When I retired from the USN they had 15 carriers. So I imagine that number would hold. Plus all Tico CGs would still be in service along with all Spruance class DDs equipped with Mk 41 VLS. Those numbers would be needed to complete Carrier Strike Groups(CSG).US Navy:
12 to 15 supercarriers in service by keeping the older ones in service.
Seawolf-class SSN built in large numbers.
Zumwalt-class DDG built in significant numbers
USN CSG would still be deploying to the Mediterranean and Persian Gulf region.
We could even see the four Iowa class still operational and fully re-fit with probably Mk 41 VLS. One Iowa may be forward deployed in the Pacific. Possibly Yokosuka or Hawaii.
In addition the Naval Station at Subic Bay would be open to keep with ships operating their to keep an eye on the Soviets and Chinese in the Pacific..Not to mention the logistic support available at Subic Bay.
The USN would still be deploying P-3s to Guam, Diego Garcia and Iceland.
In Germany the US would have US Army & USAF forces still peaking in strength around 225,000.
The USAF would still have Tactical aircraft stationed in the Philippines and still than today aircraft in Hawaii, Guam & Japan.
Yes in my opinion the situation would be a lot different.