Chinese Economics Thread

ahojunk

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By Du Xiaoying (China Daily) | Updated: 2016-04-13 07:49
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High-speed locomotives maker China Railway Rolling Stock Corp is eying contracts in more cities in the United States, including New York, Los Angeles and Philadelphia, after winning a $1.3 billion railcar deal in Chicago last month.

"New York is the most dynamic city in the world. It would be even better if the city's subway replaces its trains with CRRC's ones, like Boston and Chicago," said Yu Weiping, vice-president of CRRC, in New York on Monday.

CRRC is also bidding for a subway project in Los Angeles and a double-deck train contract in Philadelphia, Yu was quoted as saying by Bloomberg on Tuesday.

Chicago Transit Authority last month ordered 846 railcars from CSR Sifang America, a unit of CRRC, its second US deal in 18 months.

"The project is the largest track-vehicle purchase in the history of Chicago and China's largest subway train export to the developed countries," Yu said, adding that the products made by CRRC have been approved by the United States on aspects of technology and quality.

According to CRRC, international sales in 2015 rose 66.9 percent year-on-year, with a gross revenue of 26.57 billion yuan ($4.113 billion).

Last year, CRRC started several high-speed train projects, including China-Laos, China-Thailand, Hungary-Serbia, Russia, Jakarta-Bandung in Indonesia and the Pacific-Atlantic Railway.

Yu said the United Kingdom, Ireland, Spain and Serbia have also placed orders with CRRC in the past two months and Philadelphia sent a bidding invitation last week.

Explaining the reasons of winning bids overseas, Yu said its products have advantages on technology, quality, price, delivery, service, performance and social responsibility.

Last year, two trainmakers CSR Corp and China CNR Corp were merged to form CRRC to better compete with Germany's Siemens AG and France's Alstom SA.

China, home to the world's biggest high-speed rail network, has identified the sector as one of 10 focus industries in a blueprint for economic development.

A $567 million Boston deal that CNR won before the merger in 2014 was China's first major rail contract in North America. Its proposal was 50 percent cheaper than the Canadian giant Bombardier Inc's bid.

While CRRC is still committed to double its overseas sales to as much as $15 billion by 2020, it is also feeling the headwinds as the global economy weakens, Yu said.

"The world's rail-transport market is not as hot as in the past years, just like the global economy," said Yu. "Infrastructure construction needs money. The general demand is falling."

Zhou Mi, a senior research fellow at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, said that every country is working hard to improve their economic conditions through measures such as construction of infrastructure, which gives companies like CRRC business opportunities.

Zhou said expanding of equipment manufacturing overseas is China's goal and high-speed train fits into that strategy.

"China's companies should strengthen their advantages, the government should not take care of everything and let the market decide," he said.

Bloomberg contributed to this story.
 

ahojunk

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2016-04-27 08:47 | Global Times | Editor: Li Yan

Eight of 10 plants in the world built last year reportedly came from China, which experts believe is on track to becoming the world's top nuclear power producer.

China has stepped up nuclear development even as it enhances nuclear safety, news portal jiemian.com reported in February.

By 2020, China will have 90 nuclear plants, Chen Jining, minister of environmental protection, said, adding that China will overtake France as the second largest nuclear power producer in terms of installed capacity behind the US, China News Service reported on April 19.

"Developing nuclear energy is of strategic importance to China in tackling environmental pollution," said Gui Liming, a professor at Tsinghua University and expert on China's nuclear safety system.

He told the Global Times that the proportion of electricity generated by nuclear power is far less than that of other countries like South Korea. "China has improved its ability to ensure the safety of nuclear power plants in recent years. With maturing technologies, the country is confident to build more nuclear plants," Gui noted.

The Chinese mainland has 30 nuclear power plants with a total installed capacity of 28.31 gigawatts. It plans to reach a nuclear power capacity of 58 gigawatts, with an additional 30-gigawatt capacity by 2020, the Xinhua News Agency reported.

China renewed the construction of nuclear power plants in 2014 after suspending new construction following Japan's Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011, Xinhua reported.
 

ahojunk

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2016-04-27 08:08 | Xinhua | Editor: Mo Hong'e

China will rejuvenate its northeast rustbelt region through more reforms and economic restructuring, according to a policy document released Tuesday.

State-owned enterprises (SOEs) will be restructured, private firms will receive more support and regional cooperation will drive development, according to the document jointly published by the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee and the State Council.

The region's equipment manufacturing sector will be modernized, and high-end industries, the modern service sector and modern agriculture will all be supported, it said.

The northeast, including Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang provinces, was among the first regions in China to become industrialized. Its traditional industries include steel, automobile, shipbuilding, aircraft manufacturing and petroleum refining.

However, this once robust industrial base is bearing the brunt of a more-acute slowdown than the rest of the country, trailing well behind in terms of GDP growth.

Expediting the revitalization of the northeast, a major "pole" of China's economic growth, is a significant part of the country's modernization drive and overall economic restructuring, the document added.

The renewed action plan is reminiscent of a revitalization strategy rolled out by the central government in 2003, including a slew of supportive measures specially designed for the region.

The document, "Certain Opinions Regarding the Comprehensive Revival of Old Industrial Bases Including the Northeast," called the new strategy a "major policy for the new century," adding that this period would be crucial for reviving the region.

The region is experiencing growing downward pressure on growth while SOEs are lacking in vitality, according to the document.

By 2020, industries in recession and regions with dwindling resources should have transformed their growth patterns.

The region should have achieved medium-high growth, and should have met the target of building a moderately prosperous society by 2020, the document said.

In another ten years, northeast China should become the manufacturing base for advanced equipment and a strategic base for technological equipment. The region should become synonymous with new raw materials, modern agriculture and innovation.

Local governments should work to create an open and fair business environment and unleash economic vitality through eased approval procedures, the delegating of power to lower levels and improving services, according to the document.

The document called on local governments to improve SOE mechanisms and provide a favorable environment to make SOEs more competitive and an integral part of the regional revitalization drive.

SOEs should take the lead and seek efficiency through technology, restructuring and better management.

The development of the private sector will also be encouraged, with financing services for small and medium-sized businesses to be improved and investment access for private capital to be relaxed.

In addition, regional cooperation with northeast Asia, the Silk Road economic belt and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region will be stepped up.

The region should promote the development of advanced equipment manufacturing, in sectors including electricity, petrochemistry, mining, engineering, aviation and shipping, the document said.

The equipment manufactured by the northeastern provinces will not only be distributed on the domestic market, but the export of these products will be prioritized, too, it said. Guidance and support should be offered to steer industries from manufacturing to production-based services. The region should also develop the financial sector, modern logistics, as well as tourism and leisure sectors.

The northeastern region should make the most of the government's innovation and entrepreneurship drive to turn innovation into a major source of development, according to the document.

To promote innovation, the document underscored the need to establish an effective system for incubating regional innovation, integrating scientific and educational institutions into regional development, as well as talent training and introduction.

"The starting point -- and the ultimate goal of revitalizing the northeastern industrial bases -- is safeguarding and improving people's lives," according to the document, adding that the government must make sure tangible benefits are shared by all people.

The document also pinpointed tasks to improve social security net, add more jobs, upgrade urban public services and make the environment more livable.
 

ahojunk

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China's forex reserves rise for 2nd month
Xinhua, May 7, 2016

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A residents shows China's RMB and US dollar banknotes in Qionghai, south China's Hainan Province, Jan. 7, 2016. [Photo: Xinhua file photo/Meng Zhongde]

China's foreign exchange reserves rose for a second straight month in April, central bank data showed on Saturday, as fears about a weak yuan and capital outflow eased amid increasing signs of stabilizing economic growth.

China's foreign exchange reserves ended April at 3.2197 trillion U.S. dollars, up 7.1 billion U.S. dollars from March and beating market expectations of 3.20 trillion.

This marked a second month of increases following the unexpected rise in March that put an end to a falling streak since November, according to data from the People's Bank of China.

"A second month of rising reserves shows fears of cascading capital outflows are disappearing into the rear view mirror," said a research note by Bloomberg economists Tom Orlik and Fielding Chen.

Until recently, concerns about capital outflows had been on the rise as the economy slowed and the Chinese currency had fallen since China revamped its forex mechanism last year.

But resumed stability in international financial markets and positive signs in the domestic economy have reduced the pressure of capital outflow since the start of this year.

The Bloomberg economists attributed the relative stability in the reserves to a stable yuan, which dropped 0.38 percent against the U.S. dollar over the month, and rising property prices and stable equity markets that have given speculators a domestic asset to park their wealth in.

Signs of returning life in the real economy and policymakers' assurance on yuan stability also played a role.

The strength of the U.S. dollar has been weakening following the dovish stance of the U.S. Federal Reserve, enabling the yuan to hold steady. On the domestic front, increasing signs of firming recovery in China's economy also supported the currency's strength.

However, the Bloomberg economists pointed out that as anticipation of a Fed move builds dollar strength in the months ahead, China's central bank will face the more difficult task of managing the yuan without triggering a fresh round of market panic and capital exit.

They forecast the yuan will end 2016 at 6.67 against the U.S. dollar.

Saturday's data also showed China's gold reserves reached 74.75 billion U.S. dollars at the end of April, up from 71.48 billion U.S. dollars in March.
 
I noticed through Russian Internet (
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) Offshore finance: more than $12tn siphoned out of emerging countries
Analysis shows $1.3tn of assets from Russia sitting offshore, as David Cameron prepares to host anti-corruption summit

More than $12tn (£8tn) has been siphoned out of Russia, China and other emerging economies into the secretive world of offshore finance, new research has revealed, as
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prepares to host world leaders for an anti-corruption summit.

A detailed 18-month research project has uncovered a sharp increase in the capital flowing offshore from developing countries, in particular
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and China.

The analysis, carried out by Columbia University professor James S Henry for the
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, shows that by the end of 2014, $1.3tn of assets from Russia were sitting offshore. The figures, which came from compiling and cross-checking data from global institutions including the International Monetary Fund and the United Nations, follow the
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revelations of global, systemic tax avoidance.

Chinese citizens have $1.2tn stashed away in tax havens, once estimates for Hong Kong and Macau are included. Malaysia, Thailand and Indonesia – all of which have seen high-profile corruption scandals in recent years – also come high on the list of the worst-affected countries.

Henry, a former chief economist at consultancy McKinsey, told the Guardian his research underlined the fact that tax-dodging was not the only motivation for using tax havens – criminals and kleptocrats also made prolific use of their services to keep their wealth secret and their money safe.

He said the list of users of offshore jurisdictions was like the cantina scene in Star Wars, where a motley group of unsavoury intergalactic characters is assembled. Henry said: “It’s like the Star Wars scene: you have the tax dodgers in one corner, the arms dealers in another, the kleptocrats over here. There’s also those using tax havens for money laundering, or fraud.”

Oil-rich countries including Nigeria and Angola feature as key sources of offshore funds, the research finds, as do Brazil and Argentina. Henry said the owners of this hidden capital were often so keen to secure secrecy and avoid their wealth being appropriated back home, that they were willing to accept paltry financial returns rather than investing it in ways that might promote economic development. Charging just 1% tax on this mountain of offshore wealth would yield more than $120bn a year, almost equivalent to the entire $131bn global aid budget.

The TJN is urging Cameron to push for agreement on a series of issues at anti-corruption summit on Thursday, including a tougher crackdown on the banks, lawyers and other professionals who facilitate financial secrecy and an obligation on all politicians to make their personal financial situation transparent.

The project is an update, for developing countries, on 2012 research which showed that, worldwide, more than $20tn was stashed away offshore. Henry said the number of tax havens had continued to increase over the period he studied, despite growing public pressure for action. On average, he said, the offshore capital belonging to developing countries had increased at 8% a year since 2010; 9% a year for
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and Russia, perhaps because of fears of economic and political instability. “People are voting with their feet,” he said.

The prime minister
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last month, after the Panama Papers leaks revealed that
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, based in the offshore jurisdiction of Panama.

Henry argued that when senior figures in authoritarian states such as China use tax havens to guard their money safely, they were effectively free-riding on the legal and financial systems of other countries. “All of these felons and kleptocrats are, in a way, essentially dependent on the rule of law when it comes to protecting their money,” he said.

He said it was not just exotic locations such as the Cayman Islands where money could effectively be hidden, but also some US states, such as Delaware, where it is possible for foreign investors to start up and run a company without making clear its ultimate ownership – something all UK firms will have to do from later this year.
source is The Guardian:
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AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
I remember when the news media was reporting that China was preventing foreign corporations from taking their profits they made in China out of the country. Turns out they were lying to cover-up how corporations hide their profits in other countries so it doesn't get taxed at home. It sort of like reporting only when the China stock market hits a low but never report in between how it went back up.
 

Blitzo

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Staff member
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The people´s daily is warning about the rising debt in china.

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Pretty sure there have been articles about debt dangers from state media for the last few months if not years...

I think the media are interested in portraying it as something like "the debt is getting so bad that even govt mouthpieces are admitting it," as part of the broader narrative I've noticed in the last couple of months suggesting that debt is now the harbinger of China's inevitable economic collapse (with currency outflow, stock market drop, being the major prior narratives of last year).
 
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