Chinese Economics Thread

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The World Bank has decided to lend 200 million U.S. dollars to a transport project in east China to improve the maintenance and management of rural roads

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Anlsvrthng

Captain
Registered Member
China economic growth - driven by consumption

First 6months of 2018. Total growth of 6.8%

Final consumption contributed 78.4% of headline growth (5.3% out of 6.8% total)
Capital formation contributed 31.4%
Net exports turned out to be a drag, detracting 0.7% from headline growth in H1.

Source
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The consumer debt increased by 3.7% of GDP in the last year.
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Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
Reading western media one get impression that Chinese economy is doing terrible but of course it is half empty glass kind of story because they emphasize the decrease in manufacturing while ignoring the improving service economy which what China want to transform the economy from manufacturing to service

Chinese economy holding up surprisingly well, analyst says
But it could take a hit if tension from the trade dispute with the US spills into other areas such as strategic military issues, analyst warns
By ASIA TIMES STAFF OCTOBER 4, 2018 6:24 PM (UTC+8)
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Dispute between the US and China is likely to last until at least the end of the year, a top Hong Kong analyst has predicted.

“I think the trade tensions will persist through the US [mid-term] elections,” Uwe Parpart, chief strategist of Seven Stars Cloud Group, said in an interview with CNBC.

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“I think [US President] Donald Trump does not want to let off there in terms of his pressure on China because he believes that that plays well with at least a significant portion of his constituencies, and therefore new trade talks [between the two countries] won’t happen until December, until after the election.”

Interest rates were increasing in the US, which had had “very good data” and employment figures expected tomorrow [Friday in the US] were supposed to be very positive. But the Chinese economy “is actually holding up surprisingly well”, he said.

“We’ve seen some pullback on manufacturing.. but that’s been made up for with the services [sector], and that’s what China wants… strengthening of the service industries and it’s succeeding in doing so.

“I think while the trade issues are weighing on sentiment for markets, they’re not necessarily weighing on the Chinese economy in a way some people had expected. That’s a very positive takeaway.”


The danger, he said, was that tension from the trade dispute spilling into other areas. “We saw the other day a near-collision between a Chinese and a US ship in the South China Sea, and a lot of belligerent talk from people in the [US] administration or close to the administration.

“If the Chinese begin to conclude that this [tension] is not only about trade, but a sort of broader political issue and strategic military issue that’s involved, then, of course, I think we are in for a much more difficult situation than we had foreseen.

“Let’s hope that’s not the case, and it bears watching what [US Vice President] Mr Pence has to say [this week] – whether he speaks out on trade alone, or whether he is going to broaden the attack, if you will.”

Parpart is also editor of Asia Times.
 

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
Ironic since Trump gets his information about China from those he accuses of fake news. Just look at his accusations over Kavanaugh that it was a media orchestration to have this information come out now as opposed to when the Democrats first knew about it and didn't reveal. Like they don't do that to China? Every time a Chinese leader comes to the US, a whole slew of new human rights violations surfaces from the US media. They were sitting on that news until they can use it. How about today where China supposedly hacked servers in China that US corporations were using. This supposedly has been happening for years and only now they're revealing it? It's not so hard to believe that the media would lie?
 
now I read
Across China: Wellness tourism gains popularity among young white collars
Xinhua| 2018-10-04 17:46:26
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Sipping tea on a roof-top terrace while overlooking the forested mountains directly below and just beyond, office worker Gao Lili, 29, spent her first day of the week-long National Day holiday relaxing in the plush O2 lounge, about 400 km away from the city of Hangzhou.

Once an outbound tourism lover, Gao felt fed up with the fatigue and crowds of long-distance journeys and tourist attractions.

With a hectic work schedule waiting for her at the end of the holiday, she decided to refresh herself through wellness tourism, which emphasizes traveling to promote health and well-being.

With over 96.5 percent of the area covered by forests, the Tongling Mountain township in the city of Wenzhou, eastern China's Zhejiang Province, boasts negative oxygen ions exceeding 360,000 per cubic centimeter, a genuine ideal destination for many young Chinese like Gao.

Dozens of forest bases developed by the wellness tourism industry in the city also provide tourists with supporting services including health-preserving enjoyment by traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), Yoga and Tai Chi exercises, as well as healthy food selections.

"Even the best machine cannot withstand long-time high-load operations and neither can our bodies," said Gao, who works in an Internet finance company earning around 15,000 yuan (2,185 U.S. dollars) per month in Hangzhou, capital of Zhejiang.

An employee at a hotel in Tongling Mountain township, Liu Zhuying was also amazed at the increasing popularity of the emerging industry.

The region plans to build 50 wellness tourism bases, and it is estimated to receive about 70 million tourists annually by 2020. The total value of output will exceed 27 billion yuan by that time.

"Countries like India, the Republic of Korea, the United States of America, Switzerland and Singapore are world-renowned destinations for wellness tourism, and they all have their competitive medical tourism systems," said Zhu Shanzhong, executive director of the World Tourism Organization (UNWTO).

"In the past, wellness tourism has been related to older citizens and their lifestyles. But now, more and more young Chinese favor in-depth travels for the purpose of health preservation," said Yang Honghao, an expert with the China Tourism Academy.

Among the young tourists, white collars like Gao will be a major driving force of the industry.

Yang noted that there are more than 80 million white collars and about 110 million people in the middle class in China. In the meantime, China has a huge number of sub-healthy people, which are likely to inject strong vitality into the wellness tourism industry.

A mature industry chain with complete supporting services, such as the TCM services and oxygen lounges that Gao is enjoying on her holiday, attract young office people to the new holiday resorts.

"It is a good time to care for your health in the autumn and winter according to the regimen of TCM, and thus, hot springs, mountaineering and other featured wellness tourism are expected to become a hit," said Zhao Zhongliang, a local home tourism operator.
 
now I read
Economic Watch: Key statistics revealing China's economic resilience
Xinhua| 2018-10-07 21:39:56
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Despite moderating investment and growing trade protectionism, China's economy has maintained solid growth momentum, economic officials said.

In the first four days of the week-long National Day holiday which ended on Sunday, Chinese consumers have set new record highs in daily data, with more than 100 million people traveling across China and approximately one million Chinese taking leisure trips overseas, posting a tourism revenue of more than 100 billion yuan.

In a longer perspective, the boost given by consumption to the Chinese economy has been significant. In the first half of the year, for instance, consumption contributed to 78.5 percent of the country's economic expansion, up 14.2 percentage points from the same period of last year.

From January to August, China's total retail sales of consumer goods have exceeded 24 trillion yuan, with the monthly consumption exceeding three trillion yuan for four consecutive months.

Meanwhile, the country's online retail sales rocketed by 28.2 percent to 5.52 trillion yuan during the first eight months, while the summer box office from June to August rose to 17.4 billion yuan.

Lu Shan, a senior statistician with the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), said that China's consumption market has been expanding steadily.

The growth of fixed-assets investment, another main engine of the Chinese economy, also showed new positive trends.

On the whole, China's fixed-assets investment from January to August has grown at a slower rate of 5.3 percent, down by two percentage points from the same period last year.

But in a breakdown analysis, NBS statistics showed the slowdown was mainly triggered by construction investment. Private investment, however, has expanded by 8.7 percent, 3.4 percentage points higher than the national average, while manufacturing investment has continued to rise for five consecutive months.

As the slowdown in construction investment was mainly caused by the shortage of capital, the Ministry of Finance has urged local governments to speed up the issuance of special bonds of 1.35 trillion yuan to sustain the financing for projects under construction.

NBS spokesperson Mao Shengyong said that a number of construction projects involving infrastructure facilities conducive to improving people's livelihood and enhancing the potential for economic development would be started soon.

To stabilize investment, China wanted to channel capital into where it was most needed such as agriculture, poverty alleviation and environmental protection.

As for exports, the third key engine of China's economic growth, China has become significantly less vulnerable to external uncertainties.

Official statistics showed that the country's foreign trade dependence degree, the ratio of total amount of foreign trade to the country's gross domestic product (GDP), has fallen from 64 percent in the year 2000 to 33.5 percent in 2017.

Only 19 percent of China's exports went to the U.S. in 2017. The 250-billion-USD Chinese exports subject to higher tariff duties imposed by the U.S. account for less than two percent of China's total GDP.

Long Guoqiang, deputy director of the Development Research Center of the State Council, said that the risks from trade frictions with the U.S. were "controllable" to China's overall exports and China's economic growth.

Fu Ziying, vice minister of commerce, said despite the trade frictions, stable progress was being made in China's foreign trade.

Chinese products have so far been exported to 231 countries and regions. Five years after China proposed the Belt and Road (B&R) Initiative, the country's foreign trade with the B&R countries has exceeded 5.5 trillion U.S. dollars.

Moreover, China posted a GDP growth rate of 6.8 percent in the first half of year, which has remained between 6.7 percent and 6.9 percent for 12 consecutive quarters.

With more than 10 million new jobs created in the first eight month, the country has seen a relatively low surveyed urban unemployment rate of five percent.

Consumer prices remained mild during the same period with a growth rate of 2 percent, while the foreign exchange reserve continued to stay strong, registering more than 3 trillion U.S. dollars at the end of September.

With such sound economic fundamentals, the Chinese government has more maneuvering room to facilitate its economic transformation for high-quality development.

On Sunday, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) decided to cut the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for RMB deposits by one percentage point starting from Oct. 15 to optimize the liquidity structure of commercial banks and the financial market and to reduce financing costs.

The PBOC said it will continuously implement a prudent and neutral monetary policy, refrain from using a deluge of stimulus and focus on targeted adjustment to maintain sound and sufficient liquidity.

Some of the liquidity unleashed will be used to pay back the 450 billion yuan of the medium-term lending facility that will mature on Oct. 15.

In addition, the liquidity of another 750 billion yuan will be injected into the market to support small and micro enterprises, private enterprises and innovative enterprises to enhance the vitality and resilience of the Chinese economy, strengthen endogenous growth momentum and promote the healthy development of the real economy, it said.
 

Anlsvrthng

Captain
Registered Member
The car manufacturing numbers showing stagnation.

12 mth rolling down by 1.6% from last year august vs this September.
 
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