The Civil War in Libya

s002wjh

Junior Member
That is 100% right, Sampan!


One day there will be a sudden run on commodities and nobody will want the US dollar anymore because it's perceived as worthless currency issued by a declining power bankrupted by a long and expanding war against the Islamic World, similar to the crusades. Eventually, people all around the world will demand to buy their oil in RMB and Euro, not just US dollar.

When that happens, RMB and Euro will become major reserve currencies and the US economy will be hit hard. GDP per capita may suddenly shrink by 50% or more to around the level of Argentina.

keep dreaming buddy. guess where is all the talented chinese engineer work at after graduate from US school. china have as much as issues compare to US, if not more.
 

xywdx

Junior Member
keep dreaming buddy. guess where is all the talented chinese engineer work at after graduate from US school. china have as much as issues compare to US, if not more.

The US of course. China doesn't value fresh grads all that much, but an experienced and proven engineer is another matter...
 

delft

Brigadier
The Daily Telegraph has today an article with the heading:
Libyan rebel commander admits his fighters have al-Qaeda links
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

So we see the Western countries fighting Gaddaffi on the side of Al Qaeda. AQ now has access to some Libyan weapon stores with, among others, anti aircraft missiles and they may soon receive arms from the US ( U.S., allies ponder arming Libya rebels , Washington Post,
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
).
This is the logical result of first starting a war and then trying to set the purpose and setting up a command structure. So now we'll have a revived Al Qaeda, a further impoverished US and EU, a damaged NATO and Libya as a failed state, very nearly everything the warmongers wouldn't want. The only advantage to them is the expenditure of a lot of missiles that will have to be replaced and provide profit to the weapon producers.
 
That is 100% right, Sampan!

...

I really have to disagree with what you guys are predicting as the end result of all this. Regardless of how the current situation came about, I am darn sure the result is going to be a 21st century version of colonialism where a new government supported by and friendly to the intervening nations will give them preferential treatment in oil deals. More of the same will also ensure that the classic cases of Saudi Arabia etc will get a free hand to crush or bribe any popular uprising as long as they are on the good side of military interventionist countries.
 

KingLouis

Junior Member
Does Qaddafi have any other cards to play. I heard he still have 1 very elite division that he have never used. He also did not use his elite female body guard which many believe to be elite assassins. I also think he still have support with his own tribe which he can mobilize.
 

SampanViking

The Capitalist
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
This is looking very much like a mini re-run of the North African Campaign. My very elderly dad (who has a lousy memory these days)was able to rattle off the names of the same Coast Road towns, remembered perfectly from the 40's.

Gadaffi's strategy seems pretty clear now as he knows that he cannot defeat the Coalition Airpower head on, but must fight them on the Propaganda front. Expect to see his armour and forces set up in civilian areas of friendly territory, where attacks will undoubtedly cause the civilian casualties he needs in order to undermine the UN sponsored mission.
 

KingLouis

Junior Member
The only problem is Libya is mostly desert the metropolitans are all at the coast. which also mean majority of the population and easy place to invade and station troops. The only thing he can count on is that NATO don't land ground force and maybe get Russia and China to pressure the NATO to leave.
 
Top