ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

I didn't pay any attention to US-supported Kurds pushing towards Raqqa until, well, now when they got close to the Tabqa Dam (?):
VGcsq.jpg


pictures, video in the related blog by "Cassad":
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

(says ISIL is retreating towards its main defense line closer to Raqqa etc.)
 

delft

Brigadier
From AMN:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Breaking: Agreement in Wadi Barada reached amid hopes of ending water crisis
By
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
- 06/01/2017

Syria's government forces recaptured today several strategic hilltops overlooking the Wadi Barada region where Islamist militants linked to al-Qaeda have been blocking water supply from Damascus for almost 15 days.

The recent gain came after massive reinforcements from the Army's elite forces arrived recently at this western region; thus forcing the fighters to consider negotiating an agreement with the Syrian authorities.

Today, a Russian delegation made it inside the rebel-held area for 2-hour long talks – during which a provisional ceasefire was held by both warring parties.

A longer and steadier ceasefire will enter into effect at 9 a.m. tomorrow whereby maintenance workshops will be granted access to fix the damaged water spring at Ain Al-Figeh to end a 15-day water crisis in the capital.

According to the agreement, militants shall hand on heavy and medium arms to be eventually enrolled in local committees, which along government troops, will bear the responsibility to preserving security in the towns of Wadi Barada.

Fighters who are originally not from the towns and villages of Wadi Barada, as well as those unwilling to have their legal status settled, will be evacuated to the northwestern province of Idlib.
This is important to the four million or so people who now will see their water supply restored, but also improves the military situation around Damascus.
 

delft

Brigadier
dismissed quickly ... so I'm suspecting an interesting topic (what I've also read were allegations about Iranian units trying to "clear" Sunni parts)
The foreign "rebels" were presumably a major problem in reaching an agreement in Wadi Barada. If you call that ethnic cleansing?
 

delft

Brigadier
nice try delft but:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
In Wadi Baradi the area will be defended by the local militia now in the service of Syria rather than its enemies and this is the situation in many places around Damascus. See Robert Fisk's article I referred to earlier.
With a majority of Sunnis in the country ethnic cleansing is not a viable policy for Syria but a good propaganda slogan for its enemies.
 
Thursday at 12:01 PM
...
  • US Doubles Number of Advisers in Iraq as Forces Push into Mosul
    Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
    ...
... related:
More U.S. troops are being wounded in Iraq and Syria, the Pentagon quietly acknowledges
At least 14 American military personnel have been wounded in combat since the start of October while battling Islamic State fighters in Iraq and Syria, according to Defense Department data reviewed by Military Times.

The sudden increase accounts for nearly half of the 30 wounded-in-action reports that the U.S. has publicly acknowledged since the ISIS campaign began in August 2014, and coincides with two ongoing offensives targeting the terror group's strongholds in both countries: Mosul in Iraq and Raqqa in Syria, the Islamic State's self-declared capital.

Although comparatively small when measured against monthly casualty reports from the height of America's full-scale conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan, the numbers suggest that more U.S. troops are being sent closer to the Islamic State's front lines to direct or help local forces who are in the lead. It's a sensitive topic for the Pentagon and the White House, which has made painstaking efforts to minimize any perception that American forces are actively engaged in ground combat despite steadily increasing force levels in both theaters where now more than 5,500 U.S. troops are deployed.

At least eight American troops have been killed in action since the start of Operation Inherent Resolve, according to figures maintained in the Defense Casualty Analysis System, a comprehensive database charting American combat casualty information dating to the Revolutionary War. The most recent
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
located north of Raqqa. Another 23 Americans have died in nonhostile incidents while supporting the war on ISIS.

Of the 14 wounded-in-action reports since October, eight stem from unspecified incidents recorded in December. That's the highest monthly tally since March 2016.

Citing Defense Department policy, a Pentagon spokesman declined to elaborate on the spike in casualty reports or the scope of any recent injuries, saying only that it "should not be considered to be the result of one incident, or even a series of closely-related incidents."

"The Department of Defense does not routinely release detailed information regarding service members who are wounded in action," said Army Lt. Col. Myles Caggins III. "This is due to concerns about operational security and about releasing health information that may be protected" under federal privacy laws.

Among the 30 troops who've been wounded in action while battling ISIS, 15 are Marines, according to Defense Department data. The remaining 15 incidents involve 11 Army personnel, three from the Navy and one from the Air Force.

Eight of the 15 cases involving Marines occurred last March, after the U.S. established a fire base on the fringe of ISIS-held territory near Mosul. One Marine was killed by a rocket attack that wounded four others there. It's unclear how or precisely where the other four Marines were wounded that month, although the fire base did experience repeated attacks until their task force pulled out in June.

Another six Marines were among the eight U.S. troops wounded throughout December, according to Defense Department data. One appears to be Staff Sgt. Patrick Maloney, whom friends, family and fellow Marines have identified as a dog handler assigned to the service's elite 2nd Raider Battalion out of Camp Lejeune in eastern North Carolina. Maloney, whose condition was publicized by friends seeking to raise money for the Marine's family, suffered a head injury as a result of enemy action in Iraq on Dec. 30, an acquaintance of his told Military Times this week.

It's unclear specifically where in Iraq that incident occurred. U.S. officials will not acknowledge it, nor will they confirm that any Marine Raiders are operating there as part of the counter-ISIS campaign. It's been reported previously that elements of
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
— namely the Navy SEALs and the Army's Delta Force — are active on these battlefields.

"We do not discuss specifics of special operations personnel in the interest of operational security," a military spokesperson in Baghdad said via email.

Officials with Marine Special Operations Command in North Carolina have not addressed questions posed by Military Times seeking details about the the Raiders' activity as part of Operation Inherent Resolve.

As the battles for Mosul and Raqqa intensify, the U.S. has dispatched additional military advisers to assist allies fighting in and around each city.

In Iraq, the number of coalition advisers has doubled to about 450, Air Force Col. John Dorrian said Wednesday. They include special operations forces, combat engineers and intelligence specialists, troops who are closely partnered with Iraqi units fighting to retake the city. Some have been sent inside Mosul, he added.

"They're with [Iraqi] headquarters elements in most cases," Pentagon Press Secretary Peter Cook said Thursday, noting at least one instance in which U.S. advisers have been partnered with an Iraqi army battalion. "With the conventional Iraqi forces, they're providing advice and assistance at the division levels with the leadership. ... Some of those headquarters elements are moving as the forward line of troops moves, and certainly there are Iraqi commanders who are closer to Mosul now than they were previously.

"I want to make clear that not all these folks are specifically tied to Mosul," Cook added. "We have advisers right now, for example, in Baghdad. We have advisers at various locations, installations that may be supporting Mosul. I mentioned Qayyarah again, Camp Swift," both of which are south of Mosul.

In Syria, there are about 500 American troops closely partnered with militias battling to reclaim territory from the Islamic State. The last increase, totaling 200 U.S. troops, was announced by Defense Secretary Ash Carter in early December.
source is MilitaryTimes.com
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 
for their botched acquisitions etc. I bid farewell to the leaving SecNav and SecDef in
US Military News, Reports, Data, etc.
and here it's time for the State Department
Recalling Syria 'red line,' Kerry says U.S. didn't back down
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Touting his four years as secretary of state, John Kerry on Thursday attempted to explain one of the most contentious moments in American diplomacy during his tenure: President Barack Obama's failure to enforce his "red line" warning to Syria about using chemical weapons.

In a news conference meant to promote his achievements, Kerry said that Obama didn't backtrack in 2013 on his ultimatum to Syrian President Bashar Assad not to attack rebels or civilians with his chemical weapons arsenal. Kerry said this "unfair perception" nevertheless hurt U.S. credibility.

The elaborate explanation of events more than three years ago reflected the lingering importance that many of the Obama administration's critics, as well as some international allies, ascribe to the episode. Even some U.S. officials have grumbled that Obama signaled that he wasn't prepared to use force in Syria or the Middle East, and could buckle under pressure.

Although Obama has rejected such reasoning, it has been harder for him ever since to convince America's friends and foes that the U.S. maintained a credible threat of force in response to aggression elsewhere, such as Russia's annexation of Ukraine's Crimea region.

In 2012, Obama said any use or movement of chemical weapons by Assad would cross a "red line" and draw a U.S. military response. A year later, when U.S. officials determined that chemical weapons were used to kill hundreds outside Damascus, Obama sought congressional approval for military action and then pursued a diplomatic solution with Russia.

Kerry noted the shift came after then-British Prime Minister David Cameron failed to get parliamentary approval to join in airstrikes and after many U.S. lawmakers voiced their reluctance to approve the use of American force. He said Obama ultimately opted for a better solution: a diplomatic deal that enabled Syria to give up its declared chemical weapon stockpiles.

"The bottom line is, folks, the president never retracted his intent to (use force), he just got rid of the need to do it by embracing a different approach that got all the weapons out," Kerry told reporters at the State Department. He said the negotiated response was more effective than military action because there was no guarantee airstrikes could have accomplished the same thing.

Kerry acknowledged that people far and wide saw the sequence of events as Obama backing down. And he said that view damaged America's effectiveness.

"I will acknowledge to you absolutely, I heard it all over the place," he said. "The perception hurt, yes. The perception hurt."

Kerry said, "I don't think it's fair because I don't think it actually reflected the decisions that he made and it doesn't reflect the reality of what we were able to achieve."
bye, Mr. Kerry!
 
Thursday at 12:01 PM
interestingly,
  • US Doubles Number of Advisers in Iraq as Forces Push into Mosul
    Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

    quotes
    Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
    about Eastern Mosul situation:
    "The axes are beginning to converge as they progress toward the river," and the ISIS fighters "don't have the resources to defend against all three."
  • while I read in Russian Internet
    Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

    (just briefly now) ISIL uses the defense tactics based on VBIEDs which inflicts incomparably heavier casualties on the Iraqis, so (just borrowing a phrase from the above point now) Iraqis won't have the resources to go on with the Eastern Mosul attack
time will tell, I guess
for now, it looks like the first point above:
cTwJu.jpg

I even read ISIL was leaving the east bank of the Tigris ... let's wait and see
 

SampanViking

The Capitalist
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
Thursday at 12:01 PM

for now, it looks like the first point above:
cTwJu.jpg

I even read ISIL was leaving the east bank of the Tigris ... let's wait and see

Interesting point of note. There have been a lot of drone footage of VBIED attacks put on the net by ISIS and it shows how difficult these attacks are to stop in an urban environment and; more than the casualties and damage they inflict, the amount of disorder they create in the attacked units.

The point though, is that these attacks will have only minimum impact, if they are not immediately followed up by major ground offensives, which can force units into retreat. Without them, they are simply painful pinpricks.
 
Top