Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

broadsword

Brigadier
According to a Harvard epidemiologist the coronavirus has an estimated R0 of 3.8 which puts it at pandemic level.

Harvard epidemiologist says coronavirus is "thermonuclear pandemic level bad"
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For those who wish to understand the science and maths behind the measurement of contagious infections and historical levels.
What Is R0?: Gauging Contagious Infections


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For comparison:

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ZeEa5KPul

Colonel
Registered Member
According to a Harvard epidemiologist the coronavirus has an estimated R0 of 3.8 which puts it at pandemic level.

Harvard epidemiologist says coronavirus is "thermonuclear pandemic level bad"
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For those who wish to understand the science and maths behind the measurement of contagious infections and historical levels.
What Is R0?: Gauging Contagious Infections


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Harvard epidemiologists are publishing research papers on Twitter these days? With four graphs and a "HOLY MOTHER OF GOD", no less. Srs bzns. I don't know who this Feigl-Ding is; is he the cheap knockoff Dr. Oz?

I wouldn't indulge in too much schadenfreude if I were you, the "thermonuclear pandemic" has come around to your neck of the woods:
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Enjoy.:)
 

SampanViking

The Capitalist
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
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OMG - the last time I looked a few days ago, there was only a handful of posts in this thread - now "THERE ARE HUNDREDS" this thread is spreading rapidly, out of control and now I see that I have been caught up in it as well!!...... I'M DOOMED!!

PS I also have wondered what a "Chinese Virus" is - does it mean that it responds to a firm telling off in Mandarin?
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
OMG - the last time I looked a few days ago, there was only a handful of posts in this thread - now "THERE ARE HUNDREDS" this thread is spreading rapidly, out of control and now I see that I have been caught up in it as well!!...... I'M DOOMED!!

PS I also have wondered what a "Chinese Virus" is - does it mean that it responds to a firm telling off in Mandarin?

To be fair, a few days ago this thread wasn't created yet. It was only separated into its own thread yesterday.


There definitely is no need for people to panic, but I think an appropriate level of public health awareness and appropriate vigilance should be exercised by everyone.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
According to a Harvard epidemiologist the coronavirus has an estimated R0 of 3.8 which puts it at pandemic level.

Harvard epidemiologist says coronavirus is "thermonuclear pandemic level bad"
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


For those who wish to understand the science and maths behind the measurement of contagious infections and historical levels.
What Is R0?: Gauging Contagious Infections


Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Nope, his commentary (if you can call it that -- hysteria is a better word for it) was already shut down by other epidemiologists and virologists on Twitter for missing essential context and being needlessly dramatic.
His follower count has benefited significantly from his tweet chain however.
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A useful tweet that has a much more accurate and level headed take on the numbers:
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Also, the study that he was citing had already updated its R0 score to 2.5 based on newer data.



This is an evolving epidemiological picture, and we are still at the early stages of knowing the extent and lethality of this virus.
People like Dr Feigl-Ding who know that they have some level of public exposure and may generate public "trust" from their positions, should know how important it is to report on things calmly and accurately without unnecessary flourish that might generate panic --- which in turn has the potential to generate harm.
 

localizer

Colonel
Registered Member
Nope, his commentary (if you can call it that -- hysteria is a better word for it) was already shut down by other epidemiologists and virologists on Twitter for missing essential context and being needlessly dramatic.
His follower count has benefited significantly from his tweet chain however.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


A useful tweet that has a much more accurate and level headed take on the numbers:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!



Also, the study that he was citing had already updated its R0 score to 2.5 based on newer data.



This is an evolving epidemiological picture, and we are still at the early stages of knowing the extent and lethality of this virus.
People like Dr Feigl-Ding who know that they have some level of public exposure and may generate public "trust" from their positions, should know how important it is to report on things calmly and accurately without unnecessary flourish that might generate panic --- which in turn has the potential to generate harm.


He tried running for congressional office.

That tells you something about his goals nowadays.
 

adiru

Junior Member
Registered Member
Do not engage in unsubstantiated rumours please.
 
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