China's SCS Strategy Thread

Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
Also the US is reconstructing Saipan as a military base with the goal of countering PLA missiles. For those who don't know Saipan is about 200km NE of Guam.

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Yes.

And also to Subic Bay in the Philippines.

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This is all a part of the "Pacific Pivot," US strategy.

And it is all happening at the same time as the PLAN is developing and proceeding with their own SCS strategy.

Interesting times.
 
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Blackstone

Brigadier
Re: East China Sea Air Defense ID Zone

And now, the US seems to be taking a harder line on China's assertive moves.

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In a clear policy shift, Washington is now challenging the basis of China’s claim to most of the South China Sea.

In recent weeks the Obama administration has done an about face on its position toward Asia’s sovereignty disputes, and is now actively challenging China on its nine-dash line claim to most of the South China Sea.

Until recently, the Obama administration had held steadfastly to the position that the U.S. does not take sides on any of the sovereignty disputes in Asia, but insists that parties to the dispute do not resort or threaten to resort to the use of force to settle them.

A series of comments by senior officials in the Obama administration in recent weeks mark a clear departure from that position. Instead of the previously neutral language the U.S. usually employs, Washington now is increasingly challenging the basis of China’s claims, particularly with regard to its nine-dashed line claim to nearly the entire South China Sea.

This was perhaps best exemplified by recent Congressional testimony from Danny Russel, the Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs.

“Any Chinese claim to maritime rights not based on claimed land features would be inconsistent with international law. China could highlight its respect for international law by clarifying or adjusting its claim to bring it into accordance with international law of the sea,” Russel told Congress last week.

He went on to take criticize specific Chinese actions.

“This includes continued restrictions on access to the Scarborough reef, pressure on the longstanding Philippine presence at the Second Thomas Shoal and the recent updating of fishing regulations covering disputed areas in the South China Sea. Our view is that these actions have raised tensions in the region and have exacerbated concerns about China’s long term strategic objectives.”

Similarly, while visiting the Philippines on Monday, Russel’s deputy, Scot Marciel, said: “What we’ve emphasized is the importance of all claimant states following international law, and kind of agreed-upon rules of behavior during the period when these disputes were under way…. So whenever you look at what we say publicly, it’s always about maintaining the peace, the stability that’s critical to prosperity in the region but also urging all the claimants, including China, to follow sort of rules and international law.”

The Obama administration has also acted preemptively in warning China against establishing a South China Sea Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ).

The strongest warning on this point was delivered by Evan Medeiros, senior director for Asian affairs at the National Security Council. In an interview with Japan’s Kyodo News Agency late last month, Medeiros stated unequivocally: “We oppose China’s establishment of an ADIZ in other areas, including the South China Sea…. “We have been very clear with the Chinese that we would see that (setting up another ADIZ) as a provocative and destabilizing development that would result in changes in our presence and military posture in the region.”

Secretary of State John Kerry has issued similar warnings, albeit in a much more measured tone. This week, Gen. Hawk Carlisle, the commander of the U.S. Air Force’s Pacific Command, also spoke out against a potential South China Sea ADIZ during an interview with Defense News.

China has predictably taken issue with the Obama administration’s more critical position. In response to Russel’s comment last week, the Chinese Foreign Ministry put out a press release stating: “China’s rights and interests in the South China Sea are formed in history and protected by international law. China stays committed to resolving maritime disputes with countries directly concerned through negotiation and consultation.”

The statement went on to say: “Relevant comments made by the U.S. official in congressional testimony are not constructive. We urge the U.S. to be rational and fair and play a constructive role for peace, stability, prosperity and development of the region, rather than the opposite.”

This should give Kerry and Chinese officials much to talk about during the U.S. Secretary of State’s trip to Beijing this week.
 

jobjed

Captain
Re: East China Sea Air Defense ID Zone

And now, the US seems to be taking a harder line on China's assertive moves.

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The Diplomat is a poor source for objective articles. It's a pro-US magazine based in Tokyo, just those two points alone is enough to tell you everything you need to know about their objectivity, or rather, lack thereof.
 

kroko

Senior Member
Re: East China Sea Air Defense ID Zone

The Diplomat is a poor source for objective articles. It's a pro-US magazine based in Tokyo, just those two points alone is enough to tell you everything you need to know about their objectivity, or rather, lack thereof.

I dont see what the diplomat is inventing here. The US seems to have taken an harder line regarding the SCS. However, how far the US would really would go IF china would impose a ADIZ on the SCS remains to be seen. Specially when its east china sea ADIZ didnt have any impact at all. I dont understand why would the US increase its forces because of that. That would be far worse than the setting of the ADIZ itself.

China has denied the intention of declaring a ADIZ in SCS, where there are no significant foreign air forces and things are much more muddled than the ECS. Also the spratly islands are much less symbolicly important to china than the diayou/senkaku islands. Regardless, china didnt appear to be intimidated by the US officials declarations.

Most importantly, this only shows that the US still doesnt know how to handle china. And that is the real problem in this story. Both sides need to come to the table and seek a agreement for the security of east asia.

the problem is that in an agreement, to receive something, you need to give something. And i dont think that the US is willing to give anything to china (ex: They have shown no will to press both china and japan to negociate the disputed islands). Therefore the US only has one option, to harden its line towards china. For how long will they be able to do that before serious problems occur, remains to be seen.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Re: East China Sea Air Defense ID Zone

I dont see what the diplomat is inventing here. The US seems to have taken an harder line regarding the SCS. However, how far the US would really would go IF china would impose a ADIZ on the SCS remains to be seen. Specially when its east china sea ADIZ didnt have any impact at all. I dont understand why would the US increase its forces because of that. That would be far worse than the setting of the ADIZ itself.

China has denied the intention of declaring a ADIZ in SCS, where there are no significant foreign air forces and things are much more muddled than the ECS. Also the spratly islands are much less symbolicly important to china than the diayou/senkaku islands. Regardless, china didnt appear to be intimidated by the US officials declarations.

Most importantly, this only shows that the US still doesnt know how to handle china. And that is the real problem in this story. Both sides need to come to the table and seek a agreement for the security of east asia.

the problem is that in an agreement, to receive something, you need to give something. And i dont think that the US is willing to give anything to china (ex: They have shown no will to press both china and japan to negociate the disputed islands). Therefore the US only has one option, to harden its line towards china. For how long will they be able to do that before serious problems occur, remains to be seen.


The diplomat is a bad source because they take various events and they construe them in a way to serve a particular framing of geopolitical issues.

They like to take issues, statements, or events, and hype them up, usually in a way which either portrays China as the aggressor, or on the back foot, or malevolent in someway, all while trying to maintain the guise of a neutral, professional observer to the casual reader.
They are certainly professional and they do observe, but neutral they are not.


Anyway this statement is related to the SCS and not the ECS. Hell, China has even dispelled rumours that they plan to install an ADIZ in the short term in the SCS anyway, so this is technically off topic to this thread.
 

Engineer

Major
Re: East China Sea Air Defense ID Zone

And now, the US seems to be taking a harder line on China's assertive moves.

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In a clear policy shift, Washington is now challenging the basis of China’s claim to most of the South China Sea.

The notion of China's claiming most of South China Sea is an invention by US in the first place. Now, the US is challenging this notion that they themselves created, which is essentially beating on a strawman.
 

by78

General
Re: East China Sea Air Defense ID Zone

The notion of China's claiming most of South China Sea is an invention by US in the first place. Now, the US is challenging this notion that they themselves created, which is essentially beating on a strawman.

I think the diplomat is challenging the 'nine-dash line', which constitutes a good chunk of South China sea.

The basis of his challenge is 'international law', or specifically UNCLOS, which the U.S. has never ratified. Facepalm.

Then again, the Foggy Bottom is the original cesspool of Beltway crackpots, propagandists, and useful idiots.
 
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Blackstone

Brigadier
Re: East China Sea Air Defense ID Zone

The notion of China's claiming most of South China Sea is an invention by US in the first place. Now, the US is challenging this notion that they themselves created, which is essentially beating on a strawman.

Excuse me? US lies??? The US has gone out of its way to cool tempers on all sides, and is only forced to make stronger statements to keep our hotblooded allies in check. If you want to showcase liars, point to Japan and keep the US out of it.
 

Blitzo

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Re: East China Sea Air Defense ID Zone

The notion of China's claiming most of South China Sea is an invention by US in the first place. Now, the US is challenging this notion that they themselves created, which is essentially beating on a strawman.

What?

I was under the impression that China's territorial claim included all the waters under the nine dash line. Most people would argue that constitutes "most" of the SCS.
Unless you're saying China doesn't claim the waters under the nine dash line, in which case I'm confused.

Of course, the nine dash line itself, while the largest out of the territorial claim areas, is also challenged by the sizes of other nations, such as Vietnam's own claimed waters in the SCS.
 

i.e.

Senior Member
Re: East China Sea Air Defense ID Zone

What?

I was under the impression that China's territorial claim included all the waters under the nine dash line. Most people would argue that constitutes "most" of the SCS.
Unless you're saying China doesn't claim the waters under the nine dash line, in which case I'm confused.

Of course, the nine dash line itself, while the largest out of the territorial claim areas, is also challenged by the sizes of other nations, such as Vietnam's own claimed waters in the SCS.

No no no

the 9 dash denotes all the little island and shoals with in it. all the land features. China claims all that. It does not claim the actual ocean itself as territorial sea.

this is what's actually obtrusive about the US official's claim, because the actual position of 9-dash line (denotes the claim of all land features with in those 9 dashes, not the ocean itself) is public knowledge for 6 decades now. and yet there is still buzz about "clearify the position" , as if china is actually claiming a huge swath of ocean as territorial sea. If he is in his position and did not read his briefing papers carefully then I call in question his capacity as a diplomat. On the other hand if he understands the chinese claim yet still choose to Obfuscate china's actual claim. then he is simply doing a hit job in the media.

On the position of over lapping EEZ its a whole different story. actually more technical and has a better chance of solving them because it does not involve territorial dispute.


BTW Vietnam and Philippines actual claim are about the same size of china's claim, AND they actually hold more islands in Spratly than china...
 
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