Trump 2.0 official thread

Ringsword

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Why Japan? It is bunch of crowded islands with absolutely no natural resources. It is also the reason why Japan always wanted to invade continental Asia. However, it is exactly because Japan lacks resources that compels the Japanese nation to adopt an offensively realistic but very opportunistic maritime imperialist foreign policy. Tokyo also realises that it is not a top-notch power, so it has long tried to align with the strongest power in the world order (British Empire from Meiji era to right before WWII, and then the US after WWII) in order conquer other lesser powers (Korea, Qing, ROC, Russia, USSR, etc.). Japanese elites also realises that striking Pearl Harbour was a strategic mistake, but not invading the much weaker China.

In general, Japan is highly opportunistic and has long mastered realpolitik as a regional power.

Internally, Japanese ideology is actually extremely feudalistic to its core due to the population's continuing perception of the emperor and respect for paternalistic social order as the ultimate guarantor of the national identity/existence.

As with today and exemplified by the US-Japan alliance, they most effective way to keep Japan down is to preserve its independence (especially keeping its emperor) but coerce Japan through both institutional and power means to give up part of its sovereign defence and foreign policy.
Yes,even though we are thinking too far ahead of ourselves as the litmus test is Taiwan -any AR of TW by MUST be absolutely successful-the quicker and more bloodless the better and any long drawn out quagmire like Ukraine will attract the antiChina elements like a Japan,Australia and India of course under the aegis of USA to bleed/weaken China-Japan now must never have full sovereignity but only a neutered suzerainity -now under USA but later if/when China grows even more powerful...under Beijing???.But the true test is Taiwan.
 

Ringsword

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iewgnem

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siegecrossbow

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zyklon

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Looks like we missed out on this little gem…


How he managed to tweet this while simultaneously gargling on a wrinkly orange nutsack truly is a mystery for all ages!

Talk-to-the-hand Lindsey secretly wanting to destroy the Vatican for denying him true love.

Cut Lindsey some slack. He just wants to be able to call Trump: Daddy, if not Big Daddy . . . I mean Holy Father! ;)
 

RoastGooseHKer

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Steppe Nomads also live in a difficult to reach location. Didn't stop China solving that problem.

Its just a matter of technology really. So that should not stop China figuring out a way.

Korea and Vietnam can be put up with since they don't have some hardcore warrior culture that takes over everything. The same cannot be said of Japan.
From this point of view (warrior culture and zero-sum policies toward conquered subjects), the Russians are a much bigger threat to China than Japan. Russia has a much more proud military culture based on its imperial expansion. Russia remains proud of the territories it took from China. AND should Russia ever align with Japan, India, or the US, China is going to face the same century-old Xiongnu/Mongol northern nomadic threats again. At least Japan and China are separated by an ocean, so as long as China maintains a somewhat capable navy and credible strategic deterrence, the Japan threat could be more manageable compared to those coming from a Hindu nationalist India or a potentially hostile post-Putin Russia.
 

RoastGooseHKer

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As long as Japan exists as an independent entity there exists the possibility of having a China in decline and an ascendant Japan . In this scenario, history would keep replaying itself as Japan seeks to overcome its inherent disadvantages by colonizing mainland Asia. Incorporation into China as 2-3 separate provinces forever ends that possibility. The Japanese islands also give a wide front of access into the Pacific, act as a forward base away from the higher value mainland coast (commercial shipping and manufacturing), and extend detection range.
That why strategic deterrence matters. For example, Russian remains a nominal great power on the same league with the US only because of its nuclear weapons inherited from the USSR. If you realised that time is not on your side and long-term decline becomes inevitable, build up lots of nukes and delivery vehicles. If there is one country that Washington would not mess around with, it is Russia only because of the latter's inherited nukes, despite that fact the Russia's economy smaller and far less innovative/vibrant than those of Guangdong Province.
 

jiajia99

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Looks like we missed out on this little gem…


How he managed to tweet this while simultaneously gargling on a wrinkly orange nutsack truly is a mystery for all ages!
Seriously, it’s a question for the ages as to how on earth such a person like Lindsay Graham managed to say in politics for so long despite saying some of the worst garbage. Really boggles the mind to tell the truth
 
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