Chinese UAV/UCAV development

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FORBIN

Lieutenant General
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That looks like predator gun camera footage. Note the different target rectacule, and better night vision contrast compared to earlier known CH4 gun camera videos.

What I was far less impressed with was how the gunner had to manually lead a moving target. That meant it was far more down to gunner skill to hit moving targets rather than it being an inherent, built-in capability of the drone itself.

From what I remember of the test footage, the Chinese CH serious drones seemed to have a built-in ability to engage a moving target, where you just kept the crosshairs centred on the moving target, rather than having to eyeball how far to lead it manually.

US UAV sure
Iraq Isis 2014 -- U.S Air Strikes Over ISIS Iraq AF
on the video and Iraqi AF have received their in 2015.

They get 3+ CH-4B armed variant, 89th Attack sqn based to Kut, 2 hard points same payload as MQ-1B ofc clearly less capable as a MQ-9.
 

jon88

New Member
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Recently people wrote about the relative accident rates of Chinese and US drone. Therefore I refer here to an article in WaPo about US drone accidents:
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Too long to copy here but remarkable.
Even if Chinese drones are twice more proned to accidents than American drones, Chinese drones are still the better bet. At 40X cheaper, Chinese drones can afford to be 39X more proned to accidents and still prevail. They are still the value for money items.

Besides, why the need for sophisticated American drones?... you don't need AntiAircraft canons to kill wild geese when a good hunting rifle will do.
 

jobjed

Captain
Even if Chinese drones are twice more proned to accidents than American drones, Chinese drones are still the better bet. At 40X cheaper, Chinese drones can afford to be 39X more proned to accidents and still prevail. They are still the value for money items.

Besides, why the need for sophisticated American drones?... you don't need AntiAircraft canons to kill wild geese when a good hunting rifle will do.

I think we have to get this cleared up. The comment a couple pages back had an incorrect figure for the cost of a Predator drone. The cost is actually $4 million, not $40 million.

However, your point still stands, the Chinese drones can afford to be 3.9 times more accident-prone and still have the better value for money.
 

Deino

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
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Mabye You remember the "ready for delivery lineup" of several J-10Bs + the strange partially painted J-20 on the left ... however there are even two more: first a well known WD-1K Wing Loong but also this "strange thing" we know on the GE-image since last year.

Deino

J-10B - 16.1.16 + J-20 + strange.jpg
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
I think we have to get this cleared up. The comment a couple pages back had an incorrect figure for the cost of a Predator drone. The cost is actually $4 million, not $40 million.

However, your point still stands, the Chinese drones can afford to be 3.9 times more accident-prone and still have the better value for money.
Well, it was $4 million for a Predator in 2009 dollars at US procurement cost and $1 million for a Wing Loong in 2011 dollars at foreign purchase price, so in the same year, the Predator is most likely at least 6 to 7 times the cost of Wing Loong for a foreign nation to purchase, but that doesn't mean that Wing Loong could be 5.9-6.9 times more accident prone and still be a better buy. It depends on how much value you put on reliability and the ability to avoid botched missions and the embarrassment that accompanies them. Though I'm not saying that US drones are more reliable at all. You also have to account for maintenance costs and the service life of the drone and I don't know which is more expensive or durable in either case.
 
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Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
continued...


In November, CASC also
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There are some hints that the relatively cheap price for China’s armed drones comes at the cost of less capability or even perhaps quality. Jeremy Binnie, an IHS Jane’s analyst focused on the Middle East, notes that while
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of Iraq’s CH-4B sitting in a hangar first leaked in mid-March 2015, Iraqi officials didn’t officially announce the purchase until October. “It seems a bit surprising to me that the Iraqis took so long to get their [drone] operational,” says Binnie. “That suggests to me that there are some teething problems.”

Other incidents could point to reliability issues with the Caihong drones. Nigeria’s armed CH-3 first became public when one of them
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in photos of a crash in the country’s northeast. Two CH-4 drones also reportedly
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in Algeria during tests by the Algerian military, though the incidents may not have dampened the country’s enthusiasm for a purchase.
Algeria is also rumored to have expressed interest in purchasing an armed CH-4 to help in its war against domestic al Qaeda-linked militants.

Wong also points to China’s historic struggles with self-sufficiency in engine technology as a sign that it may not have yet reached complete parity with the United States. “I was told that the current turboprop engine installed in the CH-4 is a ‘mature and reliable’ indigenous design, but I have my doubts about this claim.”

China’s drones may be cheap, capable, and discrete, but they still owe much of their market share to the tight restrictions that the United States, an early developer and prolific user of armed drones, has placed on exporting UAVs. .

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So much for bragging the reliability of American made UAV. But those analyst never check the accident record of predator. They just open their mouth . Here is the real story

According to
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from The Washington Post, the Air Force had its worst year for drone crashes ever in 2015, as its Reaper drone was suddenly plagued by crashes.

Crashes caused $2 million in damage

The Post found that electrical failures have been causing the massive military drone to suddenly drop out of the sky. Although investigators have traced the problems back to issues with the drones' "starter-generator," the exact reason for the problems, and the solution, haven't been determined.

Meanwhile, the drones keep falling. The 20 large Air Force drones that crashed last year caused $2 million in damage, the Post reported, although no one was killed by a crash. Ultimately, 10 Reaper drones were damaged or destroyed, a figure that was at least twice as high as any other year, according to the Post. Half of the total drone crashes were not reported by the Department of Defense, despite a policy to disclose major mishaps.

The Air Force has already been publicly bemoaning a lack of funding and people. Last month, it
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to hire thousands of new personnel for its drone program.
 
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AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
It just goes to show that journalists are a bunch of elitist snobs. Look at how they're mocking actor Sean Penn for his interview debacle with drug warlord El Chapo, They're no different in this case. They left of a lot of facts. So arrogant to automatically believe that US drones suffer no problems for them to thumb their nose based on assumptions and prejudice on the quality of Chinese drones. If Iraqis ordered CH-4Bs back in March 2015 and videos of strikes started showing up in Dec. 2015, wouldn't there have to be some training involved before they can actually be used? But because videos didn't show up on the internet back in March, there had to have been problems with the drones themselves. Yeah the Iraqis just drove up to the Chinese Wal-Mart and put themselves a few CH-4Bs in their shopping cart and then drove home to take them out of their boxes with some assembly required, they just needed to read the instructions.
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
With very few exceptions, professional journalists as a whole are very much like politicians.

I think it's been well established that for the vast majority, their opinions value less than the paper it's printed on when it comes to Chinese defense matters.

None of them have any connections or even original insight and are just a bunch of group thinking, circle jerking old boys club members in the pocket of special interests.
 
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