Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

solarz

Brigadier
Some purported insider experience circulating on WeChat:

我妈我姐我爸都感染了,我姐好了90%,我爸好了80%,妈妈严重点,但是医院收不了,妈妈血氧饱和度91,说明肺部功能健康,只是有感染,60左右的人会留在医院的急诊室躺床上吸氧,有个八十岁的老爹爹就是55,在吸氧,我们在医院从早到晚泡了两天了,人山人海,都是患者和家属,我估计感染的人超过100万,但是不是很可怕,体质好的人可以抗过去,本身就有基础病的人就会挂,医生建议我们回家隔离治疗,买个血氧饱和度检测仪,买个家庭制氧机,多吃蔬菜水果,增加抵抗力,我妈还有高血压喝糖尿病,医生说,高血压和糖尿病的药照吃,做好防护和隔离,不要到医院再输液了,避免交叉感染,我们两天以来,挂号之后需要等三个小时看医生,开好药之后,需要等三个小时输液,昨天早上八点出门,十点多才打完吊针回家,今天早一点,只输液,也搞到六点多回家,有人死亡,我亲眼所见,气氛很恐怖,但不是那么可怕

医生护士很少,医生说,他们本院自己的医生确诊了,都没有床位住,护士说,很多护士辞职了,她还没辞职,请大家不要苛求,找人找关系都没用,患者太多了,我们是为了确诊不是这个病才带妈妈去医院的,确诊后我们都很惊讶,这个病有的不发烧,就感染肺,我妈就不发烧,体温36度,所以应该会有更多的人感染了,没有到医院去,这就是封城的原因,量体温没用

政府说的话有对有错,传言也是有对有错,没有检测试剂,太多的人,不可能都用试剂,医生说试剂没有到,连他们的副院长都感染了,都是用CT确诊

现状非常惨烈,估计全国都逃不过去,年纪大的人一定一定一定要待在家里!!!哪里都一样!!已经扩散出去了!!!!!

但不会轻易挂,除非是自己有基础病,医生首先问基础病,高血压,糖尿病,心脏病,肝病,慢性胃病等等,再看基础数据,像我妈这样基础数据还行的人都建议回家吃药,不打针,因为没有特效药,只能增加抵抗力,丙红蛋白是增加抵抗力的,重症监护室的患者会用上,外面买不到了

这个病有一个共同的特征,我见过所有的患者都在说一个共同点,就是不管发烧不发烧,晚上睡觉骨头冷,冷彻心底,一个二十出头的小姑娘说,她这辈子从来没有这么冷过

Machine translation by WeChat:

My mother, my sister, my father were infected, my sister was 90 better, my father was 80 better, my mother was serious, but the hospital could not accept, my mothers oxygen saturation was 91,this shows that the lung function is healthy, but there is infection, about 60 people will stay in the hospital emergency room bed oxygen, there is an 80-year-old father is 55,during oxygen inhalation, we spent two days in the hospital from morning to night, with a sea of people, both patients and family members, and i estimate that more than 1 million people were infected.However, it is not very terrible, people with good physique can resist the past, people with basic diseases will hang up, the doctor suggested that we go home for isolation treatment,buy a blood oxygen saturation detector, buy a home oxygen machine, eat more fruits and vegetables, increase resistance, my mother has high blood pressure and diabetes,the doctor said : take medicine for hypertension and diabetes, do a good job of protection and isolation, and do not go to the hospital for further infusions to avoid cross-infection.In the past two days, we have to wait three hours to see a doctor after registration and three hours for an infusion after the medicine is prescribed.It was scary, but not so scary.

There are very few doctors and nurses, and the doctors said that their own doctors in this hospital have been diagnosed and there are no beds to live in.After the diagnosis, we were all surprised that some of the patients did not have a fever, they contracted the lung, and my mother did not have a fever, her temperature was 36 degrees, so there should be more people infected.

There are both right and wrongs in what the government says, and there are both right and wrongs in the rumors. There is no test reagent, too many people, it is impossible to use reagents, the doctor said the reagent did not arrive, even their vice president are infected, are diagnosed with CT

The current situation is very tragic, it is estimated that the whole country can not escape the past, the old people must be at home!!! Its the same everywhere! Its already spreading!

But not easy to hang, unless you have a basic disease, the doctor first asked the basic disease, High blood pressure, diabetes, heart disease, liver disease, chronic stomach disease and so on, and then look at the basic data, like my mothers basic data are good people are recommended to go home to take medicine, No injection, because there is no specific drug, can only increase resistance, HCv protein is to increase resistance, ICU patients will use, outside can not buy.

The disease has one thing in common. Ive seen all my patients talk about one thing in common. No matter whether she had a fever or not, her bones were cold at night, and a little girl in her early twenties said she had never been so cold in her life.
 

adiru

Junior Member
Registered Member
My mother, my sister, and my father are all infected. My sister is 90% better, my father is 80% better, my mother is more serious, but the hospital ca n’t accept it, and my mother ’s blood oxygen saturation is 91. People around 60 will stay in the hospital emergency room to inhale oxygen. There is an 80-year-old father who is 55. In the oxygen inhalation, we have been in the hospital for two days from morning to night. Family members, I estimate that the number of infected people is more than 1 million, but it is not terrible. People with good constitution can resist the past. People with underlying diseases will hang up. The doctor suggested that we go home for isolation and treatment and buy a blood oxygen saturation test. Instrument, buy a home oxygen generator, eat more fruits and vegetables, increase resistance, my mother still has high blood pressure to drink diabetes, the doctor said, take high blood pressure and diabetes medicine, take protection and isolation, do not go to the hospital to infusion Now, to avoid cross-infection, we have to wait three hours after seeing the doctor after registering. After the medicine is prescribed, we need to wait three hours for the infusion. Earlier, just lose Also got six more to go home, someone died, I have seen, the atmosphere is terrible, but not so terrible
There are very few doctors and nurses. The doctors say that their own doctors have confirmed the diagnosis and they have no beds. The nurses said that many nurses have resigned and she has not resigned. Please do n’t be demanding. It ’s useless to find people and relationships. More, we took my mother to the hospital to confirm that the disease was not the disease. After the diagnosis, we were surprised. Some of the diseases did not have a fever, they infected the lungs, my mother did not have a fever, the temperature was 36 degrees, so there should be Many people became infected and did n’t go to the hospital. This is why they closed the city.
What the government says is right or wrong, and rumors are right or wrong. There are no test reagents. Too many people cannot use the reagents. The doctor said that the reagents did not arrive and even their deputy directors were infected. They all used CT. Confirmed diagnosis
The current situation is very tragic. It is estimated that the whole country cannot escape. Older people must stay at home! !! !! Everywhere is the same! !! It has spread out! !! !! !! !!
But it ’s not easy to hang unless you have a basic disease. The doctor first asks about basic disease, hypertension, diabetes, heart disease, liver disease, chronic stomach disease, etc. Then look at the basic data. Anyone like my mother who has basic data is OK It is recommended to go home to take medicine without injections, because there is no specific medicine, it can only increase resistance. Alanin is used to increase resistance. Patients in the intensive care unit will use it.
This disease has a common feature. I have seen all patients talking about one thing in common, that is, no matter whether they have a fever or not, their bones are cold at night and cold, and a young girl in her early twenties said that she has never been in her life. So cold
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Some purported insider experience circulating on WeChat:

.


I would be very cautious regarding unverified "insider" claims as to what the situation is; and in particular if it is from patients themselves who may not have a good understanding of the medical terminology and overall medical process.
For example, a patient's own estimate of the total number of people that may be infected is not really useful.



A good example of a WeChat piece is this:

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


Using machine translation (cause it's a long piece), it provides some good medical advice.


Seeing so much news online, as a surgeon at Union Hospital. I really talk about my views

My feeling is that the current illness is one point, and the panic is ten.

In addition, all kinds of rumors are flying around, and I have to open rumors on WeChat more than 20 times a day. At the same time, there must be problems in the organization and distribution of supplies. Many front-line comrades work almost under physiological limits.


So please calm down a bit now, please listen to me.




First of all, if you have a fever, it doesn't mean you are a SARI infection. Of course, it is also possible that you will not be able to make a diagnosis for quite a long time.



Think about it, do you go to the hospital for every fever in your life?


Definitely not! I absolutely don't believe who will be. As long as he has a fever, he will come to our Concord to see a doctor. Such people are definitely a minority.


Then this SARI and the last SARS has a big area do is this: simply means that the symptoms of the disease is relatively light!

Then all the problems are caused by this matter, because it is very light, so everyone did not pay much attention to it in the beginning. If SARS progresses very quickly to respiratory failure, I believe the diagnosis will be much simpler. Because you know very well if something went wrong.


But also because it is relatively light, don't panic too much!


01
The condition itself

Not much to say, let me talk about the condition itself.


A patient I personally contacted, I also performed an operation on her. She didn't feel anything, she just had a fever. In addition, her daughter accompanied her every day. After diagnosis, she turned to Jinyin Lake and told us that her daughter would return to the hospital to be discharged. She still had nothing in the isolation ward, she had a fever.


I can't say that this patient can represent everything. After all, some people died as a result, but I would like to say that one of the characteristics of this SARI is that it does not necessarily have a particularly serious fatality rate and is very low.

Even if you get it, it won't necessarily happen, you may only need the most basic treatment. If the current number of beds, medical kits, etc. are adequately supplied, then of course all suspected and confirmed mild cases are welcome to come to hospital.


But now the problem is this!


At present, due to various reasons, the production capacity of government organizations or manufacturers is limited for various reasons. Now all aspects of resources are seriously inadequate. At this time, if you have a fever and want to come to the hospital,

You will find that you measure your body temperature. There are a hundred people in line in front of you . Check the blood to see the number of lymphocytes and the number of white blood cells. You have a CT to see if the lungs have ground-glass changes. Hundreds of people ...



You will be emotionally upset while waiting. You will see people around you as irritable as you

You will see that some people are impatient, some people are going to jump in line, some people are going to be bullshit, some people are even fighting with health care

All this will aggravate your anxiety and anxiety

The most terrible is

You are may actually end up becoming infected! !! !! !! !!

You are may actually end up becoming infected! !! !! !! !!

You are may actually end up becoming infected! !! !! !! !!

Understand? ? ? ?

02
Don't panic!

Does anyone want to ask me not to come? ? I have to come when I get sick ~~~ Even if I'm in line ~


Please lords listen to me



First of all, this season was originally the onset season of various flus, and it was originally the high-risk season for the elderly, not only respiratory diseases but also various cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases.


This time, especially in Wuhan this winter, where it was cold and dying but there was no central heating. Please follow my thoughts and think about it


Increased body temperature does not mean that you must be sick (physical reasons may also cause changes in body temperature.

Being sick does n’t mean you have pneumonia (there are countless illnesses that can cause you to have a fever)

Pneumonia does not mean viral pneumonia (there are many pneumonias with bacterial infections)

Viral pneumonia does not mean SARI (ordinary infections are common)

SARI does not mean that you must go to the hospital immediately! !! !! !! (Mild infection, healthy patients may be able to heal)


Everyone think about it. Where do you go now? ? ?


Do you really have a fever? How many degrees does it burn?

Have you checked your blood? What about lymphocytes? Is there an increase in white blood cells?

Did you do a lung CT? What is the performance of the lung window? ?

Have you checked the five items of pneumonia virus?

Are Mycoplasma Chlamydia Syncytial Virus Adenoviruses Excluded? ? ?


I think everyone filters according to this standard. A considerable part of the patients go to the hospital to queue up without need, irritability, roar, mania. For a considerable part of the patients, this is completely frightening themselves.


I know very well what is the situation in China's outpatient clinic. A bunch of people surround you. Before you finish talking to A, B will come in and interject.

Then C loudly rebuked you for not showing him? By the way also bring two sentences of curse and the like.


This is just normal. Under the current situation of everyone's self-danger, you can imagine what kind of physical and psychological pressure doctors and nurses at the front line work under. Even if they do n’t eat, drink, sleep or go to the toilet, one minute of non-stop blood sampling and CT do n’t make it possible to digest so many patients, and the patients in the back row will take a long time. The emotions that can't wait can be found in these patients who are already extremely tired.


The problem is that these front-line medical staff are exactly the hardest. They are the victims of this epidemic, as well as these helpless patients. Even they may suffer more, so I saw a doctor and nurse crash and cry I understand and sympathize with them very, very. This is also one of the motivations for why I wrote this thing ~~~~~~
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Part II:


03
Don't believe in rumors

Don't be scared by the death figures.
As a doctor, one day I don't see the death to the patient!

Every day in Wuhan, drunk driving, fighting, car accidents, domestic violence, drinking and drinking pancreatitis, putting fireworks to your eyes!

God, you just need to stay in the emergency department for a few days! Absolutely one million different ways to die. As doctors, we can only try our best not to let everyone not jump in line until the end of Yangshou.

However, it is a natural law that old people die, and those who die due to SARI are mainly the elderly, especially those with underlying diseases. They are indeed poorly immune to the virus and cannot survive the SARI attack.


But to be honest, even common flu can cause many deaths every year, and even viral myocarditis caused by flu often causes young people to die. Think of Mr. Ju Fazu, when he went out to the toilet and fell down, he left us forever


Don't be scared by the daily death numbers! !! !! !! !! !! This is the law of nature.

Even if it ’s not this SARI, there will be other diseases.

The reason you panic is because what Wuhan hasn't announced before is the daily deaths from car accidents, daily digestive tract bleeding deaths, daily deep vein thrombosis deaths ...



You will find that the mortality rate of SARI is really not high, even compared to other cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases that humans are exposed to (acute myocardial infarction, abdominal aortic aneurysm, aortic dissection, pulmonary embolism ...)

SARI's death is low.



So I really call on everyone now

If you are not uncomfortable, just rest at home honestly, brush up some seeds, do n’t believe in rumors

So much news online I tell you clearly that I believe in the government!

or

The information that I personally learned, such as what I saw with my own eyes, and what I heard with my own ears, was not because I was a little pink or Wu Mao, because it was what I heard, unless I saw it with my own eyes.

The official news is that the cost of trial and error is currently the lowest. Can everyone understand what I mean?

You believe other news may be even more unreliable. I am not saying that all unofficial news is rumor. But a lot of news is not what you think!


Many people have watched this video: You saw a person suddenly fall and then be taken away by someone wearing a gown. This kind of headless and tailless news can't explain any problems!



If someone really falls down suddenly, I think he should first consider the cardiovascular and cerebrovascular accident rather than the respiratory system. But the message that the production team and disseminators of the video want to convey really wants to tell everyone how terrible the current epidemic is. Although this is purely an inexplicable video to our professionals!


In the previous two days, some hospitals announced some atypical initial manifestations of SARI, including those of the digestive tract. After I read the thoughts at the time, the communicator was right, but this undoubtedly made the ordinary people, who were already astonished, more panic!





In this extraordinary period, people are surrounded by anxiety. All they can do is to constantly swipe their mobile phones, and to absorb the latest consultations from various sources without discrimination , so that the emotions of anxiety, doubt, anger, deception, anxiety, etc. are superimposed on each other. Amplification, which is medically called negative feedback .


I don't want to explain what negative feedback is, I just want you to think about it calmly. What is appetite, nausea, vomiting, poor appetite for diarrhea, this is the manifestation of countless diseases. There are only a few people in the middle who are really unfortunate to have SARI for those who start to feel upset and diarrhea as soon as they see this news. EXM, have you never had a diarrhea in your life? ? ?

If all the diarrhea, nausea and fever people come to the hospital to see a doctor, even if doctors across the country come to support, they can't finish it!




Everyone must believe that when you see a WeChat and a circle of friends. Nervousness and anxiety are planted in your heart. But the virus will never fly through your phone screen to infect you. So being vigilant does not mean despair!


In addition, you may also see a lot of videos of patients' collapse and despair and even medical staff's collapse. I fully believe in their true feelings and the pressure they have nowhere to release!

However, my personal feelings will not affect my judgment of the entire disease, that is, SARI is not a disease that is dead when there is no medicine, nor a disease that is 100% contagious when it is encountered. This is a controllable and preventable disease!


Although I completely think that the current organization is indeed a bit chaotic, all the communicators have intentionally or unintentionally aggravated the panic and the status quo has become even more uncontrollable. This is a vicious circle composed of frightened blindness and hysterical emotions!


Everyone must step out of this cycle and stop panic! Be alert!


The lesson for the citizens of Wuhan this time is that when the medical profession appealed to the outside world, everyone didn't care much. Use Wuhan's unique or cynical attitude unique to Hankou's team.


Now that the city has been closed, it has gone to the other extreme, with all kinds of rumors flying. I will not list them one by one. Because there are really countless, all kinds of panic treatments.


04
Some knowledge

Now please stop panic treatment

Listen to me.

If you have a fever but below 38 degrees

Look at the table below to determine if you are a mild patient
oUrq9Ky.png


There is also a history of contact in Wuhan. I have either been to Wuhan, lived in Wuhan, or have been in contact with friends from Wuhan.

Please observe at home first. Sleep in different bedrooms with your family. The living room should be ventilated. Wash your hands frequently at home (500mg / L chlorine-containing disinfectant), even if you wear a mask at home!


For details, please refer to the following home isolation guide.


Bg15SKZ.png





If you really have more than 38 degrees consecutive days and have other symptoms.For example , fever, respiratory symptoms such as cough, shortness of breath, or diarrhea, go to the hospital immediately.


However, please fully protect your hands. It is best to use alcohol-based disinfectants to wash your hands frequently. When driving private cars, the vehicles must also be disinfected.

details as follows:




CmOqEKC.png



Please take care of our medical staff

Just like taking care of yourself

Even if their attitude is not as good as you think

Please try to understand

Because the intensity and stress now make it impossible for everyone to keep smiling

Only before the physiological limit arrives

Do as much basic work as possible


Prepare for a long queue

Ready to drink

Don't care about other people's unreasonable

Line up as quietly as possible

Quiet queue to draw blood

Quiet line up for CT

Quietly line up for throat swabs, etc.


I didn't ask you to wait.

Nor did the government intentionally ask you to wait

Is this sudden illness



Under this sky

Everyone is a victim.


05
Write at the end

Finally, we must believe that the SARI virus is not a G virus. Everyone will not become a zombie, as long as it is not a zombie. Everyone must keep reason and calm and think about the problem with their heads. (Some people should spit to the doctors and tear the nurse's isolation gown to the same thing? I wonder if they have got any other virus and become zombies.)


To believe that Wuhan is not a raccoon city, the final result here is that we defeated the virus, not that the virus defeated us or that a nuclear bomb gave us the nation's people. There is no need to abandon us, and so many overseas compatriots are supporting us!

s9l47Wc.png


PiVrKOU.png


Whether it is one month, two months, or half a year, the epidemic always has one day, and summer in Wuhan always comes early and waits for the weather to warm.

The weather cleared and the epidemic dissipated. Everyone will relax and come out to visit the appointments as usual.

Continue to live here with the lessons and experiences we once had.



because

Wuhan

This is our own city

Hubei is where we were born and grown up in, and even buried in,

We live and work here

We have children here

We are here



Even if the world abandons us

We will not give up on ourselves! !! !! !!

Encourage with the kings! !! !! !! !! !!

Wuhan Union Medical College Doctor S

January 25, 2020 12:05
 

obj 705A

Junior Member
Registered Member
how difficult it would be for them to impose a curfew? just impose a total round the clock curfew, 24/7 for several weeks, the PLA would deliver food & other necisities to all family members, doctors will go to houses of suspected cases by themselves.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
how difficult it would be for them to impose a curfew? just impose a total round the clock curfew, 24/7 for several weeks, the PLA would deliver food & other necisities to all family members, doctors will go to houses of suspected cases by themselves.

Imposing the current level of quarantine with the current populace/geography (which is progressively expanding in scope it seems) is already unprecedented historically in scale, and whose actual effectiveness will be unknown to science because there's been nothing like it in modern history.

What you're talking about is a multiple levels higher and would require multiple magnitudes more health resources and logistical resources.
At the population level they are talking about, it's impractical and likely impossible as well.
 

solarz

Brigadier
I would be very cautious regarding unverified "insider" claims as to what the situation is; and in particular if it is from patients themselves who may not have a good understanding of the medical terminology and overall medical process.
For example, a patient's own estimate of the total number of people that may be infected is not really useful.

I think at this point, it's safe to say that the number of infections are far higher than the number of confirmed cases. We've seen people from Wuhan going to other countries and falling ill from the virus. Basic probability tells us that a significant portion of the city is likely infected.

That is both good news and bad news. The bad news is that the infection is a lot more widespread than the numbers indicate, but the good news is that the death rate is also a lot lower.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
I think at this point, it's safe to say that the number of infections are far higher than the number of confirmed cases. We've seen people from Wuhan going to other countries and falling ill from the virus. Basic probability tells us that a significant portion of the city is likely infected.

That is both good news and bad news. The bad news is that the infection is a lot more widespread than the numbers indicate, but the good news is that the death rate is also a lot lower.

I think it is very likely (guaranteed, actually) that there are more people infected than currently diagnosed, simply because some will be asymptomatic, and also because resources are probably strained, and the tests are probably not keeping up with demand.

BUT that doesn't mean we should take the impressions of a supposed patient's estimate of how many people may have the disease based on their own anecdotes.
We can come to the conclusion that the number of infected individuals is greater than currently diagnosed through our own logic.

Spreading around number estimates without some kind of serious analysis to back it up -- from a source that may or may not even be a patient in the first place -- IMO is potentially not good at this stage.
 
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