ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

Equation

Lieutenant General
Hundreds of Iranian troops have arrived in Syria to join a major ground offensive in support of President Bashar al-Assad's government, Lebanese sources said on Thursday, a sign the civil war is turning still more regional and global in scope.

Russian warplanes, in a second day of strikes, bombed a camp run by rebels trained by the CIA, the group's commander said, putting Moscow and Washington on opposing sides in a Middle East conflict for the first time since the Cold War.
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And now you got Iran involved in this mess as well. They too are fight ISO or ISIS.
 

TerraN_EmpirE

Tyrant King
And now you got Iran involved in this mess as well.
Equation, Where have you been for the past 5 years... Iran is up to it's proverbial eye balls in this whole thing. They have been backing Assad since Day zero. And not just Syria but Iraq as well.
World | Thu Oct 1, 2015 11:23am EDT
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Assad allies, including Iranians, prepare ground attack in Syria: sources
BEIRUT | BY LAILA BASSAM
r

Syria's President Bashar al-Assad answers questions during an interview with al-Manar's journalist Amro Nassef, in Damascus, Syria, in this handout photograph released by Syria's national news agency SANA on August 25, 2015.
REUTERS/SANA/HANDOUT VIA REUTERS

Hundreds of Iranian troops have arrived in Syria in the last 10 days and will soon join government forces and their Lebanese Hezbollah allies in a major ground offensive backed by Russian air strikes, two Lebanese sources told Reuters.

"The (Russian) air strikes will in the near future be accompanied by ground advances by the Syrian army and its allies," said one of the sources familiar with political and military developments in the conflict.

"It is possible that the coming land operations will be focused in the Idlib and Hama countryside," the source added.

The two sources said the operation would be aimed at recapturing territory lost by President Bashar al-Assad's government to rebels.

It points to an emerging military alliance between Russia and Assad's other main allies - Iran and Hezbollah - focused on recapturing areas of northwestern Syria that were seized by insurgents in rapid advances earlier this year.

"The vanguard of Iranian ground forces began arriving in Syria: soldiers and officers specifically to participate in this battle. They are not advisors ... we mean hundreds with equipment and weapons. They will be followed by more," the second source said. Iraqis would also take part in the operation, the source said.

Thus far, direct Iranian military support for Assad has come mostly in the form of military advisors. Iran has also mobilized Shi'ite militia fighters, including Iraqis and some Afghans, to fight alongside Syrian government forces.

Lebanon's Hezbollah, which is backed by Iran, has been fighting alongside the Syrian army since early in the conflict.

The Russian air force began air strikes in Syria on Wednesday, targeting areas near the cities of Homs and Hama in the west of the country, where Assad's forces are fighting an array of insurgent groups, though not Islamic State, which is based mostly in the north and east.

An alliance of insurgent groups including the al Qaeda-linked Nusra Front and powerful Ahrar al-Sham made rapid gains in Idlib province earlier this year, completely expelling the government from the area bordering Turkey.



(Reporting by Laila Bassam; Writing by
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World | Thu Oct 1, 2015 12:49pm EDT Related: WORLD, RUSSIA, UNITED NATIONS, SYRIA
Iraq would welcome Russian strikes against Islamic State: Abadi
UNITED NATIONS
Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi addresses attendees during the 70th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the U.N. Headquarters in New York, September 30, 2015. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz
Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi addresses attendees during the 70th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the U.N. Headquarters in New York, September 30, 2015.
REUTERS/EDUARDO MUNOZ
Iraq's government would welcome Russian air strikes against Islamic State and was receiving information from both Syria and Russia on the militant group, Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi said on Thursday.

The United States has led air strikes against Islamic State in Iraq for more than a year, but Baghdad has repeatedly bemoaned the lack of engagement and air support for Iraqi forces trying to regain territory against the group.

On Wednesday, Russian warplanes began air strikes in neighboring Syria, saying it would hit Islamic State "and other terrorist groups."

Abadi, asked by France 24 television whether he had discussed air strikes with Russia in his country, said: ""Not yet" and "it is a possibility. If we get the offer we will consider it and I would welcome it."

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said at a news conference that Moscow was not planning to expand its air strikes to Iraq.

"We were not invited or asked," Lavrov said. "We are a polite people as you know. We don't come if we're not invited."

Russian warplanes that joined the fight in Syria bombed a camp run by rebels trained by the CIA, the group's commander said, putting Moscow and Washington on opposing sides in a Middle East conflict for the first time since the Cold War.

"We were expecting the international coalition, Americans to bring massive air power to protect our forces," Abadi told France 24 on the sidelines of the annual United Nations General Assembly.

"We haven't received that. At the moment we are getting support, but it's not major, it's limited. What matters for us is how best to fight Daesh (Islamic State.)"

Iraq's military joint operations command said on Sept. 27 its military officials were cooperating on intelligence and security in Baghdad with Russia, Iran and Syria to counter the threat from Islamic State.

"It is in our interest to share information with Russia. Russia has a lot of information. The more information we gather the more I can protect the Iraqi people," Abadi said.

Iraqi officials say the agreement to share intelligence with Russia did not mean the United States would lose influence with the Baghdad government. But diplomats and officials said Abadi may use the growing Russian presence as leverage against the Americans as he seeks more weapons from Washington.

Abadi said Baghdad had also been getting "massive" and "very useful" information on Islamic State from the Syrian government.

Abadi also said that the number of Iranian experts and advisers in his country "did not exceed 110" and "they are giving us expertise, training and know-how."

"Iran is helping us. They don't have soldiers or boots on the ground," Abadi said.

When asked whether he believed that Russia had targeted non-Islamic State targets in Syria, Abadi said Russian President Vladimir Putin had told him that it was in Moscow's interests to hit the group because he feared Russian Islamist fighters could return to Russia carry out attacks.

"I can see a sea change (in the fight against Islamic State), but I hope it is in the right direction," Abadi said. "Our aim is to bring everybody together to fight Daesh and not fight among themselves."

(Reporting by John Irish at the United Nations; Editing by David Storey and Grant McCool)
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TerraN_EmpirE

Tyrant King
And this one stands alone.
Business | Thu Oct 1, 2015 2:21pm EDT
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Russia says U.S.-backed Free Syrian Army not a terrorist group
UNITED NATIONS | BY MICHELE NICHOLS
r

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov addresses the media during the United Nations General Assembly at the United Nations in Manhattan, New York, October 1, 2015.
REUTERS/ANDREW KELLY

Russia does not consider the U.S.-backed Free Syrian Army rebels a terrorist group, and they should be part of a political solution in Syria, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Thursday after Russia was accused of bombing the group.

Lavrov told a news conference at the United Nations that Russian air strikes that began on Wednesday targeted Islamic State militants and "other terrorist groups" in Syria. "We targeted ISIL-associated depots, armaments and sites," he said, using an acronym for Islamic State.

Free Syrian Army and U.S. sources said the strikes actually hit facilities of the U.S.-backed group, some of whose rebels have received training and support from the CIA.

Lavrov said Russia's targets were those considered terrorists by the United Nations and by the Russian legal system, including Islamic State and the al Qaeda-linked Nusra Front.

"This is the same position that the Americans are taking. The representatives of the (U.S.-led) coalition command have always said their targets are ISIL, al-Nusra and other terrorist groups. This is basically our position as well," he said.

Lavrov did not specifically deny that Russian planes had attacked Free Syrian Army facilities, but said:"We don't consider Free Syrian Army a terrorist group.

"We believe that the Free Syrian Army should be part of the political process, like some other armed groups on the ground composed of the Syrians' patriotic opposition individuals," Lavrov said.



BIG POWER RIVALRIES

The dramatic escalation of the conflict in Syria prompted by Russia's military action has dominated the U.N. General Assembly. Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Barack Obama discussed the crisis on the sidelines of the General Assembly on Monday and agreed to start talks to avert military clashes by parallel air campaigns.

Lavrov said the legal basis for air strikes in the past year by the U.S.-led coalition of Western allies and regional states against Islamic State targets in Syria was "really flawed."

Russia says its actions were justified by an invitation from its longtime ally President Bashar al-Assad.

The Free Syrian Army was set up by Syrian army defectors after the uprising against Assad began in 2011.

The commander of an FSA-affiliated group said two Russian air strikes on Thursday hit a camp operated by the group, which had received military training from the CIA in Qatar and Saudi Arabia.

Hassan Haj Ali, head of the Liwa Suqour al-Jabal rebel group, told Reuters the camp in Idlib province was struck by around 20 missiles in two separate sorties.

It was at least the third Free Syrian Army group to report being targeted in Russian air strikes.

On Thursday, U.S. Senator John McCain, chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, also said Russia's initial air strikes in Syria targeted Free Syrian Army recruits.

FSA groups have been eclipsed in much of Syria by Islamic State and Nusra Front.



(Reporting by
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I am sorry one more time please...
"We don't consider Free Syrian Army a terrorist group.

"We believe that the Free Syrian Army should be part of the political process, like some other armed groups on the ground composed of the Syrians' patriotic opposition individuals," Lavrov said.

 

delft

Brigadier
Saudi Arabia is concerned about the civilian casualties due to Russian bombing in Syria. Saudi bombing in Yemen causes very many civilian casualties, so many that the Netherlands proposed investigation of war crimes in that country in the UN Commission on Human Rights. However Saudi Arabia objected and the Netherlands retracted its proposal.
Saudi Arabia is concerned about the civilian casualties due to Russian bombing in Syria. Saudi bombing in Yemen causes very many civilian casualties, so many that the Netherlands proposed investigation of war crimes in that country in the UN Commission on Human Rights. However Saudi Arabia objected and the Netherlands retracted its proposal. :eek::(
I was in too much of a hurry yesterday and forgot to mention that I got this news from my Dutch newspaper NRC:
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.
 

delft

Brigadier
And this one stands alone.

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I am sorry one more time please...
"We don't consider Free Syrian Army a terrorist group.

"We believe that the Free Syrian Army should be part of the political process, like some other armed groups on the ground composed of the Syrians' patriotic opposition individuals," Lavrov said.
Such things happen on a crowded battlefield. I just heard a BBC Radio 4 news bulletin and in the survey of the newspapers it mentioned a comment from one newspaper that to prevent accidents everyone should know where everyone else is but that it is impossible to tell the Russians where the British special forces in Syria are.
 
a Red Russian blogger "El Murid" said
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about $4000 Bounty was put on any member of Russian Military in Syria, by
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whose members are paid about $150 a month; he's much more critical
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than "Cassad"
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about the intervention ... plus I noticed Russian journalists at Latakia Airbase:
EDIT
oh and some of you might miss a typical Russian claim of already having achieved more than the US-led air-strikes during a year :)
 
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thunderchief

Senior Member
Smart bomb (KAB-500S) for Su-34. Iron bombs for Su-24. If Russians drop a lot of iron bombs, reserve smart munitions for high priority targets, and conduct air strikes in close cooperation with ground operations, their operation may look more like the initial phase of US invasion of Afghanistan, less like the current US led aim-less bombing campaign against ISIS.

They mostly use OFAB-250 "dumb" bombs for now .

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plawolf

Lieutenant General
And this one stands alone.

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I am sorry one more time please...
"We don't consider Free Syrian Army a terrorist group.

"We believe that the Free Syrian Army should be part of the political process, like some other armed groups on the ground composed of the Syrians' patriotic opposition individuals," Lavrov said.

Makes good sense, when faced with two opponents, fight them one at a time.

By making a distinction between the FSA and ISIS, the Russians and Assad's forces can focus on destroying ISIS without having to worry about the FSA as well.

It also puts the FSA in a difficult position. If they attack Assad's forces, they give Assad and the Russians the perfect excuse to add them to the target list. IF they sit back, they risk loosing any support and legitimacy they have. If they join in the fight against ISIS, they weaken themselves, making it easier for Assad to finish them off larger.

It also neatly chops the legs out from under much of the anti-Russian rhetoric coming from the west, and avoids some of the tougher legal questions about whether foreign forces helping to put down domestic uprisings are committing war crimes (curiously, questions that didn't seem to have occurred to anyone in the west when Saudi Arabia sent in troops to help put down peaceful demonstrations in Bahrain).

After the Russians and Assad's forces have put ISIS to grass, it would be the easiest thing in the world to find or manufacture an excuse to go after the FSA. At that point, the Russians could step back and insist that it is purely an internal matter for the Syrians or sort out themselves without outside interference.
 
LOL I put it here because
... plus I noticed Russian journalists at Latakia Airbase:
and
There are wide reports that Russia’s advanced Su-34 Fullback fighter-bombers are also deployed to the region as well, but so far these have not been substantiated with photographic evidence.
inside
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Deployments of F-22s to the Middle East are nothing new. The stealth fighters, at least about a half dozen of them, have had a seemingly constant presence there for the last half decade or so. Based out of Al Dhafra Air Base in the UAE,
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. They are said to have had sporadic presence over the embattled country ever since.

It is not clear if the 199th Fighter Squadron’s deployment has been long planned as a replacement for F-22s already in the region, or if it will be to bolster the force. It would make great sense that additional Raptors would have been ordered to the theater considering Russia’s rapid buildup of air power in Syria over the last month.

This is especially valid considering that Russia is now
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and started doing so without any coordination with the U.S.-led anti-ISIS coalition already operating over the country.

Apparently Russia’s warning as to their imminent use of air power in Syria came via a Russian General who walked into the U.S. Embassy in Iraq and told officials that the
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Bolstering the F-22 force in light of the Russia’s dramatic geopolitical choices over the last few weeks makes total sense. The aircraft can be present in Syrian airspace while not appearing on enemy radar, soaking up electromagnetic intelligence from Russian aircraft while also working as a sentry of sorts for allied fighter, attack and unmanned aircraft operating in the largely ISIS held eastern part of the country. If need be, the F-22 can also confront Russia fighter aircraft should they make an aggressive move towards coalition aircraft.

As of now, Russia’s fighter aircraft contingent in Syria is tiny. Just four Su-30SM Flankers are known to be deployed to Russia’s master air base south of the Syrian port city of Latakia.
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along with what seems to be close to a two dozen attack and transport helicopters (Mi-8/17s and Mi-35s).

There are wide reports that Russia’s advanced Su-34 Fullback fighter-bombers are also deployed to the region as well, but so far these have not been substantiated with photographic evidence.

As we mentioned in previous pieces, the Su-30s that are there as a minimum force that will most likely sit on quick-reaction alert and fly sporadic air cover missions for Russian attack aircraft. With this in mind, and considering that Russia has not deployed its long-range surface-to-air missile systems to Syria yet, the threat to allied aircraft, most of which can easily defend themselves, is not substantial.

This could change in the future if more Russian counter-air capable assets arrive in Syria. As such, just the knowledge that F-22s are keeping a persistent watch over coalition air operations may make the Russians pause before proclaiming defacto air superiority over the country or harassing coalition aircraft going about their anti-ISIS business.

One of the best things about the F-22 is the enemy finding it tough to know if it is even present at any given time, allowing for a small force to make a huge impact. Still, just a half dozen or so jets in the region based a thousand miles away from Syria is not a credible deterrent, even if the enemy cannot know if they are in the area or not. Adding the six or so jets from the Hawaii ANG is a whole different story.

Additionally, a substantial F-22 force deployed to the CENTCOM region gives commanders options that they do not have with 4th generation fighter aircraft Options in such a potentially volatile military situation are incredibly valuable.

Maybe it will take a F-22 pilot loitering at close to 60,000 feet above central Syria to suddenly turn off their “low-probability of intercept” radar mode and actively paint a Flanker with radar from over a hundred miles away, just to go electromagnetically silent again and disappear, to remind Russia who and what exactly they are dealing with.

Who knows - that could be the Hawaii Air National Guard’s very mission.

Note: We reached out the 154th Wing for comment and have yet to hear back from them. We will update the post accordingly if we do.
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SampanViking

The Capitalist
Staff member
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Makes good sense, when faced with two opponents, fight them one at a time.

By making a distinction between the FSA and ISIS, the Russians and Assad's forces can focus on destroying ISIS without having to worry about the FSA as well.

It also puts the FSA in a difficult position. If they attack Assad's forces, they give Assad and the Russians the perfect excuse to add them to the target list. IF they sit back, they risk loosing any support and legitimacy they have. If they join in the fight against ISIS, they weaken themselves, making it easier for Assad to finish them off larger.

It also neatly chops the legs out from under much of the anti-Russian rhetoric coming from the west, and avoids some of the tougher legal questions about whether foreign forces helping to put down domestic uprisings are committing war crimes (curiously, questions that didn't seem to have occurred to anyone in the west when Saudi Arabia sent in troops to help put down peaceful demonstrations in Bahrain).

After the Russians and Assad's forces have put ISIS to grass, it would be the easiest thing in the world to find or manufacture an excuse to go after the FSA. At that point, the Russians could step back and insist that it is purely an internal matter for the Syrians or sort out themselves without outside interference.

I must admit that I see this a little bit differently.
My reading is that the FSA have been given an "either you are with us or against us" ultimatum. Just think about Lavrovs words yesterday.
In short (and backed up with air strikes) they are being told to return to the Assad fold or they will designated as just another terrorist group and dealt with according;y. Given that they are in very close proximity to Syrian state heartlands and military front-lines, this would make them an immediate and priority target.

It makes sense to neutralise or eliminate this threat first. It is the one that glues together the Western coalition. Without this force, the West has no viable interest in the conflict or resolution.
 
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