China Ballistic Missiles and Nuclear Arms Thread

Discussion in 'Strategic Defense' started by homeless, Mar 3, 2006.

  1. SanWenYu
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    SanWenYu New Member
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    The problem is exactly that we, as amature China military watchers, know almost nothing about the quality and quantity of Chinese nuclear weapons. Guessing how many more China will need is therefore meaningless in my opinion.

    Apparently the existing nuclear weapons, together with the conventional ones, have held up successfully for China against potential threats. We must reasonably assume that the quality and quantity are adequate in 2016.

    If the world in 2017 isn't going to be dramatically worse than in 2016, China wouldn't suddenly need more nukes for no reason.
     
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  2. antiterror13
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    antiterror13 Senior Member

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    Agree. Trump factor may change that
     
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  3. SanWenYu
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    SanWenYu New Member
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    Yeah he is unpredictable so far. But I am not pessimistic about the Sino-US relationship yet. The stakes are just too high for both sides to sever the relationship. In the years to come, there might be tensions or even stand-offs here and there but overall I am hoping they are still willing to talk to each other at the end.

    So no I still don't think China will need more nuclear weapons soon. Better ones, yes.
     
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  4. plawolf
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    plawolf Senior Member

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    I wasn't aware the DF41 was operational yet. Although China does go out of its way to obscure its nuclear developments, so it may indeed be operational, but I prefer to err on the side of caution and assume it isn't for now.
     
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  5. plawolf
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    plawolf Senior Member

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    How official are the range estimates of 11,000km+?
     
  6. Hyperwarp
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    Hyperwarp Senior Member

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    I don't think PLARF releases actual specs on strategic assets, but the US DoD says the following - https://www.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/2016 China Military Power Report.pdf

     
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  7. supercat
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    supercat New Member

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    Does China have enough nuclear weapons that can
    1. survive a first strike by the U.S.?
    2. penetrate the U.S. missile defense to deliver sufficient damage to prevent a first strike?

    I doubt it. Considering that China was subject to nuclear blackmail several times in its recent history, I think China's policy makers should err on the side of over-capability and build up a credible second strike capability as soon as possible - with China's current economical strength, there are no compelling reasons not to do so.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_blackmail
     
  8. antiterror13
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    antiterror13 Senior Member

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    there is no nuclear blackmail toward China since China has had nuclear weapon
     
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  9. Equation
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    Equation Senior Member

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    China's advancing HGV will put all that so called "US first strike and nuclear blackmail" to mute. By the way I believe the US doesn't do first nuclear strike upon anybody unless they get attacked first (by nukes).
     
  10. supercat
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    supercat New Member

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    But it's the future that I worry about, especially in the case of Taiwan crisis. There are always hawks among America's policy makers and advocates of America's policies that harbor some very dangerous intentions.

    https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2006-03-01/rise-us-nuclear-primacy
     
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