J-20 - physical parameters and other overflow from main thread

Inst

Captain
Just out of curiosity, the kids at VTech purportedly plugged the J-20 into software designed to estimate mass and volume from photographs in order to construct a 3D model. Given that we have a substantial trove of photographs, wouldn't it be possible to do the same with the J-20 and F-22 and get their respective estimated volumes?
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
Just out of curiosity, the kids at VTech purportedly plugged the J-20 into software designed to estimate mass and volume from photographs in order to construct a 3D model. Given that we have a substantial trove of photographs, wouldn't it be possible to do the same with the J-20 and F-22 and get their respective estimated volumes?
Sure it would! I don't think it's too difficult for hardcore techies to develop a program for that. But nobody here seems to have even that minimal level of skill much less the skill it requires to actually attempt to guess what J-20 could weigh with any accuracy. That's why we can really only rely on reports; the level of analysis here is really just for fun. Do you have the VTech numbers?
 

Inst

Captain
I already linked it, Trident refuted it. I'd take its predictions about drag as roughly accurate, but its weight estimate is radically low and must be ignoring key aspects.


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Quickie

Colonel
Just out of curiosity, the kids at VTech purportedly plugged the J-20 into software designed to estimate mass and volume from photographs in order to construct a 3D model. Given that we have a substantial trove of photographs, wouldn't it be possible to do the same with the J-20 and F-22 and get their respective estimated volumes?
Sure it would! I don't think it's too difficult for hardcore techies to develop a program for that. But nobody here seems to have even that minimal level of skill much less the skill it requires to actually attempt to guess what J-20 could weigh with any accuracy. That's why we can really only rely on reports; the level of analysis here is really just for fun. Do you have the VTech numbers?

That is how it should be done, instead of having a subjective judgement of the probable sizes and shapes based on one or two pictures and then amazingly come out with a number when there's no input of numbers in the first place.
 

Quickie

Colonel
I already linked it, Trident refuted it. I'd take its predictions about drag as roughly accurate, but its weight estimate is radically low and must be ignoring key aspects.


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It's still okay to base the estimation on the same assumptions, even if just for comparison sake, until more information is available.

For a start, with the little info that is available, the estimations would be still interesting to know.
 

Tirdent

Junior Member
Registered Member
@trident: As a preface, any estimates are just that, an estimate, and until we get definite figures we can roughly expect at least a 10% measurement error, which, when used to create composite figures like range or wing loading, is squared.

I never presented my estimate as anything other than that. Nonetheless, estimates may have different methodological weaknesses.

That said, if you're talking about increased density; I'd argue differently.

In what respect? I'm assuming the *same* density, not more, and do end up with the J-20 having a bigger increase in fuel capacity than in OEW.

The YF-22 had working weapons bays, as did the YF-23. .

The YF-23 had an empty compartment with doors where the bay was, but no missile launching equipment.

As to the square nozzles, check this out:
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This implies a full one-ton weight increase due to the flat TVC nozzles on the F-22.

Wrong. It implies a half ton weight increase on the Flanker test bed. That says nothing about the F-22 (see below).

However, you are free to assume that American technology is much superior to Russian technology, but the raw physics of the matter have not changed; a flat nozzle is subject to significantly greater stresses than round nozzles and materials improvements for flat nozzles can be easily carried back to round nozzle technology as well.

It's not a case of US technology being better - the Russians can probably teach anybody a thing or two about TVC - but it's an apples to oranges comparison.

Have you looked at the sheer size of that thing? It was a tech demo for the T-60S *bomber* (having a much larger engine) with IR signature reduction the primary goal - hence the very long duct and cooling air inlets. A fighter-style rectangular TVC nozzle (such as the F119's or that implemented by Soyuz on the R79 for the planned production Su-47) would have been heavier than an axisymmetrical nozzle for all the reasons you state, yes, but certainly not by several hundred kg. Count on it.

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Lastly, about structural reinforcement, please recall that the main reason the YF-22 won over the YF-23 was its TVC.

Nope, it won because it was more mature and less risky, so had a greater chance of entering service on time & within budget. Although the YF-22 was considered more agile thanks largely to TVC, the YF-23 was judged to meet the desired maneuverability criteria even without - in the same way as the YF-23 rated higher on stealth but the YF-22 was still adequate. With both designs satisfactory in technical terms, they went with the one which promised a smoother development process.

It actually stands to reason that for pure matters of maneuverability, you do want a 9G aircraft to show off its 9G-ness. With the weight gain, as well as the move from prototype to production fighter, there has to be some level of structural reinforcement, but it's unfair to assume it's as extreme as you imagine.

What stands to reason is that you are not going to build a demonstrator which will never fly more than a hundred hours to last 6000+h. It's not just the maximum g-load, but how long you expect to operate the aircraft.

Moreover, please do note that the YF-16 and YF-18 were also prototypes, so structural reinforcement to full flying maneuverability would be unnecessary, but the F-16 and F-18 did not see appreciable gains in weight over their prototype variants.

Demonstrator =/= prototype. The former is merely a proof of concept.

Regarding range, please do recall that the C919 weighs 40,000 tons, almost twice your high-estimate, and that the F-15C has a ferry range of 5,000 km with drop tanks.

The C919 also has almost twice the fuel capacity (so - ex payload - similar fuel fraction), a wing aspect ratio of ~10 as opposed to 2.2 (hence a lot less induced drag) and *way* lower engine SFC (BPR of 11 against 0.6). The only things the J-20 has going in its favour are disproportionately lower payload (i.e. considerably less than half that of the C919) and wetted area (parasitic drag - though with the J-20 wing being more than half the area I'm not sure how big the C919's disadvantage from its fuselage is).

As for the F-15C, that's *theoretical* range with drop tanks *and* CFTs *and* no weapons, but fuel weight is so high in that configuration that it's actually an overload condition (it would be possible to top up from a tanker after take-off, but that kind of defeats the purpose). Take on only as much fuel as the MTOW limit allows and range reduces to 4800km, and then only if the drop tanks are punched off once empty to shed the drag. Nonetheless, a F-15C in that config *carries its own weight in fuel*, giving it an insane fuel fraction (better than even a 15t J-20 with any realistic internal fuel capacity)!

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In practice, I see the main problem with the VTech estimate as ignoring RAM. Remember, if we assume a 7 millimeter coating of solid steel, we get 4 tons of added RAM weight. The actual RAM on the J-20 will likely be lighter than solid steel, but it makes the notion of 5 tons worth of RAM plausible.

As has been pointed out several times now, RAM is merely one of many components in the weight difference between the YF-22 and F-22, and responsible for only a small part of the total. It's a fundamentally flawed premise to operate on, by far the biggest sources of error in the VTech weight estimate are the weighting multipliers (as I stated) and the outdated dimension information used.
 

Hyperwarp

Captain
***
That said, if you're talking about increased density; I'd argue differently. The YF-22 had working weapons bays, as did the YF-23. ***

Incorrect. YF-23 only had a weapons Bay compartment and demoed the bay doors opening during trials. It did not have any kind launch mechanism since it was not part of the ATF requirements.

YF-22 having a functional launch mechanisms and the decision to launch AIM-9 and AIM-120 was Lockheed-Boeing's own prerogative. It was to build confidence with the USAF and not because it was part of the ATF requirements.

Lockheed pulled few similar stunts during the JSF competition. X-35 Doing things beyond the requirements as confidence building measures.
 

Air Force Brat

Brigadier
Super Moderator
Incorrect. YF-23 only had a weapons Bay compartment and demoed the bay doors opening during trials. It did not have any kind launch mechanism since it was not part of the ATF requirements.

YF-22 having a functional launch mechanisms and the decision to launch AIM-9 and AIM-120 was Lockheed-Boeing's own prerogative. It was to build confidence with the USAF and not because it was part of the ATF requirements.

Lockheed pulled few similar stunts during the JSF competition. X-35 Doing things beyond the requirements as confidence building measures.

The decision to build the F-22 remains the right decision, just as China's decision to build the J-20 remains the right decision,, these two unique aircraft are each "scratch built" to suit their own countries unique needs and desires...

as LockMart has been in the L/O business very seriously since the late 50's,,, they have a body of knowledge to pull from! Chengdu has been very impressive getting up to speed, and innovative in their execution of the J-20.
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
The decision to build the F-22 remains the right decision, just as China's decision to build the J-20 remains the right decision,, these two unique aircraft are each "scratch built" to suit their own countries unique needs and desires...

as LockMart has been in the L/O business very seriously since the late 50's,,, they have a body of knowledge to pull from! Chengdu has been very impressive getting up to speed, and innovative in their execution of the J-20.

Easy there Brat, them SAC (Shenyang Aircraft Corporation) boys and girls doesn't like it when you ignored them and accomplishments.:D;)
 
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