PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

zhangjim

Junior Member
Registered Member
Well, sometimes it's torture to watch people who try to pretend to be professionals talk.
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This answer attempts to describe the difficulty of landing in Taiwan.
I don't like this answer very much because it comes with a lot of pictures unrelated to the topic,many people are wondering if this respondent is a propagandist in Taiwan(because his Chinese is a mixture of simplified and traditional characters).

In any case, the respondent has been trying to prove that he is an "expert" in the following comments, and the critic knows nothing.

A brief summary of his theory:
1、Don't believe in the lethality of long-range artillery. The PLA won't and can't destroy all cities(This may be the only point I agree with, but I don't think civil buildings have the value of being forts)
2、Large scale and large area electronic warfare is unrealistic.In reality, it can only be achieved on a small range of specific goals.Taiwan's armed forces can fight through various means, including purchasing new communication equipment, encrypting communication, and establishing an independent synthetic Brigade.
As for EMP, there is no discussion value at all.
3、The military system of Taiwan's army is very complete, and PLA has no advantage in military system.The PLA's combat capability can't be stronger than that of the United States, so they can't do things that the U.S. military can't do.(This paragraph is complete nonsense, without any logic)
4、PLA military preparation will take at least half a month(This is something that cannot be verified, because it is impossible for ordinary people to know such secrets).The PLA cannot escape the close surveillance of the United States and Japan.So there will be no surprise attack.
5、Therefore, once the PLA shows signs of action, the Taiwan army will immediately hide.
6、The most threatening will be those self-propelled guns, anti-ship missiles and radars, which will improve survivability through mobile deployment.These targets will have escaped at least ten PLA strikes(This paragraph is completely crazy).
7、These artillery and missiles of the Taiwan army will be hidden in urban civilian buildings, and it will be difficult for UAVs and reconnaissance aircraft to find them.
8、The PLA's landing fleet will face the threat of 1000 anti-ship missiles.The United States and Japan will provide intelligence to Taiwan.
9、During the landing phase, Stinger missiles will cause heavy casualties to PLA helicopter gunships,the Ukrainian war proved this very well(I don't know where he read the news)
10、HIMAS will mercilessly bombard the landing forces, and it can be hidden one minute after the launch.
11、The price of UAV is too high to monitor the whole of Taiwan.

Translating these contents is undoubtedly a torture.After a large number of Chinese military forums have been closed, I can only watch these people talk nonsense every day.
 

Coalescence

Senior Member
Registered Member
Well, sometimes it's torture to watch people who try to pretend to be professionals talk.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

This answer attempts to describe the difficulty of landing in Taiwan.
I don't like this answer very much because it comes with a lot of pictures unrelated to the topic,many people are wondering if this respondent is a propagandist in Taiwan(because his Chinese is a mixture of simplified and traditional characters).

In any case, the respondent has been trying to prove that he is an "expert" in the following comments, and the critic knows nothing.

A brief summary of his theory:
1、Don't believe in the lethality of long-range artillery. The PLA won't and can't destroy all cities(This may be the only point I agree with, but I don't think civil buildings have the value of being forts)
2、Large scale and large area electronic warfare is unrealistic.In reality, it can only be achieved on a small range of specific goals.Taiwan's armed forces can fight through various means, including purchasing new communication equipment, encrypting communication, and establishing an independent synthetic Brigade.
As for EMP, there is no discussion value at all.
3、The military system of Taiwan's army is very complete, and PLA has no advantage in military system.The PLA's combat capability can't be stronger than that of the United States, so they can't do things that the U.S. military can't do.(This paragraph is complete nonsense, without any logic)
4、PLA military preparation will take at least half a month(This is something that cannot be verified, because it is impossible for ordinary people to know such secrets).The PLA cannot escape the close surveillance of the United States and Japan.So there will be no surprise attack.
5、Therefore, once the PLA shows signs of action, the Taiwan army will immediately hide.
6、The most threatening will be those self-propelled guns, anti-ship missiles and radars, which will improve survivability through mobile deployment.These targets will have escaped at least ten PLA strikes(This paragraph is completely crazy).
7、These artillery and missiles of the Taiwan army will be hidden in urban civilian buildings, and it will be difficult for UAVs and reconnaissance aircraft to find them.
8、The PLA's landing fleet will face the threat of 1000 anti-ship missiles.The United States and Japan will provide intelligence to Taiwan.
9、During the landing phase, Stinger missiles will cause heavy casualties to PLA helicopter gunships,the Ukrainian war proved this very well(I don't know where he read the news)
10、HIMAS will mercilessly bombard the landing forces, and it can be hidden one minute after the launch.
11、The price of UAV is too high to monitor the whole of Taiwan.

Translating these contents is undoubtedly a torture.After a large number of Chinese military forums have been closed, I can only watch these people talk nonsense every day.
Yup, definitely sounds like a Taiwanese propagandist. For the fourth point however, I think it can be fixed by slowly building up and basing military assets near the staging area, then continue conducting air and sea practices to make it harder for Taiwan forces to figure out if an operation is going to get carried out because of normalization and fatigue. A dagger must be pointed and ready to strike Taiwan at all times.
 

tygyg1111

Senior Member
Registered Member
Well, sometimes it's torture to watch people who try to pretend to be professionals talk.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

This answer attempts to describe the difficulty of landing in Taiwan.
I don't like this answer very much because it comes with a lot of pictures unrelated to the topic,many people are wondering if this respondent is a propagandist in Taiwan(because his Chinese is a mixture of simplified and traditional characters).

In any case, the respondent has been trying to prove that he is an "expert" in the following comments, and the critic knows nothing.

A brief summary of his theory:
1、Don't believe in the lethality of long-range artillery. The PLA won't and can't destroy all cities(This may be the only point I agree with, but I don't think civil buildings have the value of being forts)
2、Large scale and large area electronic warfare is unrealistic.In reality, it can only be achieved on a small range of specific goals.Taiwan's armed forces can fight through various means, including purchasing new communication equipment, encrypting communication, and establishing an independent synthetic Brigade.
As for EMP, there is no discussion value at all.
3、The military system of Taiwan's army is very complete, and PLA has no advantage in military system.The PLA's combat capability can't be stronger than that of the United States, so they can't do things that the U.S. military can't do.(This paragraph is complete nonsense, without any logic)
4、PLA military preparation will take at least half a month(This is something that cannot be verified, because it is impossible for ordinary people to know such secrets).The PLA cannot escape the close surveillance of the United States and Japan.So there will be no surprise attack.
5、Therefore, once the PLA shows signs of action, the Taiwan army will immediately hide.
6、The most threatening will be those self-propelled guns, anti-ship missiles and radars, which will improve survivability through mobile deployment.These targets will have escaped at least ten PLA strikes(This paragraph is completely crazy).
7、These artillery and missiles of the Taiwan army will be hidden in urban civilian buildings, and it will be difficult for UAVs and reconnaissance aircraft to find them.
8、The PLA's landing fleet will face the threat of 1000 anti-ship missiles.The United States and Japan will provide intelligence to Taiwan.
9、During the landing phase, Stinger missiles will cause heavy casualties to PLA helicopter gunships,the Ukrainian war proved this very well(I don't know where he read the news)
10、HIMAS will mercilessly bombard the landing forces, and it can be hidden one minute after the launch.
11、The price of UAV is too high to monitor the whole of Taiwan.

Translating these contents is undoubtedly a torture.After a large number of Chinese military forums have been closed, I can only watch these people talk nonsense every day.
12. If power generation facilities are hit, Taiwan can generate electricity with love
 

56860

Senior Member
Registered Member
I'm of the opinion it is gonna happen this decade, and most likely by force.

As for why, because like you self pointed out, the younger people is getting more and more anti-mainland (partly also because of education) and the current leadership also looks like it wants to 'finish' the Taiwan problem this decade as well.

Besides all of this, Taiwan really has become something of a 'US-China battleground', and China taking Taiwan would be the one blow that ends US hegemony and the world would truly then be a multipolar world.

Moreover economically China is also poised to rise past US (in nominal gdp).
This makes zero sense.

If China will surpass the US economically (IMO it already has, since PPP, manufacturing capacity and trading partners is a better measure of economic power) then there is no reason to potentially sabotage that trajectory through conflict.

China is still a developing country, the US is one of the richest developed countries, yet US elites are already sh*tting themselves whenever the C word is brought up. Now imagine a developed China with a GDP per capita ~35,000 USD, a dozen supercarriers, and an economy larger than NATO. Many small to middle powers, especially Taiwan, would change their tune, because the only absolute law this world recognizes is strength.

So there is no reason to initiate conflict now when the balance of power tilts more towards the PRC with every passing day. In fact, the opposite is true. In the wise words of LKY, economics will solve the Taiwan issue.


Zhonghua Minzu, comprising 56 ethnicities on the Mainland, Taiwanese patriots, Hong Kong patriots, Macau patriots, and all overseas-born descendants of Yan and Huang yearn greatly for the total reunification of the Chinese Nation. However Chinese people are also an intelligent people and China itself is an ancient and great civilization with a 5000 year old history. We can and will wait.
 

drowingfish

Junior Member
Registered Member
Well, sometimes it's torture to watch people who try to pretend to be professionals talk.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

This answer attempts to describe the difficulty of landing in Taiwan.
I don't like this answer very much because it comes with a lot of pictures unrelated to the topic,many people are wondering if this respondent is a propagandist in Taiwan(because his Chinese is a mixture of simplified and traditional characters).

In any case, the respondent has been trying to prove that he is an "expert" in the following comments, and the critic knows nothing.

A brief summary of his theory:
1、Don't believe in the lethality of long-range artillery. The PLA won't and can't destroy all cities(This may be the only point I agree with, but I don't think civil buildings have the value of being forts)
2、Large scale and large area electronic warfare is unrealistic.In reality, it can only be achieved on a small range of specific goals.Taiwan's armed forces can fight through various means, including purchasing new communication equipment, encrypting communication, and establishing an independent synthetic Brigade.
As for EMP, there is no discussion value at all.
3、The military system of Taiwan's army is very complete, and PLA has no advantage in military system.The PLA's combat capability can't be stronger than that of the United States, so they can't do things that the U.S. military can't do.(This paragraph is complete nonsense, without any logic)
4、PLA military preparation will take at least half a month(This is something that cannot be verified, because it is impossible for ordinary people to know such secrets).The PLA cannot escape the close surveillance of the United States and Japan.So there will be no surprise attack.
5、Therefore, once the PLA shows signs of action, the Taiwan army will immediately hide.
6、The most threatening will be those self-propelled guns, anti-ship missiles and radars, which will improve survivability through mobile deployment.These targets will have escaped at least ten PLA strikes(This paragraph is completely crazy).
7、These artillery and missiles of the Taiwan army will be hidden in urban civilian buildings, and it will be difficult for UAVs and reconnaissance aircraft to find them.
8、The PLA's landing fleet will face the threat of 1000 anti-ship missiles.The United States and Japan will provide intelligence to Taiwan.
9、During the landing phase, Stinger missiles will cause heavy casualties to PLA helicopter gunships,the Ukrainian war proved this very well(I don't know where he read the news)
10、HIMAS will mercilessly bombard the landing forces, and it can be hidden one minute after the launch.
11、The price of UAV is too high to monitor the whole of Taiwan.

Translating these contents is undoubtedly a torture.After a large number of Chinese military forums have been closed, I can only watch these people talk nonsense every day.
i cant read chinese but it seems like this guy is saying long range doesnt work for china but it works for taiwan??
 

zhangjim

Junior Member
Registered Member
i cant read chinese but it seems like this guy is saying long range doesnt work for china but it works for taiwan??
You can understand it like this.Many commentators have also criticized this point.Wantonly belittle the ability of one party, but endlessly exaggerate the ability of the other party.

Many people thought he knew nothing about the use and performance of the weapons he boasted about,but another Taiwanese would immediately retort: "At least all the men in Taiwan have been in the military."Although I think an ordinary infantryman should be unlikely to have the ability to command a major battle.

This kind of half-informed people are actually very difficult to deal with,he always thinks you're the one who doesn't know anything.
 
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