South China Sea Strategies for other nations (Not China)

Discussion in 'World Armed Forces' started by PanAsian, Mar 27, 2015.

  1. advill
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    advill Junior Member

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    Freedom of Navigation (FON) is essential for maritime trade, whether in the South China Sea or the Indian Ocean. The problems arise when there are frequent "military FON" by any Navy or combined forces which could be interpreted as "threatening" and "suspicious", resulting in vigorous counter-responses. Naval might or "gunboat" diplomacy are no longer effective, with equally strong military power/s. The current economic "gloom", places greater importance among nations to Economic, Trade/Business, and also security threats directed by terror activities of ISIS. The Asian extremists/volunteers are returning from Syria & Iraq, and with their experiences in unconventional warfare (including lone-wolf attacks etc.), they pose serious disruptions in all countries of Asia (Southeast Asia, East Asia and South Asia). Bi-Lateral & West-East Multi-lateral Trade/business agreements should now be top priorities. A Chinese saying: "Nothing is impossible for those who have strong will".
     
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  2. B.I.B.
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    B.I.B. Senior Member

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  3. Jura
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    Jura General

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    according to USNI News Trump Showing Signs of Changing U.S. Security Relationships in Asia
    source: https://news.usni.org/2016/12/04/trump-showing-signs-changing-u-s-security-relationships-asia
     
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  4. Jeff Head
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    Jeff Head General
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    000-Burke-SAG-01.jpg

    This group is a strong group...and you can almost bet dollars to doughnuts that at least one Virginia Class SSN was with them somewhere in the vicinity.

    As I have said manty times in the past.

    FON is something the Chinese are not going to be able to stp short of warfare.

    But just the same, FON is not going to stop what the Chinese are doing with the islands they are constructing in the SCS.

    Both sides will continue. Neither sides wants or needs to "fight" over these actions. Oh, they may (and will) make nosie about them. But both nations are too economically dependent on one another to justify any warfare over this.

    If people wil just keep their cool, these actions (FON exercises by the west in the SCS, and a much strnger presence on strong bases built on Reclamation Islands by the Chinese) will become the norm in the area, and that can all happen without the need for, or any justification for combat over it.

    @Blackstone @Obi Wan Russell @Brumby @SouthernSky @bd popeye @Air Force Brat
     
  5. joshuatree
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    joshuatree Captain

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    Progression of Vietnamese reclamation on Spratly Island.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
  6. joshuatree
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    joshuatree Captain

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    Looks like hangars are being built on Spratly.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
  7. Jura
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    Jura General

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    now I read A NATO to Contain China? Key US Commander Doesn’t See it
    source is DefenseNews http://www.defensenews.com/articles/a-nato-to-contain-china-pacom-head-doesnt-see-it
     
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  8. shen
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    shen Senior Member

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  9. Jeff Head
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    Jeff Head General
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    They would be foolish to do so as would China.

    Short of armed conflict...you are not going to stop them...just as short of armed conflict the US is not going to stop the PRC from improving its islands, shoals, and reefs in the SCS.

    Both sides will continue and it will be the new norm...but Chinese possessions and ability to influence the area will gain more strength than the US FON patrols exert.

    No...unless something extraordinarily foolish goes on...I do not expect either side to challenge the other with any real, combative measures.
     
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  10. Jeff Head
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    Jeff Head General
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    Decent progress by the Vietnamese...but rather small and paltry compared to what the PRC has accomplished.
     
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