PLA in the future, predictions?
- Thread starter amadeus
- Start date
ummm actually i am not taking this seriously. you dont sound very calm and rational there and plz respond to the second part of my analysis,which actually has something to do with the discussion. just to prove to you that i know more than you think, your last statement there is refering to Yu ZhengSheng's brother,but that unveiled holes in america's own intelligence system cuz its China department had been led by a Chinese spy for decades lol.
anyways military is measured by how well they do their job. so the fact that China is suddenly gonna get 1000 more type-99G means nothing if they cant get it across the strait to Taiwan in an all-hell-breaks-lose scenario. so if the central government is to assess how PLA is doing they'll measure by whether or not the PLA can take Taiwan in a given scenario, or the south China sea. that's what we are concerned with here. i have no hard data on the transportation capability of the PLA right now but i think that is one of the things we should really be concerned with,no use if you cant move your really advanced weapons. "soft power" like for example PLA's level of dscipline, no use if you go somewhere and just start raping their women, eventually you'll lose the place.
anyways military is measured by how well they do their job. so the fact that China is suddenly gonna get 1000 more type-99G means nothing if they cant get it across the strait to Taiwan in an all-hell-breaks-lose scenario. so if the central government is to assess how PLA is doing they'll measure by whether or not the PLA can take Taiwan in a given scenario, or the south China sea. that's what we are concerned with here. i have no hard data on the transportation capability of the PLA right now but i think that is one of the things we should really be concerned with,no use if you cant move your really advanced weapons. "soft power" like for example PLA's level of dscipline, no use if you go somewhere and just start raping their women, eventually you'll lose the place.
KGB style HA
well you know the Chinese spy case i was talkin about? this Chinese spy called lerry jin or something (Jin Wudai) who directed kissinger's China policy for years. after he was caught he "committed suicide" in prison. so the americans werent able to catch the others. apparently the guy who rat him out was assassinated by the Chinese
China's domestic spy network is actually pretty good. for example the recent Wo Weihan case. i dont know the details but the national security bureau knew about this years ago. my guess is they have been spying on the scientist who leaked the information to Wo, and after years finally figured out that Wo was the spy. if they just arrested that scientist right away it would only allow Wo to get away. so the key is catching the big fish. China's intelligence agency actually send ppl to train with the special forces,but i have not heard of confirmed reports of assassination,there is no need. the "defected" ppl are often corrupted local officials they have nothing to do with the intelligence agency.
as for intelligence gathering,which is an important aspect of military,stuff like the CIA isnt even the real threat. the real threats are the intelligence agencies in Taiwan and North Korea. CIA rarely "gets it right", but Taiwan and North Korean spies know how things work in China much better than americans. similarly, one of the biggest threats to the CIA is israel HA. i wont be surprised if they have connections with the russian or Chinese spy agency. and the spy agency between superpowers often have connections with each other,i wont screw you over too much if you dont screw me over too much LOL
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I estimate by 2020 there would be around two medium indigenous carriers (similar in size with Charles de Gaulle and Minsk) operational. By that time PLAN would be considered a true blue water navy. Also the J-XX would be operational, or at least almost ready for production. There might be a new bomber developed and undergoing tests by that time.
Judging by the current trends, by 2050 the Chinese land force would surpass US land force in overall combat capabilities, Chinese air force would match US air force in overall capabilities. Chinese navy would still be inferior to US navy, but superior to all other navies.
Judging by the current trends, by 2050 the Chinese land force would surpass US land force in overall combat capabilities, Chinese air force would match US air force in overall capabilities. Chinese navy would still be inferior to US navy, but superior to all other navies.
