Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

Discussion in 'Members' Club Room' started by localizer, Jan 18, 2020.

  1. localizer
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    localizer Junior Member
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    Back in ‘03, people returning from Beijing were quarantined on the spot. They were given a tent and sent food.
     
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  2. Gatekeeper
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    Gatekeeper Senior Member
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    Wuhan on lock-down today, i saw an article stating no transport in and out of Wuhan. My heart goes out to our compatriots in Wuhan in this, the most festivity, of times.

    FB_IMG_1579769726443.jpg
    FB_IMG_1579769803105.jpg

     
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  3. Brumby
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  4. shanlung
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    shanlung Junior Member
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  5. Broccoli
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    Broccoli Junior Member

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    They should ban people from eating and selling bushmeats etc.
    https://twitter.com/chenqiushi404/status/1219885244670607361

    https://www.sciencemag.org/news/201...epidemic-killed-more-11000-people-west-africa

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=12302979
     
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  6. Brumby
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  7. supercat
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    The virulence itself is not necessarily 10 times worse if you take into account the number of trips Chinese make currently compared to almost 20 years ago - now China's transportation infrastructure is probably 20 times better and people are making 20 times more trips in the same time period. If the virulence is not much worse, I guess the epidemic will be contained once traveling is successfully restricted.
     
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  8. siegecrossbow
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    siegecrossbow Brigadier
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  9. Bltizo
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    The media always have a field day with viruses or epidemics, and some news outlets are worse than others when it comes to misleading clickbait titles in general. News au unfortunately falls into that camp, and are little better than Daily Mail in that regard.

    The quote from guan yi is that the potential of the actual number of infected individuals could be 10 times greater than sars. But the degree of virulence and the % fatality of it has yet to be determined.

    At present, this novel coronavirus is still being investigated for its R0 and virulence, and they're still tracking the prognosis of the disease and who may be more susceptible to it. Based on the deaths so far, it is unsurprisingly the more elderly and comorbid who are suffering greater mortality but that is to be expected for any viral respiratory infection.

    What is to be monitored is the degree of H2H transmission and to track any mutations of the virus, and to reduce R0 with control measures.
     
  10. Brumby
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    One problem with this particular virus is that it has a relatively long incubation period where symptoms may not be apparent initially. One of the confirmed case reported in HK is that the person dropped by a hospital with initial medical issues but was sent home after negative test results. That person dropped back in two days later and further test showed positive results.

    The big picture problem will be when the infection numbers cross a threshold beyond the existing medical infrastructure's ability to cope. Social media is already reporting long queues at hospitals.
     
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