IMHO, we have to take the morale of the TW military into our consideration and calculation.
what and why are they fighting for and against. Low morale coupled with no clear objective means confusion with fighting doctrines and plans.
Besides, the average TW soldier is nicknamed strawberry soldier, cannot stand discomfort and hardship in peace time at all, let alone in a war footing.
I am tempted to say that as soon as those F16V arrive, the PLAF can simply openly invite such F16V pilots to defect to the Mainland and declare exchanging each plane for a certain amount of money as rewards.
that would sow the seed of suspicion among the TW air force hierarchy, so much so that each plane may be only half filled with fuel to prevent defection, thus eroding fighting effectiveness.
Hi Jono,
I will make an opposite case, so please bear with me.
These war talk is making me uneasy, cause my sister and her family lived in Taiwan. From what I gather from my Taiwanese brother in law, is that KMT mess thing up during the last presidential election and Hkg protest is being funded by the DPP to make a case against the one country 2 system. With the economic difficulties being experience and the brain drain to the mainland, their is a sense of despair and they are looking anything for a way out. Unfortunately the DPP policy of decoupling from the mainland is the main culprit for the decline, the south/south policy cant replace what the mainland can bring.
What Im trying to say is nobody want to be invaded, even though we are relative, I dont want you to illegally squat in my house, and if we invade Taiwan successfully , we will lose Taiwan forever.
The solution is still peaceful integration, we are all Han Chinese, shared the language and the culture. All is needed is time and open borders for trade and communication, War will only bring hatred and misery and will take many generation to fix it.