Occupy Central...News, Photos & Videos ONLY!!

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solarz

Brigadier
And yet the richest countries in the world (based on per capita) remain democracies. Maybe one day China could get to that sort of wealth, but it doesn't mean we'll be poorer.

You mean nations like Qatar, Brunei, Singapore, and the UAE?


Eh? That wasn't being "anti-Beijing", that was fear of what Chinese rule would bring. Besides, don't you think that the ones who left would be the most opposed to change, hence those that stayed behind more willing to give China the benefit of the doubt?

Okay, what? If that's not anti-Beijing, then what is?

And you do realize that those people were free to return to HK? Which is what they did when they realized that Vancouver had no jobs.


Care to name a few?

Is that the best response you can come up with? Seriously?


If you pre-approve all candidates, you can also veto any you don't like.

No, because if Beijing vetoes an elected candidate, it will have to explain to the people of HK why their choice is not acceptable. The political ramifications of that would be enormous.


Let's look at the results shall we? According to the 2011 election for the election committee, there were 852 seats for the pro-Beijing camp and 173 seats for the pro-democracy camp.

Now compare that with say the popular vote in the 2012 legislative elections where the pro-democracy group got just over 56% of the vote.

If the election committee is such a fair system, why does the pro-Beijing group disproportionately do better than when there's an open vote?

Are you serious here? Your first example is a first-past-the-post system while your second example is about popular votes. Two completely different systems about two completely different groups of people. It's like asking why Obama got re-elected but lost both the House and the Senate.

More importantly, your separation of "pro-Beijing" and "pro-democracy" is utterly artificial. There is nothing that says people who voted for a "pro-Beijing" committee candidate wouldn't vote for a "pro-democracy" legislator.


Is that the best you can come up with? Occupy doesn't speak for all of Hong Kong. There have been different methods proposed. Please explain why all of them are a bad idea.

Again, I refer you to the Basic Law. Read it.

The current proposed amendment were drafted based on years of consultation. The amendment clearly states that in case the people of HK do not want this amendment, they can fall back to the existing election process, and a new consultation process will occur with the aim of drafting a new proposal.

That is the due process. Beijing cannot and does not have to debate every single counter-proposal raised by the public.
 

Mr T

Senior Member
if they want an open selection then it is effectively de facto independence

Why? Beijing retains control of defence and foreign policy, not to mention that it controls the borders, energy supplies, etc.

In other words, any HK leader must be subservient to the central government.

If Hong Kong is to thrive, it needs someone who is willing to champion the city's interests and, if necessary, say to Beijing "your policy is hurting my city, you need to change it". 90% of the time you can get a mutually beneficial agreement, but sometimes you have to be willing to have an argument.

If Beijing can't handle that it should just appoint a governor and do away with the Chief Executive position. At least then it would be honest about the sort of government it wants Hong Kong to have.

The same goes for seeking an overthrow of the CCP

I don't know how a more inclusive nomination system is going to lead to the fall of the CCP. It's a bit like opposing women's rights because some women are male-hating ultra-feminists.

If HK could have framed its desire for reform within the context of supporting the central government and willing to operate within its red lines then I suspect things would have been different.

If Beijing's red line is that it gets to decide who is a "suitable" candidate, then where is the room to compromise? What is Beijing willing to give ground over?

The problem is that HK was always seen as a bastion of potential subversion, for better or for worse.

Maybe Beijing could do with updating its view? Just like the anti-women view most men used to have? Or stop seeing it as a "you either love China and the Party, or you hate both" game?

Basically, if they really want open selection, there needs to be fundamental limits on the degree to which they can challenge Beijing on, i.e.: there needs to be limits.

Regarding all of the things you listed, Hong Kong either has no legal ground to do it and/or Beijing could easily stop it. Hong Kong can't declare independence just as Shanghai can't. Even Scotland needed Westminster to authorise a referendum on independence.

Similarly, Hong Kong can't stop the end of the one country, two system policy because it was written into law by the UK and China.

As for challenging CCP rule or helping anti-government movements in China, arguably the latter already happens. If either really started causing problems, Beijing could just send the troops in. Hell, it has the manpower, it could just use non-lethal force. Hong Kong doesn't have an army or even a militia.

You mean nations like Qatar, Brunei, Singapore, and the UAE?

You've listed three petro-state countries and a city-state (by the way I'll remember that you labelled Singapore an autocracy). Try again.

If that's not anti-Beijing, then what is?

Why is being scared of the unknown being "anti" anything?

Is that the best response you can come up with?

You're the one who made the assertion. Why can't you back it up with even a few examples?

No, because if Beijing vetoes an elected candidate, it will have to explain to the people of HK why their choice is not acceptable

Why does it have to tell them anything? Beijing doesn't have to answer to anyone.

There is nothing that says people who voted for a "pro-Beijing" committee candidate wouldn't vote for a "pro-democracy" legislator.

By such wildly different margins? Come on, that's not plausible.

That is the due process. Beijing cannot and does not have to debate every single counter-proposal raised by the public.

You said in your last post:

Finally, Beijing refuses to budge from its position because the alternative proposed by OC is utter nonsense.

So again, I ask you to explain why the various alternatives, not just the Occupy suggestion, are all "nonsense".
 
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Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Why? Beijing retains control of defence and foreign policy, not to mention that it controls the borders, energy supplies, etc.

Because it leaves the possibility for someone who isn't bound by limits to do something stupid.
Basically, giving them completely open selection without limits or central oversight creates the possiblity for unnecessary complications that could otherwise be avoided.


If Hong Kong is to thrive, it needs someone who is willing to champion the city's interests and, if necessary, say to Beijing "your policy is hurting my city, you need to change it". 90% of the time you can get a mutually beneficial agreement, but sometimes you have to be willing to have an argument.

I don't disagree with that, and I do believe HK should have someone looking out for the city's interests, but at the same time that leader must also be willing to understand where the red lines are and when their pushing needs to stop.

In other words, their championing of the city must not lead to subversion of the central government or independence either as a byproduct in seeking their goal or as a means of achieving their goal


If Beijing can't handle that it should just appoint a governor and do away with the Chief Executive position. At least then it would be honest about the sort of government it wants Hong Kong to have.

I don't think they're being dishonest by using the CE title. It isn't like Hong Kong is one among many colonies of China, so using a title of what the british used is obviously stupid.


I don't know how a more inclusive nomination system is going to lead to the fall of the CCP. It's a bit like opposing women's rights because some women are male-hating ultra-feminists.

I never said having a more inclusive nomination system would lead to the CCP.
I said that there are protesters and ringleaders of the movement who have said in pretty plain words that they want to overthrow the CCP as their eventual goal, along with similarly distrubing statements.


If Beijing's red line is that it gets to decide who is a "suitable" candidate, then where is the room to compromise? What is Beijing willing to give ground over?

Better to ask what is Beijing not willing to give ground over, and then see what room there is left to negotiate.


Maybe Beijing could do with updating its view? Just like the anti-women view most men used to have? Or stop seeing it as a "you either love China and the Party, or you hate both" game?

A degree of dissonance is not much of a problem, but it is the far outliers (using your analogy it would be the ultra radical feminists within the overall women's movement) that push the boundaries of the red line which are cause for concern. If those people happen to reach positions of power without oversight then it could be messy.


Regarding all of the things you listed, Hong Kong either has no legal ground to do it and/or Beijing could easily stop it. Hong Kong can't declare independence just as Shanghai can't. Even Scotland needed Westminster to authorise a referendum on independence.

Similarly, Hong Kong can't stop the end of the one country, two system policy because it was written into law by the UK and China.

Really?
They're trying awfully hard to change the Basic Law which states that the CE candidate is to be chosen by a nominating committee rather than open selection.
What makes you think they won't try to change other things once they enter power without oversight?

This is the entire point, really. Once you have a leader or elements in government who have ideas which may lead to independence and/or subversion, it will be difficult to remove them once they're already in power. Sure, it can be done, but it'll be messy and easier just to prevent them from getting there in the first place.


As for challenging CCP rule or helping anti-government movements in China, arguably the latter already happens. If either really started causing problems, Beijing could just send the troops in. Hell, it has the manpower, it could just use non-lethal force. Hong Kong doesn't have an army or even a militia.

Far easier to prevent such movements from germinating in the first place rather than try to solve it once it exists.

Really, I'm all for a more open nomination system. Sure. But there has to be oversight as well. There's a difference between having a leader willing to champion your city WRT the central government and having a leader that is going to oppose the central government on all matters and seek the change or overthrow the central government itself.
Oversight is to make sure the latter (and other similarly extremist individuals) do not have the capacity to enter positions of meaningful power
 

Zool

Junior Member
Honestly this discussion was played out on the original thread (http://www.sinodefenceforum.com/members-club-room/occupy-central-news-photos-videos-only-8-7072.html) with a lot of interesting debate from multiple perspectives.

I think the net-net was that there is a framework in place, the Basic Law, that was agreed to which establishes the processes for governance in HK. Either you follow the law and work within the system or you don't. If you don't, you are violating the law and should expect consequences just like in any other nation of laws.
 

solarz

Brigadier
Honestly this discussion was played out on the original thread (http://www.sinodefenceforum.com/members-club-room/occupy-central-news-photos-videos-only-8-7072.html) with a lot of interesting debate from multiple perspectives.

I think the net-net was that there is a framework in place, the Basic Law, that was agreed to which establishes the processes for governance in HK. Either you follow the law and work within the system or you don't. If you don't, you are violating the law and should expect consequences just like in any other nation of laws.

Agreed, there is no need to rehash it again.
 

Piotr

Banned Idiot
Arguably all of those problems are significantly linked to the political system where currently Beijing decides who gets to be HK leader and pro-Beijing businesses/interest groups get to decide on a large number of the legislators.

Arguably all of those problems are significantly linked to US government using NED to meddle in China's internal affairs and bribe politicians in China (HK is part of China).

The argument put forward by Occupy is that the only way Hong Kongese can get leaders that put the city's interests first is if they can elect them freely and directly.

US government orchestrated illegal Occupy Central protest in China to suppres freedom. US paid protesters are blocking streets and don't allow others to move freely (e.g. taxi drivers). US founded Occupy Central protest are against freedom. US has allways been against freedom, and China stands for freedom.

Having them pre-approved by Beijing isn't likely to see any change.
Having them pre-approved by US government (NED) would ruin Hong Kong. This is "change" US want.
 

xiabonan

Junior Member
What's big deal about not allowing them to go to the mainland?

Even within the mainland the government can stop anyone from going any place for any reason they deem necessary.

Even without any reason there's the Hukou, or household registry that regulates the movement of people and the kind of welfare and benefit they enjoy. For example, outsiders don't enjoy the same privileges enjoyed by a local Beijing or Shanghai citizen.

Even cars, the symbol of modern transportation and movement, are restricted by their plates. You can't simply drive into Beijing's overhead bridges from other places, especially during peak hours.

What's the big fuss about not allowing a few kids going into the mainland? If the government wants to find excuses they can find thousands of them.

But they don't even need an excuse.
 
Arguably all of those problems are significantly linked to the political system where currently Beijing decides who gets to be HK leader and pro-Beijing businesses/interest groups get to decide on a large number of the legislators. The argument put forward by Occupy is that the only way Hong Kongese can get leaders that put the city's interests first is if they can elect them freely and directly. Having them pre-approved by Beijing isn't likely to see any change.

Let me spell out the faulty or undefined assumptions in that paragraph:

1) Hong Kong businesses and interest groups are not by default "pro-Beijing", they choose to support what is beneficial to them.

2) What does "pro-Beijing" mean?

3) "Pro-Beijing" can be good for Hong Kong at the same time, why is the assumption that these conditions are mutually exclusive?

4) Occupy Central has in fact NOT spelled out how electing Hong Kong's leader without Beijing having a say will lead to any policy differences. If a leader chosen differently would behave the same or don't know what they would do if they came to power then there is either no improvement or things will likely get worse.

4b) How would a leader chosen differently put the "city's interests" first?

4c) What are the "city's interests" not being served now?

5) Beijing cannot pre-approve anyone as in they do not put forward candidates, rather they have veto power over candidates put forward by the nominating council which is made up of elected members. So Beijing does have the final say, but everyone else have had a say before Beijing does.
 

Mr T

Senior Member
Hong Kong businesses and interest groups are not by default "pro-Beijing"

I didn't say they were. Hence my use of "pro-Beijing" preceding business/interest groups.

What does "pro-Beijing" mean?

People who are likely to do what they're told by Beijing, and/or see their primary goal is to keep to Beijing happy rather than Hong Kong people.

"Pro-Beijing" can be good for Hong Kong at the same time

I didn't say that's not true. The issue is, what do you do if Beijing wants one thing but Hong Kong needs another?

Occupy Central has in fact NOT spelled out how electing Hong Kong's leader without Beijing having a say will lead to any policy differences.

Again, I didn't say they did. I said that Occupy's point was that in order to put the city's interests first, they needed to be able to elect their leader directly and freely.

How would a leader chosen differently put the "city's interests" first?

Whilst not guaranteed, it's possible he (she is unlikely right now) having been elected by the people directly, rather than owing his success to getting on a small pre-approved list through Beijing's consent, would see the local citizens as being the people he needed to seek approval from. Much like mayors in most democratic countries are cheerleaders for their cities trying to get concessions from the national government, rather than cheerleaders for the national government trying to get their citizens to accept the national government's agenda.

What are the "city's interests" not being served now?

Are you saying you actually don't know? You think all of Hong Kong's needs are being adequately served and there are no significant problems?

Beijing cannot pre-approve anyone as in they do not put forward candidates, rather they have veto power over candidates put forward by the nominating council which is made up of elected members.

It's the nominating committee itself that is arguably Beijing's veto/pre-approval system because the majority of the members appear to be pro-Beijing and accordingly only pro-Beijing candidates will get enough votes to be nominated.

+++

Anyway, I had a feeling last night some members didn't want to cover this ground again. Does this mean that actually people do want old arguments rehashed?
 

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
These pro-democracy activists remind me of the logic of extremists in activists in San Francisco over the AIDS virus. When the AIDS drug cocktail that made AIDS a manageable affliction was discovered, there were actually extremists that hated it because they thought it would lessen all the attention over AIDS in general. Then there were those that were calling for people to get AIDS to make sure the attention didn't go away. So curing AIDS isn't the goal for them. It's just because they like all the attention. At the beginning these Hong Kong protestors demanded a meeting with authorities and they got one and the protestors cancelled it. Too soon? They didn't expect a meeting at all? Maybe because they wanted the crackdown to happen because if everyone noticed because there was no crackdown for the international media to report, the protests have died a slow death? Cancelling the first meeting meant it was all about getting all the attention they can for themselves and not solving it.

If the value of superficial attention was so important to them, then they should've found some pretty people to lead not these four-eyed nerds.
 
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