China Ballistic Missiles and Nuclear Arms Thread

Discussion in 'Strategic Defense' started by peace_lover, Nov 4, 2005.

  1. Hyperwarp
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    Hyperwarp Senior Member

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    Here is an estimate of the DF-31A/31B range reduced to 9000 km and 10000 km:

    ICBM-Coverage-mod1.jpg
     
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  2. SanWenYu
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    SanWenYu New Member
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    No you didn't say that exactly but I think you implied it when saying China's GDP today is 65x of that in 1980s...
     
  3. antiterror13
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    antiterror13 Senior Member

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    very interesting logic ... where did you learn that logic?
     
  4. SanWenYu
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    SanWenYu New Member
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    Alright, perhaps I was misunderstanding you? My point is that China does not need more nuclear weapons for being richer.
     
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  5. antiterror13
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    antiterror13 Senior Member

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    cool, but a lot easier for China to develop/produce them when China is richer and more advanced, no?
     
  6. SanWenYu
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    SanWenYu New Member
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    Yes. The question is whether PLA really need many more nuclear weapons now.
     
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  7. antiterror13
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    antiterror13 Senior Member

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    Personally I would say yes (based on limited info of Chinese nuke), 260 is way too few. I'd say minimum 1,000 ... who knows China may already have that many ... which I wouldnt be surprised
     
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  8. SanWenYu
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    SanWenYu New Member
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    The problem is exactly that we, as amature China military watchers, know almost nothing about the quality and quantity of Chinese nuclear weapons. Guessing how many more China will need is therefore meaningless in my opinion.

    Apparently the existing nuclear weapons, together with the conventional ones, have held up successfully for China against potential threats. We must reasonably assume that the quality and quantity are adequate in 2016.

    If the world in 2017 isn't going to be dramatically worse than in 2016, China wouldn't suddenly need more nukes for no reason.
     
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  9. antiterror13
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    antiterror13 Senior Member

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    Agree. Trump factor may change that
     
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  10. SanWenYu
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    SanWenYu New Member
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    Yeah he is unpredictable so far. But I am not pessimistic about the Sino-US relationship yet. The stakes are just too high for both sides to sever the relationship. In the years to come, there might be tensions or even stand-offs here and there but overall I am hoping they are still willing to talk to each other at the end.

    So no I still don't think China will need more nuclear weapons soon. Better ones, yes.
     
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