China's Westward One Belt One Road Strategy

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New Silk Road succeeds in cost reduction, less volatile than ocean freight
Published on 18-03-2019 at 08:00

According to the Drewry report, the competitiveness of rail services has increased due to the reduction in the cost of transportation and an increase in the speed of delivery throughout the year 2018. In all, 370 thousand TEU were transported by rail between China and Europe in 2018, an increase of 35% compared to 2017. About 75% of the total traffic volume was routed via Kazakhstan, with the gross transit volume soaring by 59% compared to 2017. This was due to the increase in the number of trains from 2167 in 2017 to 3384 in 2018, as well as the average number of carriages per train. The current imbalance of East-West freight traffic has decreased during 2018: the number of westbound trains grew by 37% compared to a 90% increase in eastbound trains.

As noted in the report, a comparison of the ERAI index with the Drewry World Container Index, representing the cost of shipping, shows that the cost of rail transportation is less volatile than the price of sea delivery. In addition, rail transport has achieved significant success in terms of cost reduction compared with maritime transport. Although sea routes still account for about 98% of the trade volumes between Europe and China, Drewry expects that rail transport to further improve its competitiveness. It is expected that cargo ships on the Asia — Europe trade will continue slow steaming, and freight charges will increase during 2019 and 2020, while the speed of rail traffic will increase. To summarize, Drewry experts forecast that in the coming years high rates of growth in rail traffic are expected, in part due to the low initial base.
 
While US wants to shut more doors, China opens new avenue for trade everyday benefiting all. Time will tell which strategy works.

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Russian Railways Head Oleg Belozyorov: "Container Shipping by Rail From China to Europe May Exceed 2 Million TEU/Year

Mar 18, 2019, 12:48 ET

VIENNA, March 18, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- The transit potential of railways in Asia and Europe was the main topic of discussion at the plenary session of International Railway Congress 2019 in Vienna today.

"The main idea behind the One Belt, One Road initiative is building the infrastructure needed to supply Chinese goods to the European Union. This initiative involves about 100 countries. For Russian railway workers, this is an opportunity to increase their share in the growing market for Eurasian transit," said CEO and Chairman of the Board of Russian Railways Oleg Belozyorov. He recalled that total volume of trade with China amounted to about $5 trillion. The railways in Russia and the Eurasian Economic Union traditionally play the role of a "land bridge" connecting largest economies of Europe and Asia.

"A few years ago, we could only speculate that around 600,000 containers would travel through Russia. As of now, this has been achieved. We have seen an increase of an additional 30% from the previous year. We could reach 2 million TEU a year or more," said Mr. Belozyorov.

To achieve this, Russian Railways, is planning to reduce time it takes to transport containers from the Far East to the western border of Russia to seven days. The implementation of large-scale infrastructure projects for BAM reconstruction and Trans-Siberian Railway, which will increase the speed of container trains from 1,150 to 1,500 km per day, is envisaged.

The construction of 1520-mm-gauge Košice–Bratislava–Vienna line is very important. "This project will bring the work of the railways to a new level. We will try new technologies to speed up border crossings and unifying legal issues. We need to focus our attention to ensure that it takes place as soon as possible," said Mr. Belozyorov.

He also named several important joint initiatives to increase transit traffic.

"It is important for us to have a unified regulatory framework. Much has been done as part of the International Union of Railways, but more work is necessary. We need to quickly cross borders. We can cover long distances quickly, but the cargo sits at the border under customs clearance two whole days," he said.

Another key aspect, is digital technologies: "Tools such as blockchain and smart contracts can allow us to make decisions in a matter of seconds and save billions of dollars."

SOURCE JSC Russian Railways (RZD)
 
gosh
When a string of pearls becomes a noose
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:

China has agreed to provide a loan of $989 million to
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to build an expressway that will connect the island nation’s tea-growing central region to a China-run seaport on the southern coast, the island’s finance ministry said Friday.

The
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has agreed to provide a loan covering 85 percent of the contract price for Central Expressway Project — Section 1, whose total cost is $1.16 billion. The loan is the single largest loan approved by the bank for Sri Lanka, according to a statement from the finance ministry.

The loan agreement was signed on Friday by finance ministry Secretary R H S Samaratunga and Cheng Xueyuan, China’s ambassador in Sri Lanka on behalf of the Export-Import Bank, at the Ministry of Finance in the capital
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.

The expressway will create "an uninterrupted connectivity" among Hambantota district towns with the China-run port, an airport near Colombo, and Kandy in the central region, where the famed Ceylon tea grows.

The statement said the proposed highway will improve the inter-regional connectivity and efficiency of the entire expressway network and added that it will link "several provinces and economically important ports, airports and commercial cities."

The loan comes as Sri Lanka struggles to repay $5.9 billion in foreign loans this year, of which 40 percent must be paid by the end of this month. The country used its reserves to repay a $1 billion sovereign bond loan in January.

Much of Sri Lanka's foreign debt is from China, with loans obtained to build highways and other infrastructure projects, including some that have become white elephants, deepening the country's debt burden.

Sri Lanka leased the Chinese-built port in Hambantota, which is near the world's busiest east-west shipping route, to a Chinese firm in 2017 for 99 years in a bid to recover from the heavy burden of repaying a loan obtained the country received to build the facility.

The port is part of Beijing's so-called string-of-pearls plan for a line of ports stretching from Chinese waters to the Persian Gulf.

China’s influence in Sri Lanka makes neighboring India anxious because it considers the Indian Ocean region to be its strategic backyard. The Sri Lankan government has been trying to balance its relationship with the Asian giants.

Sri Lankan officials have reiterated that the port's security will be handled by the government in an attempt to allay fears that the port could be used by China as a military hub.

China says about 150 countries have signed Belt and Road related agreements since the program's launch more than five years ago. A major conference is planned next month in Beijing, marking further expansion of the initiative.

Beijing has marketed the initiative as a way to give some of the world's neediest countries a leg up, helping them gain access to more trade and investment. But it also helps Chinese companies tap new markets for their products while helping Beijing amass greater global influence.

Some governments, including the United States, Japan and India, worry that Beijing is trying to build a China-centered sphere of influence that would undermine their own sway, pulling developing nations into so-called “debt traps” that would give China ever-more control over their territories and economies.
 

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by Nguon Sovan, Mao Pengfei

KAMPONG SPEU, Cambodia, March 22 (Xinhua) -- Cambodian Prime Minister Samdech Techo Hun Sen said here on Friday that the 2-billion-U.S.-dollar Chinese-invested expressway will play a crucial role to boost the economic development of Cambodia and to improve people's livelihoods.

Speaking at a groundbreaking ceremony for the construction of a 190-km expressway stretching from capital Phnom Penh to the deep-sea port province of Preah Sihanouk, Hun Sen said the super highway is the first of its kind in Cambodia.

He said the China Road and Bridge Corporation (CRBC) is investing about two billion U.S. dollars for the project, which will be taken four years to be constructed, starting from March 2019 to March 2023.

"On behalf of the Cambodian government, I'd like to express my profound gratitude to the Chinese government for supporting this project, and to the CRBC for investing in it," he said.

The expressway will be built on a Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) model, he said, adding that when it is operational, the firm will collect tolls from road users based on the sizes and types of vehicles.

"This expressway is very important to connect the country's first economic pole, Phnom Penh, to the second economic pole, Sihanoukville," Hun Sen said.

"We believe that it will become an importantly strategic road that will contribute to boosting Cambodia's economic growth."

The prime minister said that the thoroughfare will increase logistics efficiency in the country, and reduce cost of goods transportation and travel period.

"Currently, travel between the two destinations takes about five hours, but when the expressway is built, it will take only two and a half hours," he said.

Meanwhile, Hun Sen said China's progress has not only given direct benefits to the Chinese people, but also provided advantages to other developing countries, especially those along the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

Speaking at the event, visiting Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Kong Xuanyou said as a good brother, friend, partner, and neighbor of Cambodia, China attached great importance to the development of relations with Cambodia based on the principle of mutual respect, equality and mutual benefit.

"I believe that the Phnom Penh-Sihanoukville expressway will not only provide enormous benefits to the Cambodian people, but also be a road of friendship and cooperation between China and Cambodia," he said.

Kong said China has so far built more than 3,000 km of roads and eight large bridges in Cambodia and that Chinese aid and investment to Cambodia are "sincere", aiming at supporting the country's socio-economic development and poverty reduction.

He said the super highway project was born of cooperation between China and Cambodia under the BRI.

Cambodian Minister of Public Works and Transport Sun Chanthol said the expressway will connect Phnom Penh's Pursenchey district to the southwestern coastal province of Preah Sihanouk through Kandal, Kampong Speu, and Koh Kong provinces.

"It is a strategic road and is the most important breath of Cambodia's economy," he said.

He said the super highway will reduce traffic from National Road No. 4, which is the busiest road connecting Phnom Penh to the deep-sea port province of Preah Sihanouk.

"It will play an important role in enhancing the efficiency of goods transportation and logistics system in Cambodia," Chanthol said.

"Also, it will facilitate companies and people in transporting their products to local markets or to international markets through the international deep-sea port."

The expressway will have two lanes for each direction and vehicles can travel with a speed of 100 km per hour.

When it is open for traffic, the firm will not collect tolls for all kinds of vehicles for the first month, and then, it will offer a 20-percent discount for the first year, the minister said.

CRBC's chairman Lu Shan said the project is a testament to the solid friendship between China and Cambodia, and is the alignment between China's BRI and Cambodia's Rectangular Strategy.

During the construction, the expressway will create 6,000 jobs for Cambodians, and in the operational period, it will provide more than 2,000 jobs, he said.

Lu said the project will be environment-friendly and the company will train local staff in the majors of road construction and maintenance, and business administration.

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YANGON, March 22 (Xinhua) -- Myanmar's Fruit, Flower and Vegetable Producer and Exporter Association is seeking certification from China for export of eight more kinds of crops legally through more border gates, according to the association Friday.

The eight kinds of agricultural products include avocado, pomelo, banana, pineapple, elephant foot yam, jackfruit, rambutan and lemon.

Currently, only five kinds of agricultural products such as rice, water melon, muskmelon, mango and plum are on the list approved by Chinas General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine (AQSIQ) to be exported through Muse border gate.

Those eight kinds of crops not included in the permitted list before were exported illegally to China and were seized, so the association is seeking permission to export the crops legally through more border gates such as Kanpiketee, Lwejei and others in addition to Muse, said the association chairman U Soe Than Min Din.
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
Luxembourg joins ranks of BRI participants after Italy to be part of inclusive initiative
via Taishang
By Zhang Hongpei and Yang Kunyi Source:Global Times Published: 2019/3/28
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Second EU member after Italy to be part of inclusive initiative
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Luxembourg Prime Minister Xavier Bettel delivers a speech at the
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Forum for Asia on Thursday. Photo: VCG

Another European country - Luxembourg - has signed an accord with China on the
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Initiative (BRI) following Italy, and more EU countries will join in the framework and benefit from future development opportunities, Chinese experts and EU officials told
the Global Times on Thursday.

Luxembourg Prime Minister Xavier Bettel signed an agreement with China on Wednesday to cooperate on the BRI when meeting Chinese Premier Li Keqiang at the Boao Forum for Asia, which runs from Tuesday to Friday, the Xinhua News Agency reported Thursday.

A memorandum of understanding on jointly building the BRI and financial cooperation documents were signed on Wednesday.

Bettel said Luxembourg firmly supported the China-EU comprehensive strategic partnership and the construction of the BRI, and it hoped to enhance mutually beneficial cooperation with China, according to Xinhua.

Li said China is ready to work with Luxembourg to expand two-way opening-up and deepen pragmatic cooperation, particularly financial cooperation.

China's Shenzhen Stock Exchange is building a central information hub with the Luxembourg Stock Exchange to allow investors to access green bonds traded in China on a single platform, bolstering the international influence of the green fixed-income instruments traded on the Shenzhen bourse, according to its official website on Wednesday.

Luxembourg's support for the China-proposed BRI came a week after Italy signed a memorandum with China to jointly advance the construction of the BRI. Italy officially became the first G7 country to join the BRI.

"President Xi Jinping's state visit to Italy has indicated a direction for China-Italy relations in the new era," said Gao Feng, spokesperson of China's
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, during a press briefing on Thursday.

Chinese and Italian enterprises have signed 10 commercial deals in such sectors as infrastructure and equipment and the two nations will also develop cooperation in third-party markets to boost further economic exchanges and trade, said Gao.

Italy will attend the second China International Import Expo to be held later this year, said Gao, adding the Chinese market will be open to Italy where many good companies exist especially small- and micro-sized ones that provide high-quality goods and services.

"There will be more European countries joining the BRI," Michele Geraci, undersecretary of state with Italy's Ministry of Economic Development, told the Global Times on Thursday.

Geraci was in charge of helping Italy join BRI.

Chen Xin, research fellow at the Institute of European Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, told the Global Times on Thursday that the BRI differentiates itself from other plans in the way that it is open, inclusive and development-focused.

"It is important to note that this is an initiative that primarily aims at development for all countries involved," Chen said. "It is not a political plan, nor a plan for taking sides. It embraces all countries that are willing to join and is happy to provide development opportunities."

Due to its focus on development and the opportunities it brings, the BRI was already popular with Central European and East European countries, said Chen, adding that more developed countries like Italy and Luxemburg could persuade other countries that are still hesitating.

"Participation of countries like Italy can boost the confidence of other countries in southern and western Europe and encourage them to join the BRI," Chen said. "Much like participation in the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, countries tend to follow suit after one takes the initiative."

The BRI also means big potential opportunities for countries in Europe in multiple areas, Chen said.

"While European countries have comparative advantages in many sectors, many are now facing emerging problems in terms of their infrastructure and manufacturing industries," Chen said.

In Italy, for example, China can provide experience from its rapid infrastructure development, where there is strong demand, according to Chen.

Liu Jianying, an analyst from the Ministry of Commerce, told the Global Times that for Europe, the BRI can mean more opportunities and development for local economies.

"It can connect local economic development in Europe with other markets along the BRI route, and exchange resources, knowledge and technologies among different markets. For Europe, that also means huge market potential for its economies," Liu said.

Chen Qingqing contributed to this story
 

weig2000

Captain
After one defeat after another in its efforts in recent years to contain China and impede the growing Chinese influence around the world, the US is launching offensive in all possible arenas; they include Hong Kong (they're claiming Hong Kong's freedom and autonomy have been under increasing threat and some threatened to reconsider treating Hong Kong with separate status from the mainland), Taiwan (one after another Taiwan-related acts passed by Congress, potential large arm sales to Taiwan, and some Congressmen even suggest to recognize Taiwan as a country), and indeed Xinjiang and Uighurs as this article from the respectable Ambassador M. K. BHADRAKUMAR.

We will see how the US will fare in the new campaign against China, but early signs are not very promising.

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(US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo receiving Uighur activists, Washington, March 27, 2019)
The US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s meeting with Uighur Muslim activists in Washington DC, on March 27 is by no means a routine diplomatic event. Clearly, there is nothing personal about this meeting. Although Pompeo is a passionate Bible-reading Christian from the mid-west, his religiosity ends there and does not extend to the welfare of Muslims worldwide — be it Gaza or West Bank. Clearly, Washington has taken a considered step to make the ‘Uighur question’ a bilateral issue between Washington and Beijing.

According to the
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, Pompeo pledged “U.S. support to end China’s campaign of repression against Islam and other religions.” The readout referred to the so-called “internment camps since April 2017” in Xinjiang as well as China’s “repressive campaign”, which has made the million or more Uighurs “unable to speak for themselves, move freely, think for themselves, and undertake even the most basic practices of their religion.” The readout alleged that Chinese authorities subject Uighurs to “torture, repressive surveillance measures, homestays and forcible service of pork and alcohol.., confiscations of Qurans, and instances of sexual abuse and death.”

This is exceptionally harsh condemnation of China — and yet, no precipitate situation warranted it. And Xinjiang is a highly sensitive issue for China, too. No doubt, this is a deliberate act of provocation.

Ironically, the US-led orchestrated media campaign on the “internment camps” in Xinjiang is fizzling out. The US failed to make Xinjiang a Muslim issue complicating China’s relations with the Islamic world. The two most important beacon lights in the Muslim world — Saudi Arabia and Iran — dissociated from the western campaign on Uighur Muslims. The Saudi Crown Prince Salman bin Mohammed actually commended Beijing’s national policies toward Muslim populations in Xinjiang and other provinces.

Suffice to say, the US’ game plan to repeat the cold-war era strategy to pit socialism against Islam hasn’t gained traction in the present case involving Xinjiang. The US campaign on Xinjiang suffered a severe setback when the recent foreign-minister level meeting of the Organization of Islamic Conference (OIC) in Abu Dhabi on March 1-2 decisively turned its back on Washington. The OIC resolution, inter alia, recalled the “outcomes of the visit” of the group’s delegation last month to China (including Xinjiang) and said that the OIC “commends the efforts of the People’s Republic of China in providing care to its Muslim citizens; and looks forward to further cooperation between the OIC and the People’s Republic of China.”

Yet, the
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was pretty harsh in its criticism of the present Hindu nationalist government in India:

“Expresses deep concern over the growing activity of the extremist Hindu groups against Muslims in India trying to build a Hindu temple on the ruins of the historic Babri Mosque; also expresses concern over the unnecessary delay in determining responsibility for the demolition of the Babri Mosque; and urges the Indian Government to see to it that the Babri Mosque is rebuilt on its original site”;

“Invites the (OIC) General Secretariat to continue to monitor the situation of Muslims in India and to collect further information on the challenges and difficulties they are facing, politically, socially and economically with a view to offering them the required assistance, and to report on the matter to the next ministerial conference”;

“Urges the Indian Government to take steps to improve the economic conditions of Muslims in India in line with the recommendations of the Sachar Committee Report”;

“Express deep concern over reports regarding ‘Forced Conversion’ of minorities in India by Hindu extremist elements through ‘Ghar Wapsi’ or ‘Home Coming’ campaign and education programmes aimed at obliterating practices and rituals related to other religions and distortion of historic facts”;

“Taking note with grave concern of a number of incidents in India where people have been killed, imprisoned and fined for slaughtering cows, especially on Eid- ul-Azha”.

Suffice to say, Beijing has been remarkably successful in persuading the Muslim countries that Xinjiang is not a Muslim issue. But, quite obviously, Washington won’t take ‘no’ for an answer from the Muslim world. What could be the motivations behind Pompeo bolstering the US’ sagging campaign on the Uighur issue?

There could be several calculations. The US diplomacy is famous for resorting to pressure tactic to extract concessions. The US’ trade war with China is entering a climactic stage and it pays to wage a ‘psywar’ when Beijing seems to be
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. Meanwhile, Washington watches with disquiet that China and Europe are getting along fine despite differences and are
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. Italy’s decision to join the Belt and Road and Airbus securing a
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for aircraft cut into US interests. Again, China’s financial and commercial expansion in Venezuela and
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is complementing Russia’s role in blocking an incipient transition in that country.

However, the most crucial factor here is that Uighurs constitute a significant percentage of the ISIS cadres who fought in Syria and Iraq, lost the war and are now regrouping in other theatres. According to Syrian government
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, anywhere up to 5000 had fought in various militant groups in Syria. Earlier on, the US downplayed the appearance of the ISIS in Afghanistan and used to shrug off the Russian and Iranian warnings. But lately, US commanders sing a different tune. Gen. Joseph Votel, the commander of US Central Command,
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while on a visit to Afghanistan in February, “They represent a very sophisticated and dangerous threat that we have to stay focused on.”

In the recent past, Moscow and Tehran have informed the UN details regarding the covert operation by the US to transfer the ISIS fighters from Syria and Iraq to Afghanistan. The US stonewalled at that time. But lately, the US has seized the ISIS presence in Afghanistan as an alibi for its open-ended military presence in the region even after a settlement with the Taliban.

Simply put, Pompeo’s meeting with Uighur separatist activists cannot but be seen in the backdrop of the endgame in Afghanistan and the rise of the ISIS in the Hindu Kush. Pompeo has made the Uighur question a political and diplomatic issue between the US and China at a time when militants from Xinjiang belonging to the ISIS are relocating to Afghanistan from Syria and Iraq.

On the other hand, the US is also using the presence of ISIS in Afghanistan to justify its permanent military and intelligence bases in that country (which borders Xinjiang.) Ask former Afghan President Hamid Karzai to explain the paradox and he would only say that this was exactly the strategy that the US pursued with the Taliban, too — waging the war against the Taliban in a way that prolonged the war and justified continued US military presence in a highly strategic region that includes Russia, China, Pakistan and Iran.

It could be that by bringing the Uighur issue to the centre stage, the US aims to erode China’s ‘soft power’ in Pakistan and Afghanistan, which are of course deeply religious Muslim countries. Indeed, if the US turns Afghanistan into a frontline ISIS state against China, that will put Pakistan in a most awkward position, apart from undermining Beijing’s plans to integrate Afghanistan into the Belt and Road.
 
now I read
China to avoid debt burden for BRI participating countries: envoy
Xinhua| 2019-04-08 00:29:17
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Li Chengwen, ambassador for China-Arab States Cooperation Forum Affairs of China's Foreign Ministry, refuted on Sunday the criticism that China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) will create so-called "debt trap" for some participating countries.

"China is trying to find mechanisms to avoid the 'debt trap,'" Li said during a session on the second day of the World Economic Forum on the Middle East and North Africa 2019 held in the Dead Sea area of Jordan.

The Chinese envoy was responding to the criticism directed at the BRI by some people in the United States and Europe ahead of the second Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation, due to be hosted by China later this month in Beijing.

The initiative, proposed by China in 2013, aims at building a trade and infrastructure network connecting Asia with Europe and Africa along the ancient trade routes of the Silk Road to seek common development and prosperity.

As of July 2018, more than 100 countries and international organizations had signed Belt and Road cooperation documents with China, extending the initiative's scope from the Eurasian continent to Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean, and the South Pacific region.

Li pointed out that no participating country has complained of falling into the so-called "trap" of Chinese loans.

"The Belt and Road Initiative aims to increase the economic prosperity of a country. It does not aim at expanding the political and geographical authority of China in the world," he said.

Many participants at the forum in Jordan agreed with Li's comments.

"If you keep your interest first, you will not find China an unfair partner," said Shandana Gulzar Khan, Pakistan's parliamentary secretary for commerce. "But it depends on how well you do your homework."

In Pakistan, a major BRI participating country, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor has created tens of thousands of jobs and revived the economy of an entire region, Khan noted.

Speaking at the session, He Wenping, a research fellow of the Institute of West-Asian and African Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, echoed Li's remarks.

"The biggest worry on the 'debt-trap diplomacy' should come from China's side, not from outside. It is tax payers' money," the Chinese professor said.

"China is not waving the 'China First' flag," she said.

The upcoming Belt and Road forum to be held in Beijing later this month could be an opportunity to kickstart a "second phase" of the initiative, she added.
 
now I read
Why China’s belt and road could be a surprise winner of the Indonesian presidential election
  • Joko Widodo has welcomed Beijing’s global infrastructure plan, while rival Prabowo Subianto has been pushing for a “better deal” for Indonesians
  • But the president is yet to gain any political dividends from China’s projects, while Subianto’s hostility may only be a form of political positioning
Updated: 6:55pm, 13 Apr, 2019
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When more than 190 million
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next week, the choice facing them might seem familiar. After all, the contenders – incumbent President
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and former general
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– are the same as in 2014’s elections. But it would be quite wrong to conclude that Indonesian politics is in for more of the same.
Whoever wins at the ballot box, there will be major implications not only for Indonesians, but also for the neighbours and global partners of what is the fourth largest country in the world and a member of the G20. Among those likely to be most affected is China, which views Indonesia as an important strategic partner in its global “
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”.
Widodo had initially been warm to Beijing’s strategy. He rubbed shoulders with Chinese President
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at the first Belt and Road Summit in Beijing in 2017, and subsequently appointed his confidante and Coordinating Maritime Affairs Minister Luhut Pandjaitan to negotiate deals with Beijing.
In contrast, Subianto appears less sanguine about Chinese investments, and has suggested that existing projects should be reviewed to see if
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can get a “better deal”.
Would a change of government in Indonesia lead to the retraction of deals with China, as was the case when the
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coalition toppled the Najib administration in the 2018 Malaysian election?

Closer scrutiny of the two candidates’ background and inclinations, as well as the sway of Indonesia’s political history, will show there are limits to how rosy the reception of China’s strategy can be under Widodo, and how a Subianto administration is not necessarily hostile to Chinese overtures.

For Widodo, the belt and road is timely because its emphasis on exporting Chinese infrastructure building capacity dovetails with his own signature agenda to develop infrastructure for Indonesia. Moreover, China’s willingness to finance infrastructure projects through Chinese banks or the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank resolves one of the main challenges of building infrastructure projects – the need for massive injections of capital.

However, the rapprochement between Indonesia and China over infrastructure projects has not been smooth at all. The flagship project of this relationship – the Jakarta-Bandung High Speed Rail Project (JBHSRP) – has been stalled by regulatory and land acquisition issues since it was awarded to China in September 2015. Originally expected to be completed by 2019, it is now hoped to be finished in 2021, if no further delays intervene.

Widodo has not been able to draw political dividends from Chinese investments. In fact, he has had to distance himself from China and Chinese-funded projects to combat the image that he is a henchman of the Chinese, and fake news claiming that he is a communist and of Chinese descent.

In spite of his popularity, Widodo cannot turn the tide of the anti-China sentiments widespread in Indonesia. These sentiments are underpinned by the belief that China was involved in the alleged communist coup of 1965, and fears that Chinese investments and imported labour will deplete Indonesia of its rich resources and jobs.

These constraints will continue to be there even if Widodo wins a second term in office, although the fake news is likely to lose traction without the political ferment of an election year. As with his first term in office, Widodo’s interest in the belt and road will be focused more on how Chinese investments can meet the needs of domestic priorities, rather than the international ties and “strategic partnership” afforded by Xi’s global vision. As a Javanese who has not lived outside the Javanese heartlands till his assumption of the Jakarta governorship in 2012, it is understandable that Widodo will be more interested in Indonesia’s domestic well-being than its international standing.

Subianto’s apparent “hostility” towards Chinese investments should be read as a form of political positioning vis-à-vis Widodo. If he does form the next government, he needs to impress his own political stamp by not simply accepting the deals brokered by the last government; hence the threat to review all Chinese projects, starting with the JBHSRP.

But there are two aspects to Subianto’s background that suggest a Subianto administration may not be as hostile to China as we may imagine. First, Subianto belongs to a breed of Indonesians that is highly cosmopolitan, having lived in Singapore, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Switzerland and the United Kingdom when he was growing up. As his vice-presidential running mate, Sandiaga Uno, declared to this author in an interview, “Prabowo-Sandi are not anti-asing [anti-foreign]”, but are keen to attract foreign investments as long as they conform to “fair trade”.

Subianto would have ambitions and be comfortable as a statesman, which would likely lead to a stronger international presence for Indonesia.

Second, Subianto’s military background may actually allow him more leeway to associate with China. As the military is notorious for its distrust of China for the historical reason mentioned earlier, this may actually inoculate Subianto from accusations of selling out to China. We can see that while Widodo has been denounced by some for being too cosy with China, his predecessor, retired general Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, has never had to face such a charge.

Thus, while a second Widodo administration will continue to be open to the belt and road, it will also be wary of Chinese investments and place significant constraints on how Chinese firms operate in Indonesia to protect domestic interests. On the other hand, it would be premature to suggest that Chinese investments and projects in Indonesia would definitely go south under a Subianto administration. In fact, given Subianto’s background, and with Uno advising him, we should expect an interesting twist in the plot.
 
yes yes I read
Opinion 10:05, 05-May-2019
BRI will politically stabilize Africa
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Algeria and Sudan recently experienced sudden changes of government following widespread protests that were mostly motivated by economic factors, causing some to remark that the 2011 Arab Spring might be returning to the region.

Whether it's North Africa or other parts of the continent, Africa, as a whole, has been afflicted with developmental problems ever since the onset of decolonization because its many countries have had serious challenges rectifying the problems of the past and integrating into the world economy on an equal basis as their international peers elsewhere in the world.

These difficulties have oftentimes been compounded with corruption and civil war, which have altogether resulted in Africa being regarded as a troublesome place rife with instability and poverty. Predictably, its population isn't pleased with this state of affairs and sometimes protests in order to draw the attention of authorities to their plight, which occasionally sets into motion larger processes that eventually lead to regime change.

This cycle is doomed to repeat itself indefinitely unless African countries finally implement a sustainable developmental solution that properly satisfies the needs of their population. All conflicts can be traced back to economic factors, be it a peripheral region or minority group that aren't receiving their fair share of the national wealth or an urban populace that takes to the streets after a sudden deterioration in their living standards caused by an unexpected increase in the price of basic foodstuffs.

These driving factors can be due to state mismanagement, systemic vulnerabilities, or external factors, but the fact remains that economic issues are the root cause of conflicts anywhere in the world, whether in Africa or elsewhere.

This is why the implementation of sustainable developmental solutions needs to be urgently prioritized. The current model that's been mostly in use across the continent has failed in this respect, hence why it's time for a new and visionary approach to tackle the developmental problem.

The China-proposed Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is the answer that Africans are looking for. This global series of projects aims to incorporate the developing world into the global economy on a much fairer basis through the construction of new infrastructure that will reach throughout their countries and bring far-flung people and peripheral regions into the national mainstream, which will consequently provide them with better access to the international economy.

In addition, BRI's infrastructure projects will reduce both the costs and time of doing business, therefore opening up countless entrepreneurial opportunities for Africans. It must be said that each government is responsible for ensuring that all of its citizens benefit from the BRI and that wealth isn't concentrated among one ethnic group or region like had earlier been in certain countries, which contributed to the outbreak of conflicts there.

Chinese investments are already producing impressive results that hint at the promising future that awaits the rest of Africa. Under the BRI, an increasing number of countries are fairly integrated into the global economy.

The Mombasa-Nairobi Standard Gauge Railway connects the Kenyan capital to its primary seaport and has plans to expand deeper into the heart of Africa as far as Uganda and possibly one day even the Congo, while the Addis Ababa-Djibouti Railroad links the capital of Africa's second-most populous country to the strategically positioned coastal state of Djibouti to give landlocked Ethiopia reliable access to the sea.

It's not an exaggeration to say that these two projects are transforming the host countries and bringing unprecedented development to their people. This, in turn, will reduce the likelihood of economically-driven protests, thus contributing to the political stabilization in the region.

With Kenya and Ethiopia as the perfect examples of the benefits that BRI can bring to African countries, it's no wonder why the rest of the continent is eager to participate in this initiative as well.
 
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