China Ballistic Missiles and Nuclear Arms Thread

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Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
This new model is 30% more powerful and has off road capability make it more difficult to find as they can hide in wood, bushes or hillock
New missile variant ‘could keep US carriers out’
Washington would have to think twice before sending any of its aircraft carriers into the Taiwan Strait
By ASIA TIMES STAFF JANUARY 30, 2018 5:52 PM (UTC+8)
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Media reports suggest that a new variant of China’s mighty DF-21D missile has just gone through pre-deployment tests by a specialist brigade of the People’s Liberation Army’s Rocket Force, and that it has ramped-up assault capabilities that could put an aircraft-carrier strike group out of action.

State broadcaster China Central Television and Sina Military reported that the new missile was “30%” more powerful than the previous-generation DF-21D, but no details of its specifications or the parameters of the tests were provided.

It is believed that the series’ launch vehicle has received a big boost to its ability to travel off-road, as compared with the previous model that required support vehicles and would need to park on a huge solid-surface area prior to a launch.

It is not clear if the missile itself has been improved in terms of range or speed.

CGI-of-Chinese-DF-21C-Anti-ship-Ballistic-Missile-ASBM-in-Action-DF-21D-CSS-5-Mod-4-Anti-ship-ballistic-missilemaneuverable-re-entry-vehicle-MaRVs-american-united-states-usn-navy-aicraft-carrier-nuclear-attacked-destroy.jpg

A computer-generated image illustrates the DF-21D missiles in action. Photo: Handout
When the missile family first entered service in early 2000s, it was said to be the world’s first hypersonic, satellite-guided anti-ship ballistic missile capable of targeting a moving aircraft carrier, with a maximum range exceeding 1,450 kilometers on the strength of its maneuverable re-entry vehicles, a terminal guidance system and over-the-horizon radar.

It is thought to be able to carry high-explosive and submunition warheads, as well as a nuclear warhead of 300 kilotons.

In a nutshell, the might of the DF-21D family, nicknamed “carrier killer,” means that Washington would have to think twice before sending its carriers into the Taiwan Strait and risking the lives of its crews should Beijing mount an invasion to reclaim the self-ruling island, which it considers a breakaway province.

In the 1995 Taiwan Strait crisis, the Pentagon dispatched the USS Nimitz to pass through the strait in a high-profile co-defense posture after Beijing held drills in the East China Sea in a bid to discourage Taiwanese against electing a pro-independence president. Beijing had to back down amid Washington’s intervention.

With the DF-21D missile, Beijing has erased that ignominy.

A 2009 US Naval Institute report confirmed the formidable threat of the missile, noting that its warhead would be large enough to destroy a carrier in one hit and that in theory there was “currently no defense against it.”

The Pentagon has marshaled ballistic-missile defense destroyers as well as missile interceptors to the Pacific to give carrier groups stationed there sufficient warning to move away from a targeted area whenever the missile is airborne.

The DF-21D has also been developed into a space-capable anti-satellite variant.

The missile has been deployed along China’s coast in such provinces as Fujian, Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong and Liaoning to make sure that warships in the Taiwanese and Japanese navies and even of the US Seventh Fleet are overawed in the event of a military showdown in the Taiwan Strait.
 
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Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
9th (?) Test of ICBM DF-41, and many others ...
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The Chinese New Year is fast approaching, but the strength of the Chinese rocket does not seem to have stopped. And for proof, we recorded no less than 18 activities likely to be related to the ballistic tests for the month of January alone, including a supposed shot of the mobile ICBM DF-41 that would have occurred on Friday, January 26.

The test was reported by two airmail messages (NOTAM) A0282 / 18 and A0286 / 18, which prohibit overflight over two air segments and a rectangular shaped area approximately 394 km long and 59 km long. wide, with the take-off point that would be near the Taiyuan Space Center (TSLC).

And we find exactly the same restriction zones in two previous tests of DF-41 -
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and
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- both confirmed directly or indirectly by the Chinese Ministry of Defense and US government sources,
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.

It would therefore be, a priori, the 9th test of DF-41 known publicly.

A0282 / 18
Q) ZLHW / QRTCA / IV / BO / W / 000/999 / 4016N10234E108
A) ZLHW B) 1801261218 C) 1801261354
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED BY:
N404100E1015512-N401152E1045504-N394016E1044540-N395330E1031232-
N402046E1001301-N405240E1002036 BACK TO START.VERTICAL LIMITS
: GND-UNL.
F) GND G) UNL

A0286 / 18
Q) ZLHW / QARLC / IV / NBO / E / 000/999 / 4020N10322E166
A) ZLHW B) 1801261216 C) 1801261400
E) FLW SEGMENTS OF ATS CLSD RTE:
1.A596: YABRAI VOR 'YBL'-DENGKOU VOR 'DKO'
2.B330: YABRAI VOR 'YBL'-GOBIN.

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The Restricted Zones reported by the NOTAMs for the assumed firing of DF-41 as of January 26, 2018 (Image: East Pendulum)

upload_2018-1-30_10-24-15.png

According to these two NOTAM, the flight would have occurred around 12:18 UTC, or 8:18 pm Beijing time, ie in the evening of January 26 last. It should be noted that the shooting was initially scheduled earlier in the day, around 08:05 UTC, but the window had to be shifted to make room for another test still presumed ballistic, which would have occurred around 08:50 UTC.

So there would have been not one but two ballistic tests in the same day, the first of the shortest range, estimated at a little more than 1,000 km, from the Jiuquan Space Center (JSLC), then the supposed one from DF-41 which allegedly flew a little more than 2,000 km with a probable bell-shaped trajectory from Taiyuan center.
 
Minimal deterrence needs an upgrade.

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JANUARY 30, 2018 / 5:19 AM / UPDATED 12 HOURS AGO
Chinese military paper urges increase in nuclear deterrence capabilities
Reuters Staff

3 MIN READ

BEIJING (Reuters) - China must strengthen its nuclear deterrence and counter-strike capabilities to keep pace with the developing nuclear strategies of the United States and Russia, the official paper of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) said on Tuesday.

U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration may be pursuing the development of new nuclear weaponry and could explicitly leave open the possibility of nuclear retaliation for major non-nuclear attacks, according to a draft of a pending Nuclear Posture Review leaked by the Huffington Post.

This “unprecedented” move by the United States, combined with continuous quality improvements of nuclear arsenals in both the U.S. and Russia, means that both countries place greater importance on deterrence and real combat usability, the commentary in the PLA Daily said.

“In the roiling unpredictability of today’s world, to upgrade the capability of our country’s deterrence strategy, to support our great power position... we must strengthen the reliability and trustworthiness of our nuclear deterrence and nuclear counterstrike capabilities,” it said.

The article was written by two researchers from the PLA Academy of Military Science, a top research institute directly responsible to China’s Central Military Commission.

A change was necessary despite China having developed nuclear weapons to avoid bullying from nuclear powers, the paper said, adding that China would always stick to the principle of “no first use” and a final goal of eliminating nuclear weapons.

Neither Russia nor the United States is abandoning nuclear weapons as each adopts new high-tech weapons capabilities, the paper said, pointing to the U.S. Congressional Budget Office’s estimate of maintenance and modernization of the U.S. nuclear arsenal over the next 30 years costing more than $1.2 trillion.

This spend, the paper said, has led to a corresponding Russian military modernization program, aiming to boost the share of advanced armaments in its nuclear triad to at least 90 percent by 2021.

Chinese President Xi Jinping is overseeing an ambitious military modernization program, including developing advanced nuclear-capable missiles. China carried out its first nuclear weapons test only in 1964.

Trump’s strong embrace of his predecessor President Barack Obama’s nuclear modernization program has led some former senior U.S. government officials, legislators and arms control specialists to warn of risks from the U.S. stoking a new arms race.

A U.S. national defense strategy released on Jan. 19 shifted priorities to put what Defense Secretary Jim Mattis called a “great power competition” with China and Russia at the heart of the country’s military strategy.

Reporting by Christian Shepherd; Editing by Clarence Fernandez
 

Orthan

Senior Member
can anyone tell the reason of why china has so many ICBM projects (DF-5B, DF-31A, DF-31AG, DF-41)? Seems to me like a waste of resources. they should just pick DF-41 and dump the rest.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
can anyone tell the reason of why china has so many ICBM projects (DF-5B, DF-31A, DF-31AG, DF-41)? Seems to me like a waste of resources. they should just pick DF-41 and dump the rest.
Smaller TELs are easier to transport and hide, which helps with survivability. Also, earlier designs are already deployed. No point scrapping them.
 

Orthan

Senior Member
Smaller TELs are easier to transport and hide, which helps with survivability. Also, earlier designs are already deployed. No point scrapping them.
Surely having smaller TEL´s is no reason to have so many different programs. Besides, those "earlier" designs are not so old. DF-31AG seems to be a new design.
 
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