PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

siegecrossbow

Field Marshall
Staff member
Super Moderator
However, this also applies to PLAN. Without designated restricted areas, ROCs could use fiber optic FPV fishing boat to attack warships too, making it difficult to trace the source.

If restricted areas are designated, it implies that fishing boats are essentially maritime militia, thus losing their stealth capabilities. In that case, it would be better to simply load a container ship with FPV.

I was being facetious. Just demonstrating the sheer number of ways China could skin the cat now.
 

supersnoop

Colonel
Registered Member
Translation: "Let's just use it up against Iran, since they're useless vs the PLARF anyways...":D:D

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View attachment 170550
Next month in Kaohsiung port...
"There's a container from Raytheon! The new Patriots have arrived! Call President Lai's office and schedule the ceremony!"
"Let's open it up for inspection first"
*Opens container*
"WTF, there's just a note here..."

Dear Taiwan Friends,

Sorry your missiles have been diverted to us as we are in urgent need as you know. You have nothing to be afraid of... those guys in China are not so bad. We buy their cars all the time, we like them even more than Japanese ones! You know the saying, we Jews know a good value when we see one!

All the best, your true friend Benjamin
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
Next month in Kaohsiung port...
"There's a container from Raytheon! The new Patriots have arrived! Call President Lai's office and schedule the ceremony!"
"Let's open it up for inspection first"
*Opens container*
"WTF, there's just a note here..."

Dear Taiwan Friends,

Sorry your missiles have been diverted to us as we are in urgent need as you know. You have nothing to be afraid of... those guys in China are not so bad. We buy their cars all the time, we like them even more than Japanese ones! You know the saying, we Jews know a good value when we see one!

All the best, your true friend Benjamin
There's no note; that's a FedEx envelope. This is a nice hefty box that gets you excited you're about to get the good stuff. Open it:
1772486617207.png
Call them to ask WTF is happening and they don't answer. Email and they go, "Delivery confirmation with signature received at 3:15pm. Dispute closed."
 
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abc李

New Member
Registered Member
You guys see any potential lessons from the Iran war for the ROC, aside from not gathering all of its top brass under the same roof and turning the meeting into a sitting-duck-fest? Maybe seeing Iranian drones being able to to an extent penetrate the air defense across the region (IRGC even claims to have
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with drones) could lead the ROC to focus more on UAVs? Or is the disbalance of air power between USA/Isreal vs Iran too big for any lessons being applicable for potential Taiwan straits conflict scenarios?
 

siegecrossbow

Field Marshall
Staff member
Super Moderator
You guys see any potential lessons from the Iran war for the ROC, aside from not gathering all of its top brass under the same roof and turning the meeting into a sitting-duck-fest? Maybe seeing Iranian drones being able to to an extent penetrate the air defense across the region (IRGC even claims to have
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with drones) could lead the ROC to focus more on UAVs? Or is the disbalance of air power between USA/Isreal vs Iran too big for any lessons being applicable for potential Taiwan straits conflict scenarios?
There aren’t that many lessons really. China’s infiltration of ROC is far worse than US/Israelis infiltration of Iran and average ROC recruit’s will to fight is no where near that of IRGC soldier’s post Khameni’s death.

The best Lai could conceivably do is to use HsienFengs and HIMARS for one wave of suicidal strikes against mainland coastal cities such as Xiamen. This is why you see instance proposals like stationing HIMARs launchers in Penghu.
 

zlixOS

Junior Member
Registered Member
You guys see any potential lessons from the Iran war for the ROC, aside from not gathering all of its top brass under the same roof and turning the meeting into a sitting-duck-fest? Maybe seeing Iranian drones being able to to an extent penetrate the air defense across the region (IRGC even claims to have
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with drones) could lead the ROC to focus more on UAVs? Or is the disbalance of air power between USA/Isreal vs Iran too big for any lessons being applicable for potential Taiwan straits conflict scenarios?

ROC will never learn any lessons lmao. They speak in vague, nebulous, grandiose visions of F-16s shooting down J-20s by the swarmful, and should you prod further, they will loftily indicate that the time for discussion is over and that you are in fact a tankie.

But jokes aside, I don't really see what the ROC could learn from this. The primary question and contradiction is that the US got dragged into a war by Bibipstein, and it is not apparent which side will run out of munitions first. The PRC, being on the attack of its own volition, will be the one to decide, and will thus obviously have stockpiled far more than Taiwan + ROK + Japan + Indopacom.
 

ForcedTrend

Junior Member
Registered Member
i don't see another free oppurtinity like this come into china's hand
the US are stuck in iran, china can take taiwan and japan tomorrow and there is nothing they can do about it
 

supersnoop

Colonel
Registered Member
Maybe seeing Iranian drones being able to to an extent penetrate the air defense across the region (IRGC even claims to have
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with drones) could lead the ROC to focus more on UAVs?
If you look at the drone program in Taiwan, it is simply either not serious, or they are severely lacking in competent engineers. Their WL-class drone “Teng Yun” has been in development for 10+ years and is still not ready for production. They have shown some suicide drones similar to Shaheed, but it is unknown the quantity or quality. Many drones have been found to contain components from mainland.

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manqiangrexue

Brigadier
You guys see any potential lessons from the Iran war for the ROC, aside from not gathering all of its top brass under the same roof and turning the meeting into a sitting-duck-fest? Maybe seeing Iranian drones being able to to an extent penetrate the air defense across the region (IRGC even claims to have
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with drones) could lead the ROC to focus more on UAVs? Or is the disbalance of air power between USA/Isreal vs Iran too big for any lessons being applicable for potential Taiwan straits conflict scenarios?
I should have answered here instead of the Taiwan news thread cus this is more relevent but I replied this:
"At the first sign of US interference, missile strike all of American bases in Asia without fear. Hit Japan, Korea, Philippines, every one. Don't be afraid you've started war with all these countries because once you do this, the US military will be ineffective and once that is true, none of them will dare join. Also, warn them that this happened to them because they hosted US bases, and if they retaliate, their civilian infrastructure is next, but it is not on the menu as long as they sit there and shut up. The difference between the new and old Iran teaches us that going soft on the enemy never causes him to return the favor; don't be afraid to strike all out because only force, not diplomacy, will back them down."
 
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