Egypt recently announced they are buying wheat from India, I knew as soon as I heard it that there was no way India was going to be able to fulfil that promise.
With all that is happening in India, i don’t think it can feed itself. China will have to export grain to India to relive an upcoming famine, not that they will be grateful.
It is an excellent move to start exporting grain, it’s very hard to sanction a country that provides food to you or your friends.
Of course, China will always hold it own rice bowl firmly, but their grain production is increasing quite rapidly due to newly allowed genetic modifications to certain crops as well as their huge investments in high quality farmland and online/automated farming technologies, fertilizer production, and even the enticing possibility of vat grown starch which can free up huge tracts of grazing land for more high quality planting.
Couple this with massive, long term contracted, imports from countries like USA, Russia and Ukraine which uses up a lot of those countries available capacity to export, along with new overland routes for food imports from ASEAN and already achieved emergency food storage system and we see that China may be the country that is best positioned to increase food/grain exports over the short term.
China could soon be exporting food to those in desperate need like they do vaccines today, while America will only be able to barely feed itself while blaming China for stealing all their food production, which they are now using to garner good will around the world.