Miscellaneous News

[weig2000]

2008 Beijing Olympics is China's coming-out party game. You have world leaders such as George Bush, Vladimir Putin and such dignitaries attending the opening ceremonial. It would have be devastating for the Chinese people and government had it been boycotted. This was demonstrated by the extremely strong negative reactions from Chinese throughout the world to the protesting crowds in some countries. The Beijing Olympics was a stunning success: the most spectacular opening ceremony, a perfect game with some of the most memorable competitions, and the #1 gold medal standing for China. It showcased China's organization capability to the world. Its importance to the psyche of Chinese could not be overstated.

The West, led by the US, apparently wanted to deny the spotlight to China this time. Alas, it is 14 years too late. China has risen, undoubtedly, and has no need for an Olympics to boost its standing on the world stage anymore. Instead, it is the Olympics that needs a country of China's status and wealth and market to boost its influence and presence. There are not many countries able or willing to host Olympics anymore - China actually saved the

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:

A total of six bids were initially submitted for the

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. Four of the bids were subsequently withdrawn by 1 October 2014, citing either the high costs of hosting the Games or the lack of local support, leaving

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and

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as the only two remaining candidate cities.

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was then elected as the host city at the

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in

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,

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, on 31 July 2015.

China's primary goal to host the 2022 Winter Olympics is to promote winter sports in China. It would be disgusting and distraction to see Biden, Johnson or Trudeau and such showing up in the opening ceremony. Today's China is no longer the China of 14 years.

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Eurasia outlined three possible scenarios: a diplomatic boycott, an athletic boycott, or a so-called “outlier scenario.”

1. Diplomatic boycott​

The most likely scenario — with a 60% probability — is for the U.S. to join at least one other major Western country in a so-called diplomatic boycott of the Games.

“A diplomatic boycott is defined here as downgrading or not sending government representatives to the Olympics and taking other high-profile steps to deny Beijing the limelight as host,” the analysts explained.

Eurasia said the likely participants in a diplomatic boycott would be the U.S., Canada, the United Kingdom and Australia, with the possibility of some European countries joining in.

In Asia, however, U.S. partners such as Japan, India and South Korea — which have “more complex political dynamics” or deeper economic relations with China — are not expected to join such a boycott.

The diplomatic approach is the least drastic scenario, according to Eurasia.

2. Athletic boycott​

In this scenario, which has a 30% probability, one or more Western countries could stop their athletes from participating in the Games, perhaps by applying domestic political pressure. An economic boycott is defined as the banning of U.S. spectators, broadcasters, and sponsors.

“Athletic and economic boycotts, which are harder for audiences to ignore, would compel even harsher retaliation from Beijing, possibly involving a diplomatic freeze and more widespread consumer boycotts against Western brands,” Eurasia analysts said.

3. ‘Boycott lite’​

This is an outlier scenario where tensions between the West and China ease, and there will be “mild political statements about the Games” but no formal boycott, the analysts said, labeling it as “boycott lite.”

It’s the least likely scenario and only has a 10% chance of happening, they said, adding: “There is currently not much cause for optimism about the trajectory of Sino-Western relations.”

Here, heads of states might decline to attend the Games and cite scheduling conflicts or other non-political excuses. “Rhetoric would fall far short of an enthusiastic endorsement of Beijing as host, but there would be no declaration of a boycott and no presentation of a united Western position,” the report said.

 

[BoraTas]

US and its allies (EU) planning to jointly boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics. No country has the guts to individually boycott hence they will do it in a group.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1379513555817480192

Boycotting Olympics is not more serious than accusing a country of committing genocide. My bets for boycotters the USA, Canada, Aus. India, the UK and some eastern Europeans are possible too.

 

[BlackWindMnt]

It will probably be the same kind of "boycot" western soccer teams are doing. Put on a shirt that spells human rights and hope the public doesn't demand more.

 

[B.I.B.]

China can live with US + Five Eyes boycotting the Winter Olympics in Beijing. Winter Olympics is not as important as Summer Olympics, plus this is NOT the first Olympics China/Beijing is hosting, the mentality and attitude towards Olympics has changed quite significantly.

Japan is not very likely to join the boycott.

Yip and with the US and Canada out China could possibly pick up more medals. I think the Olympic committee should penalize any country for boycotting the Olympics. Eg While the offending country can't come, their individuals can come and compete under the Olympic flag. But I guess it won't happen because money speaks.

 

[j17wang]

Boycotting Olympics is not more serious than accusing a country of committing genocide. My bets for boycotters the USA, Canada, Aus. India, the UK and some eastern Europeans are possible too.

India is not likely to Boycott the olympics. Official media in India is silent on Xinjiang because of Kashmir and generally massive anti-muslim sentiments. Australia is likely to not boycott as well, they already are staying largely silent on Xinjiang. USA, Canada, UK, and some eastern european countries are most likely.

 

[voyager1]

And as I said the Japanese are more hostile against China than even the US.

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American officials insist that the anti-China approach, which is expected to be repeated in the statement issued out of the Suga-Biden meeting, is coming as much from, if not more from, the Japanese side.

“They were the ones who wanted that strong language in the 2+2 statement,” a knowledgeable US defense official told me. He credited Defense Minister Nobuo Kishi and Vice Minister Yasuhiro Nakayama for this push, calling them “China hawks,” backed by Abe, the former prime minister, who is Kishi’s older brother.

Better for China to start ripping out Japanese IP because these quotes above dont seem to me like a "neutral trading country"

Under the umbrella of a new Pacific Deterrence Initiative, with $27 billion in funding, he envisions fielding “precision-strike” networks of land and sea-based missiles, paired with missile defense systems and air and naval aircraft, “along with the First and Second Island Chains.”

While it is still in the planning stage, this includes new long-range missiles based in Japan as well as on Guam and other Pacific islands.

Oh look, time for another missile encirclement. Waiting for the people complaining about Russia aggression to its eastern border and praising China's calmness/diplomacy, to see how they will react to this.

How will the famous calm China react to a missile encirclement...

 

[j17wang]

Yip and with the US and Canada out China could possibly pick up more medals. I think the Olympic committee should penalize any country for boycotting the Olympics. Eg While the offending country can't come, their individuals can come and compete under the Olympic flag. But I guess it won't happen because money speaks.

The medal count would be boosted for both China and Russia the most, with also significant boost to Korea and Japan if they elected to join.

 

[plawolf]

India is not likely to Boycott the olympics. Official media in India is silent on Xinjiang because of Kashmir and generally massive anti-muslim sentiments. Australia is likely to not boycott as well, they already are staying largely silent on Xinjiang. USA, Canada, UK, and some eastern european countries are most likely.

Would anyone even notice if the Indians didn’t turn up?

 

[AssassinsMace]

The US and all their allies are chicken sh*ts. It's a bunch of countries hoping the other guy does all the dirty work and then they'll come in after the battle is over and claim victory or if they lose, they'll say, "It wasn't me!" Japanese hawks? Yeah they want the US to do everything for them. If there are so many anti-China hawks in the Western alliance why haven't already started a war with China? So anti-China yet something has got them afraid.

 

[j17wang]

Would anyone even notice if the Indians didn’t turn up?

India usually get a few medals each game, if not necessarily a gold. They do send a sizable delegation though.