Ukrainian War Developments

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Abominable

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Apple is stopping selling phones and providing services in Russia. Since other Android phone companies will likely follow suit, Huawei has just been provided with a huge captive market of 144 million people.
Another thing I realised, sanctions with UN backing are just trade tariffs. When Lithuania announced that it'll be sanctioning Lithuania over Taiwan, all the Anglos were laughing and telling us that it was pointless as Lithuania could just import them through Germany. It's a perfectly valid point, but my point at the time was there will still be costs because of the disruption and extra steps needed to circumnavigate them.

Well Russia is a member of the CIS, and has free trade agreements with most ex-USSR countries. So what's stopping Russia from importing iPhones, semiconductors or anything else they need through any one of them? Is NATO going to sanction all of them too? In that case they've just resurrected the USSR with more seats in the UN.

Even if they did do that, Russia could just have a FTA with China. There's no conceivable way that the all NATO aligned countries are going to economically boycott such a big market.

It makes no sense at all. If anything it tells us that the Lithuania sanctions were 100% correct and should not be removed until America or the EU cedes a concession of some sort.
 

windsclouds2030

Senior Member
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Moon of Alabama - 01 March 2022 -- 500+ comments :D

Disarming Ukraine - Day 6


Just a few points (which I may add to later on):
  • Russia's military operational security seems to work well as little is leaking out about the positions of its forces.
  • Mariupol in the south is now encircled. The Ukraine has lost all access to the Sea of Azov.
  • After a warning that it would attack 'psychological operation' infrastructure in Kiev a Russian plane bombed the electricity substation that feeds the studios and media centers around the TV-tower of Kiev.
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SAC

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It is still to be determined if the Russian move to Kyiv is an actual attempt to take the city or a "strategic feint"? But more on that later...
 

drowingfish

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It is still to be determined if the Russian move to Kyiv is an actual attempt to take the city or a "strategic feint"? But more on that later...
how is that still to be determined? kiev is ukraine's centre of gravity in the north. the move through chernobyl and landing at hostomel were extremely risky, the only justification for that would be kiev. my prediction is that by the end of the week kiev will be surrounded from the west, and the eastern pincer will also reach the city. the stage will be set to take the city soon, although given its size and population density russia will likely attempt to negotiate a peaceful transfer first.
 

Temstar

Brigadier
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Another one of the city square in Kherson, I actually saw this like 12 hours ago but I think at that time Ukrainians still control a lot of the city. However they must have been driven off as Russian MOD have declared Kherson is taken.

But according to the Ukraine government:
Adviser to Zelenskiy denies Russian forces have taken control of city of Kherson
 
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