PLAN Aircraft Carrier programme...(Closed)

Status
Not open for further replies.

Totoro

Major
VIP Professional
Ulyanovsk was rumored to have a certain role in various chinese carriers at some point or another. While rumors may or may not be true - i don't think it's beyond reason to assume that ulyanovsk blueprints were acquired after the Cold war, just as with Kuznetsov's. Now the next carrier may not use most or any features from Ulyanovsk BUT it could serve as a starting point. Perhaps for the general hull shape, size, hull layout etc. Stuff like main deck and its layout, engine compartment, internal decks etc may be completely different even if they do use the blueprints.
 

kwaigonegin

Colonel
Defence updates blog wrote a pretty good summary of the PLAN's likely carrier plans about a year ago. I don't often post extensive write ups from blogs, but this particular one seems to have very good entries for both Chinese and other nation's hardware. Its 052D VLS and Kolkata write ups among others are quite informative.
This article in particular I like how it takes a critical approach to the ski jump vs catapult debate.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


China Building Additional Aircraft Carriers

According to several Chinese media reports, Wang Min, the Communist Party leader of the province Liaoning stated that the port city of Dalian in his province is now building an aircraft carrier for the Chinese Navy with at least two more being planned.

Dalian is the place where the former Varyag or Liaoning, currently China's only aircraft carrier, was refurbished after being bought from the Ukraine. The shipyard is also in the process of building two Type 052D destroyers to become the second shipyard to build the type, next to Shanghai where four
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
destroyers are under construction or fitting out.

While the reports are officially unconfirmed, there can be no doubt that China will eventually have
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
aircraft carriers next to the Liaoning. China has already developed its own J-15 aircraft, which is roughly similar to an improved Su-33, for service on carriers, not to mention other supporting infrastructure on land.

That kind of heavy investments would not have been made if there was no intent to build their own aircraft carriers. What remains to be seen are in the details, such as how many aircraft carriers are to be build by China, the time schedule for inducting them into service and their exact configuration.

STOBAR VS CATOBAR COMPARISON

The Liaoning is a STOBAR carrier with a ski-jump and the next carrier being build is almost certain to retain this configuration. There will probably be some minor improvements such as increasing deck space and hangar space, but the new carrier will retain the basic hull configuration to avoid potential difficulties.

STOBAR carriers with their ski-jump are often criticized for their alleged inferior performance by some people who prefer CATOBAR carriers that use a catapult to launch aircraft instead of a ski-jump. This criticism is very often exaggerated in mainstream media.

For instance, it's often stated that a ski-jump restricts the take-off weight of aircraft to such an extent that it reduces aircraft such as the Su-33 / J-15 to air-to-air missions only due to their inability to take off with heavy ordnance that is often required for air-to-ground missions.

However, extensive testing by the Russians aboard the Varyag's sister ship, the Admiral Kuznetsov, has proven that the Su-33 is able to take off at up to 30 tons under certain conditions. This is more than enough to carry sufficient payload to carry out air-to-surface missions.

Both the ski-jump and the catapult are solutions to the same problem. Neither existed when aircraft carriers came of age during World War II. They became a necessity only after jet fighters were stationed aboard aircraft carriers. Both require that aircraft be explicitly designed for either type.

The catapult in general is the better solution because the ski-jump requires a longer deck than a catapult for similar aircraft. To compensate, an aircraft carrier would have to be made longer if a ski-jump were to be selected instead of a catapult.

Due to the fixed size of aircraft carriers which tend to have a length of 300 m more or less, it's not possible to have a sufficiently long deck to equal the performance of a catapult on a carrier.

However, the ski-jump is still adequate and can be used aboard an aircraft carrier. The catapult does offer significant advantages over the ski-jump, such as:
  • Greater take-off weight using an equivalent take-off run
  • Shorter take-off run, all else being equal
  • Frees up deck space to park aircraft
On the other hand, the ski-jump has its own advantages, which are often times not mentioned at all in contrast to the advantages offered by catapults, such as:
  • The ski-jump requires no maintenance and cannot break down, unlike a catapult which would severely hamper operations during combat. This can be especially true in certain climatic conditions.
  • A catapult puts severe stress on aircraft, which over time will significantly reduce the lifespan of an airframe. A STOBAR aircraft will last longer than CATOBAR aircraft, all else being equal.
One alternative configuration that's been floated is to use both a ski-jump at the bow and one or two catapults at the waist. The thinking is that the fighters would utilize the ski-jump, while other aircraft that require maximum take-off weight, such as AEW aircraft, would use the catapults.

Good article and I think it just reaffirms what most here believe anyway... that is 002 will be an 'improved' Liaoning and not some revolutionary change in carrier design or even a full flat deck like the Nimitz class.
If I am PLAN I would stick to that plan as well until EMALS matures and fully tested then I would go straight to EMALS on the third carrier and build a full deck CV then.
Since China was very late to the 'carrier' game it's perfectly fine to go straight from ski ramp to EMALS bypassing steam cats.altogether but I suspect they may still use conventiaonal cats due to the conservative nature and we also really don't know how far along their EMALS advancement is.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Ulyanovsk was rumored to have a certain role in various chinese carriers at some point or another. While rumors may or may not be true - i don't think it's beyond reason to assume that ulyanovsk blueprints were acquired after the Cold war, just as with Kuznetsov's. Now the next carrier may not use most or any features from Ulyanovsk BUT it could serve as a starting point. Perhaps for the general hull shape, size, hull layout etc. Stuff like main deck and its layout, engine compartment, internal decks etc may be completely different even if they do use the blueprints.

On the contrary I think hull layout, hull shape and size would be the easiest things for them to design if they were not deliberately constraining themselves to use a proven hull design (in the case of 001A). For one, the overall shape of a hull, and a ship's size can all be readily taken from photos even without need for blueprints.
I think the benefits of Ulyanovsk blue prints (if they were even acquired in the first place) are to provide a better foundation for designing the internals of a carrier.

I've always put rumours of the new chinese carrier looking like Ulyanovsk in thd same category as J-20 being an offshoot from Mig 1.44's design. It's one of those rumours which western observers seem to have created themselves with no input from standard chinese sources iirc

I suppose some of this depends on how conservative we expect the PLAN to be; even with their expected "clean sheet" 002, I suppose they may still choose to reduce risk by adopting a Ulyanovsk hull, but it seems so... Needless given designing the hull and dimensions of a ship is arguably one of the simpler things to do in the long process of designing a carrier.
 

SpicySichuan

Senior Member
Registered Member
On the contrary I think hull layout, hull shape and size would be the easiest things for them to design if they were not deliberately constraining themselves to use a proven hull design (in the case of 001A). For one, the overall shape of a hull, and a ship's size can all be readily taken from photos even without need for blueprints.
I think the benefits of Ulyanovsk blue prints (if they were even acquired in the first place) are to provide a better foundation for designing the internals of a carrier.

I've always put rumours of the new chinese carrier looking like Ulyanovsk in thd same category as J-20 being an offshoot from Mig 1.44's design. It's one of those rumours which western observers seem to have created themselves with no input from standard chinese sources iirc

I suppose some of this depends on how conservative we expect the PLAN to be; even with their expected "clean sheet" 002, I suppose they may still choose to reduce risk by adopting a Ulyanovsk hull, but it seems so... Needless given designing the hull and dimensions of a ship is arguably one of the simpler things to do in the long process of designing a carrier.
Ulyanovsk is a complex design. I am not sure if the Chinese are at that level of sophistication when its comes to designing large warships (somebody help me here please). If I were Xi Jinping (and want to build up the Navy before the Chinese economic slow down takes its toll on the PLAN), I would just rather model my carriers on the Liaoning, but make the island and deck stealthier. More CIWS and VLS could be added so the ships are more defensible. It is a much cheaper option when time is not likely on your side (economic slowdown, expansion of Indian carrier fleet, and potential Taiwanese declaration of de jure independence after 2016). However, this is not to say that China should stop designing nuclear-powered super-carriers. You need huge among of surplus fund to built a carrier fleet similar to that of the U.S. China's economy is slowing, and the aging population will likely be more vocal in demanding a welfare state. That leaves little space for a fancy blue-water navy.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Josh luo, I think you're being a little premature with your predictions for the state of the chinese economy.

And even if China's military budget was declining or cut to the degree suggested, then it might be better to simply not build carriers in the first place rather than settle for a compromised solution that will be almost as expensive as a more capable one.

In any case if you only see catapults and nuclear propulsion as central to Ulyanovsk's design "complexity," then that we are better off not mentioning Ulyanovsk at all but rather just catapult equipped carriers and nuclear powered carriers in general.


Btw what you are suggesting for a modified liaoning is basically what the first indigenous carrier 001A is expected to look like.
 

Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
Amen Bltizo.

We have discussed this on SD for ten years...and now regarding their second carrier (the first indegenous Chinese carrier), ever since before the Liaoning was commissioned.

Some of our newer members are not aware of all of that discussion and the detail we have gone into, and the understanding we have all benefited from especially with some of the more knowledgable members of the forum.

So...it is not surprising that the newer members end up hashing out the same things we have spent years working on and coming to determination on.

I still believe we will see:

The 1st indigenous Chinese carrier be very similar, but improved Liaoning design.
The 2nd indigenous Chinese carrier be a convetional propulsion CATOBAR carrier
The 3rd indigenous Chinese carrier most likely be like the 2nd, with improvements
The 4th indigenous Chinese carrier potentially be a nuclear powered carrier.

Time will tell, but as I have said many time, the impact of logistics plays a critical role. Learning how to operate these vessels, training the thousands of personnel, spare parts, policies and procedures, etc. are all things that cost a lot of time, a lot of effort and a lot of money.

Having every carrier be a one off would add huge amounts of cost and lost efficiencies to the Chinese Naval Air Arm efforts.

It is very possible, in my opinion, maybe even likely, that China will field two STOBAR carrier (I believe this is a given now), then two CATOBAR conventional carriers...and then begin transitioning to nuclear carriers.


.
 

Blackstone

Brigadier
Amen Bltizo.
.
.
.
The 1st indigenous Chinese carrier be very similar, but improved Liaoning design.
.
.
.
It is very possible, in my opinion, maybe even likely, that China will field two STOBAR carrier (I believe this is a given now),...
.
Will PLA(N) experiment by adding a waist cat on Mac'Liaoning?
 

Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
Will PLA(N) experiment by adding a waist cat on Mac'Liaoning?
We've talked about it a lot.

I do not think 001A will have them. I believe its launch and recovery will be like the Liaoning.

I think 002 will be a CATOBAR design with conventional engines.

We have gone around and around on that. It is possible that the 002 class will be a hybrid with a Ski-Jump forward and waist cats I suppose.

However, at this point, I have come around to the opinion that it will be all CATOBAR.

Time will tell.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Yep, agree with everything Jeff said -- something that many of us have begun wondering over the last year now regarding 002 is whether it will use EMALS or steam catapults, and that in turn makes us question what kind of propulsion arrangement we will see, namely whether the conventional powerplants will be arranged in an IEPS fashion to power the EMALS if there are any.
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
Yep, agree with everything Jeff said -- something that many of us have begun wondering over the last year now regarding 002 is whether it will use EMALS or steam catapults, and that in turn makes us question what kind of propulsion arrangement we will see, namely whether the conventional powerplants will be arranged in an IEPS fashion to power the EMALS if there are any.

I think the 055 cruisers will help answer that question.

I do not think the PLAN will field test a totally new type of propulsion system on a carrier. That would be taking too much of a risk on too big and expensive an asset.

The 055 would seem the perfect opportunity to test IEPS.

The hull would be big enough to make it a good test run before implementing it on carriers, the timeframe fits nicely.

Both in that trying it out on 055 would give China enough time to learn from the experience and validate the design and principles in time to scale it up for carrier use, and also, the 055 project timetable should have enough slack to easily absorb any delays such a radical departure from the conventional and well known might lead to.

In addition, IEPS should help to futureproof the 055 design by giving it enough power output potential to retrofit next gen weapons and sensors to once those become available. So we are talking about direct energy weapons, rail guns and the like.

Indeed, without IESP, it is a little hard to see the justification for the 055, as it does not really bring anything to the table that the 052D cannot cover.

But on the flip side, if the 055 runs into delays, the PLAN should be able to cover for that well enough with additional 052Ds, this means the 055 are (or should) be more about the PLAN's future long-term needs rather than their current and near future requirements. As such, that should allow the PLAN to be more ambitious with the requirements and flexible with the delivery date.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top