Re: The End of the Carrier Age?
For Spartan 95:
Semi-active radar homing is not difficult to defeat. Semi-active laser doesn't work well at all at sea. The marine environment scatters and absorbs the laser return. Glint off the water disrupts laser homing too. On a foggy day it's useless. It is, however, very accurate for use in land battles. JDAM II can chase a moving land target, or so it's said, but I have never heard of it being employed against a naval target.
For semi-active radar to work, something has to illuminate the target for at least the final intercept. The methods I mention are the unclassified methods available to spoof semi-active radar. There are others. Note that the US has basically moved away from this method as SM-6 enters service, and SM-2's are converted to SM-6. Sparrow is gone from the inventory, replaced with AMRAAM. ESSM will get an active seeker too. Semi-active radar homing is rendered obsolete by modern ECM, and the illumination platform is a good target for attack as well.
The problem with mid course guidance is that something has to get within line of sight of the target and communicate. It will be engaged by the enemy at that point, even a satellite. It is not the solution, weapons have to be able to find their own targets. Man in the loop is useful in a permissive environment where the enemy has no air force, missiles or ECM and minimization of collateral damage is important, such as low intensity wars against insurgencies, but man in the loop can be disrupted by an advanced enemy. Weapons have to be autonomous. Reliance on outside guidance will lead to mission failure. This was true with Soviet weapons and remains true today. Why do you think Harpoon and TASM both had autonomous guidance? Even the US didn't want to be forced to rely on mid course guidance, it is unreliable.
What you suggest regarding guidance from behind with antenna in the fins has been around for a long time and was used on numerous missiles. RBS-70 uses this. It is called command line of sight, or CLOS, and the guidance signal can be, and usually is, jammed. RBS-70 employes an encrypted laser to get around jamming, but the guidance unit must remain line of sight with the target, making it vulnerable to attack, and again, laser guidance is degraded in a marine environment.
You haven't spent time with a CSG. Most of the time, units are not in sight of each other as they steam. The radar horizon of both AEGIS and the E-2 make this desireable. Forget "War and Sea" and ships steaming in tight formations for mutual support. Today a carriers four or five escorts seldom see each other while at sea, except to replenish. Even still, their sensor horizons overlap.
Btw, container cargo ships dwarf any carrier made, some by a factor of 50%. There are far more container cargo ships of 100K tons or more than there are aircraft carriers. There are hundreds of tankers that are larger than a CVN, some are three times the displacement of a Nimitz class. A carrier with all her electronics off except for one commercial navigation radar would not look any different to naval sensors than literally hundreds of commercial ships on that same body of water. With careful use of weather, a carrier can avoid detection, and the US Navy practices this sort of tactical deception routinely. Do you know how Admiral Lyons brought the Eisenhower strike group so close to the Kola Penninsula without being detected, or how we snuck into the Sea of Okhotsk? It isn't as if the Soviets didn't have plenty of satellites looking, or ships on the water, including hundreds of fishing vessels and small commercial craft. I'v sailed those waters and seen all the Soviet fishing boats and rusty old cargo ships. The Sovs had scads of these. It is possible to evade sensors with a carrier, or blend in and look like commercial traffic, and importantly this is practiced.
Finding and sinking a carrier is not a slam dunk, not by a long shot.