firefight to clear Indian Forces from Doklam, seems naive to me. No offense, but this is the world we live in. And I will explain:
Sanctions resulting from conflict or issues of national security are exempt from WTO challenges and rulings. It is a way for countries, particularly the NATO Block, to cause economic damage to rivals, targeting select industries where they can block market competion as a result, while leaving alone other sectors that they still need to transact with. Hence the term... Targeted Sanctions.
Russia/Crimea is a perfect example, where Russian LNG was left alone to protect European energy concerns. The same could and likely would be done towards China, helping boost domestic sectors for those countries initiating the targeted sanctions. It is an extremely logical possible objective for India in the current scenario, versus a full out war, even if limited to the boarder regions.
My conclusions are based on economic and political realities, while suggestions that the US and EU would sanction China are based purely on ideological wishful thinking, which is more naive?
Just because you are fighting a war does not mean others can put sanctions on you. Is the US under sanctions for their actions in Syria or Saudi Arabia under sanctions for Yemen?
Do you think anyone can impose sanctions on them and not face repercussions and costs? It would be the same regarding sanctions against China.
A Chinese military response to a clear prior military incursion by India over a boarder India itself has recognised does not make China the equivalent of Russia in your Crimea analogy, it makes India the Russian aggressor!
Besides, sanctions hurt both the targeted nation and the ones imposing it.
The US and EU could impose sanctions on Russia because it is economically weaker, less well interegrated to the world economy and the west has broad consensus that what it did was fundamentally wrong, so was willing and able to take the economic hit of imposing sanctions.
China is many times larger economically than Russia and a key market and supplier for the US and western economies. The costs of imposing sanctions would be many times higher than on Russia, and China would have leeway to impose counter sanctions to hit back at the west.
Add to that the fact that it is India who is clearly in the wrong here, and I just don't see the US and EU willing to risk crashing their own and world economy just to help India out of a situation they deliberately got themselves into.