Chinese Economics Thread

ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
Global Chip Shortage

U.S. auto sales forecast to plummet in third quarter as chip shortage plagues industry
CNBC

cnbc.com/2021/09/30/us-auto-sales-forecast-to-plummet-in-third-quarter-as-chip-shortage-plagues-industry.html
@AndrewS bro the plunge in sales is mostly on legacy ICE vehicle, but those from EV skyrocketed, so in a way a perfect strategic shift for China EV policy transition to meet its target goals.

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19 Sep 2021 — HAIKOU, China -- Surging sales of electric vehicles have put China on track to meet ... The Hongguang Mini EV, China's top-selling electric, ..
 

AndrewS

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No. Washington has substantial resources and the US likes to beat adversaries into the ground. That’s why the Cold War only ended after Russia had many many years of double digit economic contractions.

At its peak, the USSR economy was only half the size of the USA, so it was easy to bankrupt the USSR in an arms race.

In comparison, the Chinese economy today is significantly larger than the USA, if you use purchasing power parity which measures actual output of goods and services, rather than use the undervalued exchange rate

China’s economy has already shown substantial signs of weakening in real estate, energy/industrial production and financial stability with such trends only deteriorating in the upcoming few quarters.

China is set for a balanced budget this year, and might actually end up as a budget surplus
In normal times, China runs a standard 3% budget deficit like many other developed countries
So China easily has economic firepower in reserve

In comparison, during COVID, the US budget deficit and debt exploded and the US doubled the supply of USD in circulation
So the result now is stagflation in the USA, with 1% growth + 5% inflation
Plus arguably a stock market bubble due to all the dollars being printed
 
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AndrewS

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Registered Member
Just report this Indian? Why are you guys always responding to him? It's just as pathetic. Ping mods and report him. He is just polluting all threads and making this site unreadable.

My view is that there are lots of people who are thinking the exact same thing, but don't bother posting.
So it's an education for this broader viewership
I can see 222 guests currently online
 

horse

Major
Registered Member
My view is that there are lots of people who are thinking the exact same thing, but don't bother posting.
So it's an education for this broader viewership
I can see 222 guests currently online

Yeah, I agree.

It is kind of harmless. Someone might learn something.

All he is doing, is digging up some random stats, the micro-picture, then through magic like President Trump's tariffs, transform that into insight on the Chinese marco-economy.

If anyone reading this, do not understand the above paragraph, it doesn't matter.

It is like he sees only the tress but not the forest, and he does not realize he's lost in the woods.

Let's hope he brought along his Batman Utility Belt with anti-bear repellent.

:oops: :D
 
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