Miscellaneous News

zbb

Junior Member
Registered Member
Pains me to say that listed investment in China for average global investors may not be reflective of actual economic growth too. Does it look like China's economy go up only 3-4x in since 1999 ? And the huge x2 spike and burst( 2008 and 2016) does not reflect well on institutional investors' risk management checklist. SP500's curve on the other hand is relative much more stable.

View attachment 109811
That just means most of the gains in the Chinese economy did not go to the owners of capital. As opposed to the US, where GDP growth averaged 2~3% per year while the stock market grew much faster.
 
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4Runner

Senior Member
Registered Member
This sums up well the current tectonic shift in the banking world.
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US bank trouble heralds end of dollar reserve system​

Bank crisis not a credit quality problem but stems instead from now-impossible task of financing America’s ever-expanding foreign debt
By
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MARCH 25, 2023


[My Comment]
The current US/China dance is not about Taiwan or South China Sea. They are just domains or theaters in the grand scheme of world affairs. I bet elites in DC certainly know what David Goldman wrote in this article. Just like in every day life, people choose their own ways of doing things. Dollar is the symbol of Pax Americana.
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
Actually, it started even earlier with Obama. And the imperialists were originally planning to start it with GWB if not for the GWOT having successfully distracted them.

Let’s not be naive in thinking the US would ever welcome China’s rise or be BFFs. Short of an alien invasion, the two will always be rivals to a certain extent.

The key difference is that all US administrations prior to Trump broadly played by the ‘rules’. Sure, there were incidents where they stepped well beyond the line, such as the Chinese embassy bombing, but those were the exceptions rather than the rule.

The past administrations were logical, somewhat consistent, and didn’t break the rules too overtly or frequently, which made them predictable, and that ultimately that made China believe they could reason and work with them.

Trump was the first to fundamentally change that expectation by blatantly and consistently breaking rules and acting irresponsibly and irrationally. That is the cardinal rule that was broken, not that he was anti-China.

China expects every US administration to be anti-China, but so long as they are reasonable and logical and consistent, then that was something China could work with. But an unpredictable, unreasonable and irresponsible US hell bent on doing anything and everything possible to damage China even if that damaged the US more? That’s essentially the world’s most dangerous mad dog. Before Biden, China hoped it was just Trump that was mad, but Biden showed the entire US establishment was equally rabid. So now China is doing the only thing you can with a mad dog.
 

horse

Colonel
Registered Member
The Trump-Biden admin years will go down in history as a key period of transition in Chinese and world politics.

Yeah, I agree.

Even two months ago, I would have some reservations about that, how fast such developments could proceed. But after that Saudi Arabia Iran peace deal broker by China, for two weeks I did not even know what to think. Even today, because that could be a small move or a game changer. Today, it is looking like more of a game changer than anything.

USA caught on the sidelines again. The countries moving events in the world, Russia with their war, and China with their diplomacy.

While the entire West is busy with Russia, its friend China develops inside pole position, like everywhere.

Two months, we could see it developing. Two months later, and we really have to wonder how and what the West can do to make a comeback?

For example, how can the United States reassert their dominance or influence in the Middle East? Having a few bases there probably just does not cut it now, given how the plans are in place for each country to put their economies into overdrive based on Chinese trade and Chinese tech.

Wasn't all this America desire for control was to ensure the money flowed one way, back to America? What now, eh?

I think we are now in the period of the quiet before the storm. This may be a longer period of peace than many might expect, as China systematically puts pieces in position globally, but it is not stable long term.

Yeah, agree exactly with what you are saying, your post is really good.

That was one reason I always though Xi was going to be around for a while. The Chinese side suspected that the American would make a move militarily against it, so stability in the leadership was of paramount importance.

Xi Jinping is a very good leader.

What you say here is really interesting, because so much can still change at this point.

That war in Ukraine with Russia, how that turns out will definitely be a game changer. How people react to that, is unknown.

If China deepens its economic ties with everyone in the global south, which it has been doing, that kind of leaves the West on the outside looking in on that, while their economies face stagnation.

Then we have to see if the West can hold itself together.

Xi visits Putin, and the West is actually talking about it. Wonder how the Americans will feel when that line of European heads of state visit Xi in China, heh?!

:D
 

baykalov

Senior Member
Registered Member
Insolent Russophobic Poland, only wondering where to beg and embezzle money from.


Furthermore, Poland wants to increase the fund (of course with foreign money) from which the EU finances weapons for Ukraine, several countries are against:

Poland will continue to insist on increasing the European Peace Fund, which finances the supply of weapons to Ukraine, despite the resistance of several EU countries.

In order to increase the budget of the European Peace Fund, Poland will have to convince several countries: France, Germany, Italy and Greece, which do not support the idea. The largest countries, in particular, claim that they make the largest contribution to the fund's budget, more than 60 percent, and this, they emphasize, is burdensome for them.

Yesterday, Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki announced that another 200 million euros will go to Poland as part of the European Peace Fund, which will be directed to defense policy. "I also campaigned for this, and my voice was very loud that this fund should be bigger, so that it is not 3.5 billion euros, but much more," Moravetskyi said.

Moreover, Poland continues to criticize and antagonize Germany:

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Germany is failing to support Ukraine with the required amount of military and economic support, Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki claimed on Friday.

In an interview with Politico, Morawiecki issued a stark rebuke of Berlin’s actions during the Ukraine conflict, arguing that it has “not [been] as generous as they should have been.”

Germany should be “sending more weapons, sending more ammunition, and giving more money to Ukraine, because they are the richest and the biggest country by far” in the EU, he said.

Despite his stinging criticism, Morawiecki insisted that he was “not attacking” the German government, but rather “stating the obvious.”

However, Morawiecki still took a swipe at Berlin’s energy policy, which until recently was heavily reliant on Russian fossil fuels. “Through their very mistaken gas and oil policy towards Russia, they are co-responsible for what is happening, for this mess on the energy market.”

Last month, the PM lambasted Berlin for its dependence on Russian energy, comparing it at one point with a drug addict who had “sold its soul” to Moscow. Those comments were later echoed by Polish Defense Minister Mariusz Blaszczak, who accused Germany of allowing Russian President Vladimir Putin “to get the money he used to strengthen his army” by selling gas.

The remarks sparked outrage in Berlin, with Germany’s ambassador to Warsaw, Thomas Bagger, hitting back by saying: “Does the minister know how many billions of zloty Poland transferred to Moscow every year in exchange for Russian energy?”

According to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, since January 2022, Germany has in total committed more than €6 billion ($6.46 billion) of various types of assistance to Ukraine, with about a third being military aid. Russia has repeatedly warned the West against supplying Kiev with arms, arguing that such policies only prolong the conflict while making it a direct participant in the hostilities.
 

horse

Colonel
Registered Member
This sums up well the current tectonic shift in the banking world.
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US bank trouble heralds end of dollar reserve system​

Bank crisis not a credit quality problem but stems instead from now-impossible task of financing America’s ever-expanding foreign debt
By
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

MARCH 25, 2023


[My Comment]
The current US/China dance is not about Taiwan or South China Sea. They are just domains or theaters in the grand scheme of world affairs. I bet elites in DC certainly know what David Goldman wrote in this article. Just like in every day life, people choose their own ways of doing things. Dollar is the symbol of Pax Americana.

Yes, agree completely with what you are saying.

This is an very important article written by Goldman, everyone should it and understand it.

I just bring up one point, that we can deduct, but he does not mention directly.

He hints at it, but we should all know what he means.

The US dollar could go down in value. The US dollar will remain the world's reverse currency, but it could go down in value.

Ask the question in another way.

Why does the USD being the world's reserve currency important to the Americans?

Because it keeps the value of the USD high.

We probably are going into a world were the USD remains the reverse currency, but still suffers a significant depreciation over time.

A lower currency value means that country is poorer.

:cool:
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
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Those congressional hearings were really about faceberg trying to steal Intel from TikTok

Other Americans noted how the hearings were like a comedy sketch
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Given the similarity with the Indian penchant for shaking down foreign firms, I have to wonder what is it in the Indo-European genes that make cattle rustling and stealing such an enduring part of the culture?

Oh crap we are turning into Jai Hind land. Next thing you know there will be caste discrimination…
 

BoraTas

Major
Registered Member
Let’s not be naive in thinking the US would ever welcome China’s rise or be BFFs. Short of an alien invasion, the two will always be rivals to a certain extent.

The key difference is that all US administrations prior to Trump broadly played by the ‘rules’. Sure, there were incidents where they stepped well beyond the line, such as the Chinese embassy bombing, but those were the exceptions rather than the rule.

The past administrations were logical, somewhat consistent, and didn’t break the rules too overtly or frequently, which made them predictable, and that ultimately that made China believe they could reason and work with them.

Trump was the first to fundamentally change that expectation by blatantly and consistently breaking rules and acting irresponsibly and irrationally. That is the cardinal rule that was broken, not that he was anti-China.

China expects every US administration to be anti-China, but so long as they are reasonable and logical and consistent, then that was something China could work with. But an unpredictable, unreasonable and irresponsible US hell bent on doing anything and everything possible to damage China even if that damaged the US more? That’s essentially the world’s most dangerous mad dog. Before Biden, China hoped it was just Trump that was mad, but Biden showed the entire US establishment was equally rabid. So now China is doing the only thing you can with a mad dog.
the 2010s saw the rise of populism in the West again. The reason has to do with economics of course. Social media also literally brought politics to people's houses in real time. The result is we have politicians who are trying to win the popularity contest called elections by pandering to people's ideological biases and primal instincts. "Being tough on xxxxx" politics is a part of it.
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
It's really funny.

Those politicians, all lawyers, think of the CEO to TikTok, as some dumb immigrant who does not know the laws in America.

Those lawyers think they can trick TikTok into selling, thereby America will control all the social media of the world.

Well guess what? The joke is on them, because that TikTok CEO is not some dumb Chinese immigrant, he's Singaporean.

And as we all know, Singapore is a Chinese city, in China, China, China, Chyna!

:D:p

They are forcing Singapore into a Slanty Two Eyes Alliance with China!

Stupid of Taiwan to not take up on Deng Xiaoping’s offer. Instead of becoming a third eye in the upcoming Sino-Alliance, they’ll end up being the butthole.
 

FriedButter

Brigadier
Registered Member
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Breakfast becoming more costly for Britons – Bloomberg​

According to the outlet’s monthly Breakfast Index, the prices of items that typically feature in the morning fry-up jumped by more than 22% in February compared to the same month of last year.

It was the second straight month that the index – which measures standard packages of eggs, milk, sausage, bacon, bread, butter, tomatoes, mushrooms, tea, and coffee – increased by more than 20%.

The cost of a loaf of bread and a dozen eggs in the UK soared 33% year-on-year, the latest figures showed. Tomatoes rose 6.4% last month as it became too expensive to grow vegetables in energy-intensive greenhouses due to skyrocketing electricity bills. Some supermarkets have even started limiting the sales of certain products per person, due to supply shortages.
The cost of a basket of goods used to make the traditional English breakfast has surged to over £35 ($43) due to a lack of fresh vegetables in supermarkets and accelerating inflation, Bloomberg reported on Thursday.

Pfft. Is it really that bad in the UK as Bloomberg is saying? $43 USD to make a breakfast yourself lmao.
 
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