ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
France has published its evidence on the Syrian chemical weapons:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


A Syria could have no advantage from such use of chemical weapons in Ghouta, it did look like a false flag and no evidence against Syria could be produced the conclusion must be that the Khan Sheikhoun atrocity was equally produced by the terrorists.

Of course they have the "evidence", when last time Syria handed over their stockpile, I am sure the French was keen to keep a good amount of samples, as well as other western countries involved in the handling. They will have enough "evidence" for the next many decades to come. Just go to their storage and take a small bottle of Syrian sarin, we will see this all over again.

Collin Power really taught the world a good lesson some years ago although nobody knows what exactly was in that bottle he held in front of UNSC, washing detergent perhaps? On this count the French can do a much better job as they really have Syrian Sarin in their house.:rolleyes:
 

delft

Brigadier
The BBC said this morning that USAF attacked a militia that threatened its militia force in Eastern Syria, but Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung writes that the attack was against the Syrian army and a militia, that the attack took place to the North West of Tanf. To the North the Syrian army is trying to make its way to Deir-Ezzor and it was recently attacked by IS in that area so presumably the Syrian army was acting to drive away or if possible destroy the IS units concerned. FAZ also said that US doesn't want the Syrian army to act in the Easter part of Syria to the intention might have been to frustrate the campaign in the direction of Deir-Ezzor.
Question: Was this decided in Washington or was it an action by the US Middle Eastern command taken independently because of the chaos in Washington.
 

delft

Brigadier
I just read Robert Fisk's article in The Independent:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

US air strikes in Syria: Why America really attacked pro-Assad militia convoy
Exclusive: For the Pentagon to suggest that this was a sideshow to Washington’s battle against Isis was to stretch the truth beyond credibility

The Pentagon’s account of its Thursday night air strike on pro-Assad militia forces in Syria concealed the real story of a race to the Syrian-Iraqi border by armed groups working for both the Americans and the Syrian regime. Even the targets listed by the US appear to have been wrong. Indeed, what was described by the Americans as a minor action was part of a far more important struggle between the US and the Syrian regime for control of the south-eastern frontier of Syria – a vital supply line for Iran to maintain its forces in Syria.

According to the Syrians, the US destroyed not one but four T-62 tanks and a Shilka ZSU-23-4 Soviet-made radar-guided anti-aircraft vehicle manned by both Shia Iraqi militiamen loyal to Damascus and a unit of armed Iranians who were travelling in pick-up trucks to establish positions – on the instructions of the Syrian army -- in the desert west of al-Tanf. Their intention – to set up strongpoints in the vast and largely empty land in advance of the American-trained forces – was an attempt by the Syrian government to keep open the route between Iraq and Syria now that the ISIS-held Syrian city of Raqqa far to the north has been almost surrounded by largely Kurdish fighters loyal to Washington.

Six of the pro-Syrian militiamen were killed in the American air strike and 25 wounded – it is unclear whether the casualties were Iraqi or Iranian – but forces under the command of the Syrian army intend to continue their reconnaissance missions towards al-Tanf. Anti-aircraft gunners aboard one of the pick-up trucks accompanying the pro-Syrian units that were attacked, opened fire on the US jets and, according to the Syrians, forced the American aircraft to fly higher.

At this point, Syrian air defence units north east of Damascus prepared to fire Soviet-made S-200 Angara ground-to-air missiles (an older version of the S-300 which the Russians have since delivered to the Syrian military) at the Americans – but the US jets had by then left Syrian airspace. One of the five T-62 tanks attacked by the Americans was undamaged.

Nonetheless, the brief action in the Syrian desert was of great importance. The Syrians were obviously trying to test America’s resolve to move its anti-Assad militia forces deeper into the south-east of the country – and the US was prepared, albeit on a small-scale, to show that it was prepared to press on. But the Syrian-Iraqi frontier town of al-Tanf may turn out to be a key strategic point in the struggle of the Assad government to regain its national territory and keep open its border to Iraq and, by extension, to Iran. It lies only 30 miles from Iraq – but because the Jordanian-Syrian-Iraqi borders join immediately to the south – al-Tanf also lies the same distance from Jordan – where the American-trained militia are based.

Although US jets were involved in Thursday’s air strikes, the forces on the ground comprised largely proxy fighters – belonging to both the American-trained ‘rebel’ opposition and to the Syrian military. If US personnel were accompanying the ‘rebel’ forces, then they were lucky that neither the Russians nor Syrian Army personnel were present on the other side. For the Pentagon to suggest that this was a sideshow to Washington’s battle against Isis was to stretch the truth beyond credibility in the Middle East. Cutting Syria off from Iraq – and thus from Iran – appears to be a far more immediate operational aim of US forces in Syria than the elimination of the Sunni "Caliphate" cult which Washington claims to be its principal enemy in the Middle East.
 

SampanViking

The Capitalist
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
Just as you thought the tangled web of Syria could not get even stranger.

The US has just just launched its new proxy FSA along the Southern Border of Syria and they have attempted to link up with existing pockets of the FSA East of Damascus and also to expand into the ISIS vacuum left along the Syrian - Jordanian/Iraqi borders.

The results seems to be a three way fight between the SAA and allies, the FSA and ISIS in all the key locations, with the SAA seeming to have the upper hand in the East Damascus countryside and the FSA having the advantage along the border.
The fact that the US wants to have this new proxy link with enclaves around the Capital and; for the first time have an active supply linkfrom Jordan to Damascus. suggests that regime change is still number one objective for the Pentagon.

To understand this, just put it into perspective with the other forces.
The US main proxy are the Kurdish SPF/YPG. These forces; although proving very effective against ISIS, have no interest or intent to try and conquer Syria and effect regime change.
Further, the other nominally US backed FSA group based in Idlib and North Aleppo seem to have stronger ties to Turkey (and by presumed extension to the Muslim Brotherhood). Turkey however is primarily concerned with fighting the Kurds and preventing a continous Kurdish political entity across its Southern border (although this is largely a fact now with only a short gap in North Aleppo seperating a large Kurdish territory stretching from Iraq and the Afrin Canton.

This split along opposing objectives in the North of Syria, could well be a factor that enabled the Syrian Government to recapture all of Aleppo city last year, in such a relatively fast time.

The question is therefore, are the large parts of the FSA in Idlib and Northern Aleppo, really Turkish proxies, following the Turkish agenda, or are they simply biding their time until a better offer comes along?
Or to put it another way, is the US betting that a Regime Change Assault from the Southern Border, aimed at the Capital would be more successful and lack the internal divisions experienced in the North?
This means that if this new FSA force manged to link into the East Damascus enclaves, to include the East Ghouta, would large numbers of FSA forces in the North relocate South to better prosecute a decapitation mission?
 

flyzies

Junior Member
A no fly zone already exists as part of the deescalation zones agreement, but it's just not called that.

The recent actions in the southern Syrian countryside is blatant aggression against the government, and as such, should deserve the full attention of the SAA and the Russian air force. If the FSA is allowed to succeed in rural Damascus, all the gains in Aleppo, Homs and Hama would mean little.

Time and time again it's the FSA that prove themselves to the be real enemies of the Syrian government, not ISIS.
 

FORBIN

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Discovery of the mixed fighter detachment of Chammal

With their nose pointing upwards, the Rafale Marine are easily distinguishable from their Air Force counterparts. Between two missions, under the hangars of the French projected base (BAP) in the Levant, eight aircraft of two types are currently stationed. Since the beginning of April 2017, for the first time, Rafales de la Marine (12F) have been deployed ashore alongside those of the Air Force. This solution makes it possible to relieve the latter, which has continuously armed the BAP since the end of 2014. It also allows naval aviation fleets to continue to participate in operations, while the "Charles de Gaulle" Unavailable for eighteen months due to its mid-life redesign. Members of the 12F are not the first sailors to have discovered this base in Jordan. An ATL2 has been deployed there for several months. It provides intelligence missions and also strikes.
Rafale M and B.

Four Rafale of the 12F flotilla are now deployed alongside as many two-seater Rafales of the "Gascogne" squadron. The seamen were fully integrated into the BAP detachment, known as the Bombardment Group 43 "Levant". The two variants of the Rafale carry out the same missions. However, they do not operate for the time being on mixed patrols. To carry out their missions, which are mostly close air support, the Rafales take off by patrol of two. Which are made up solely of marine or air. The procedures employed by Naval Aviation are a little different, explains a pilot. Sailors, for example, are accustomed to respecting a strict radio silence indispensable for assault missions at sea. Apart from that, operational cultures are very close and tactics also. Rafale B and M patrols have already had the opportunity to work together.

Every day the Rafales take off to carry out their close support missions to the Iraqi troops fighting against Daech or to intervene in Syria. French aircraft were implicated in 2014 in the battle of Mosul, the crews could see their missions evolve as the fighting moved closer to the urban area. The objective of the French command is to effectively support the fight against Daech, but not at any price. No French or civilian loss is allowed, explains the commander of the BAP. The arming of the devices is adapted to these requirements. Patrols take off with a mixed configuration. One Rafale is equipped with four laser-guided GBU-12 bombs, while the other carries GPS-guided AASMs. Again, the bodies of bombs are variegated. Two AASMs are configured with a smaller military load to limit their effects (BLU-126 "low collateral dam-mages bomb"). This mixing offers several options for the crews, who can thus choose the type of guidance and the military load to optimize the effects of their strikes and avoid the collateral damage. The rockets of the armaments can also be adjusted to, for example, trigger the explosion of the bomb once it has penetrated the ground and, again, limit its effects. The Rafales also carry a Mica missile that could be used for self-defense but is used mainly as an infrared sensor

"Red card Holder".
If strikes are ordered by the air command of the coalition, a French representative may at any time prohibit them if he considers that the context does not correspond to the French rules of engagement. It is said that he takes out the red card ("red card holder"). Once the strike is ordered, the crew searches for the best angle of attack to better control the effects of the bombardment. After the launch of the armaments, the pilots continue to follow the situation and the trajectory of the bomb. One of them said that bombs were diverted during their flight to uninhabited areas because the context had evolved and the risk of reaching civilians had become too great.

Set up since the end of 2014, the BAP is well established. Its size has been optimized to allow the aircraft to carry out their missions and stay alert 24 hours a day. In three hours, a Rafale can be on-site, ready to intervene throughout the theater. Four hundred men and women are deployed to support the aircraft and the men, as well as the protection of the base, which is only 30 km from the Syrian border. This proximity is an asset for air missions. French fighters are much closer to their area of action than when they operate from the United Arab Emirates or the "Charles de Gaulle". Raqqa is a forty minutes flight and Mosul, less than an hour away. Some missions can be carried out without refueling. But the geographical location can also be a weakness in terms of security, because of the proximity of the combat zones. This is why the protective device is progressively strengthened.
Reconnaissance missions.

The Air Force insists on the consistency of the BAP tool. This is reflected in good availability rates and only 1% of the missions requested by the coalition canceled. The devices involved in Chammal benefit from the priority given to operations in terms of logistics and the involvement of mechanics deployed in operation.

Several hundred kilometers from Jordan, the United Arab Emirates air base continues to participate in operations. The seven Rafale C squadron "Provence" participate a little less in the strikes but they are the only ones to implement the Reco NG capability in the framework of Operation Chammal, the pod not having been deployed in Jordan. Reconnaissance missions require lengthy preparation. The pilot must carefully plan his flight to fly in good conditions to areas deemed of interest by the high command. The Reco NG nacelle is programmed and can orient its fixed focal length to the expected zones. The pilot optimizes his altitude and position to obtain the best angle of view. Upon returning from his mission, the Squadron's intelligence unit carries out an extensive analysis, then image-wrapping, which is then sent to a centralized level, which will compare the data collected with other sources.

In the United Arab Emirates, one third of the pilots are deployed over a long period, for two to three years. The others make short stays of two months. If the BAP aircraft in Jordan only carry out operational missions, the Emirates may be involved in training, particularly with local forces. They have significant resources and experience feedback from their involvement in operations in Yemen.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 

flyzies

Junior Member
The latest situation in Syria.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!



Government has made big advances in the south, east of Damascus against the combinations of FSA and ISIS. Securing its' own border with Jordan is the immediate goal it seems, whereas the medium term goal would be to secure the border with Iraq. There are numerous rumours the Iraqi PMUs are helping with this.
With the recent US airstrike on the SAA and its allied militias near the Jordanian border, it'll be interesting to see how far the US and its FSA are willing to take the fight to the SAA because they are clearly outnumbered against the majority of the SAA in the Eastern Damascus desert. My prediction is that Al-Tanaf will be captured in the following couple weeks.

The Tiger forces are also making good progress against ISIS in Eastern Aleppo, but with all the attention on the Eastern Damascus, this has become a battle of secondary importance. Nonetheless, ISIS should be expelled from Maskanah and Aleppo province in the near future.

What's really interesting will be the upcoming tussle over Deir Ezzor between the government, SDF and FSA. This is the primary reason why I think the government is putting so much resources into the battles on its Jordanian and Iraqi borders; that they cannot afford the FSA or the SDF to take control of this importance city which is coincidently located near oil and gas fields.
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
So much for operation winning hearts and minds.o_O

“do everything humanly possible” to prevent the loss of innocent life, “Civilian casualties are a fact of life in this sort of situation,“ General Mattis

The battle has already shifted from attrition to “annihilation tactics,” he said, designed to prevent foreigners who joined the so-called caliphate from returning home.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 
Top