2026 Israel - Iranian conflict

They also have water shortages and power shortage in a country that exports gas.

Although I voted 'yes,' after discussing with my friends, it seems there is little reason for a second Iran-Israel war to occur in the near future.
This round of unrest in Iran is not as intense or deadly as previous ones. Netanyahu is not facing urgent legal pressure either.
If Khamenei cannot be killed directly, the new round of air raids does not seem to have the expectation of better results than 12-day war. And recent rumors have probably prompted Iran to shelter their Supreme Leader in a bunker that regular weapons cannot penetrate.

Iran's situation has been steadily declining fir a while. The most recent round of protests has a chance of escalating to something major, especially since the government has again started wholesale massacre of protesters. I hope Iranians manage to finally shrug off their terrible government and start building a country not hell-bent on burning itself on some ideological crusade at the expense of its citizens.