This is a discussion on Does China possess the technical ability to develop MIRV technology for ICBM? within the Strategic Defense forums, part of the China Defense & Military category; MIRV is basically payload miniaturization and payload separation/separation sequence control looking at China's successful civilian space launches and rocket capabilities, ...
MIRV is basically payload miniaturization and payload separation/separation sequence control
looking at China's successful civilian space launches and rocket capabilities, it's hard to think that it's not within 2nd Artillery's research capability or deployed capability
in this modern day, single warhead ICBM without decoys/jamming or MIRVed warheads is simply not a survivable platform, IMHO
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Don't get me wrong, I'm the last person to write off russian assistance with the indigenous arms industry but classing it as a single variable which could change the entire pace of development as you said is incorrect.
Also, there has been development in long range BM, but it may not have been as much as other areas namely because the threat of nuclear war is secondary compared to the threat of conventional war (so IRBMs, LACMs and SRBMs are taking priority along with everything else from aircraft to ships).
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This is one of the stranger questions I've come across. It may have been relevant had it been asked in 1992.
At least the original DF-31 was a single warhead design, but in the later versions RV area is covered with a shroud. That shroud makes it impossible to say if the missile is carrying more than one warhead.
Here is what nuclearweaponarchive is saying about Chinese tests in 90's, if that all is true Chinese MIRVs have 100-300kt yield.
The final test series concluded in the spring and summer of 1996. According to Japanese government sources (reported in Nihon Keizai Shimbun), the penultimate underground Chinese nuclear test on 8 June 1996 (calculated at 20 to 80 kilotons) was actually a simultaneous detonation of multiple warheads (a common practice by both the U.S. and USSR). It was said to be part of a program to produce smaller warheads for submarine-launched and multiple-targeted missiles. Overall, the yields since 1990 have suggested that two warheads have been in development: one in the 100-300 kt range, and one in the 600-700 kt range.
I'm not sure why Kristensen says that Chinese would not want to have MIRVs, if you have less missiles than enemy then wouldn't MIRVs make even more sense?
one would try to stick with single warheads if they are not confident with their MIRV technologies
ensuring the warhead delivery success would be a priority before deploying multiple warheads and or other warhead modifications
but like Igor said, if it's 1992 the topic could have been a valid one
we just need to look at the civilian launches to see what China's capable of, multi micro satellites and payload piggybacking has been done many times
That's what I've been saying over and over again. China's space capabilities are a mirror of her missile/warhead capabilities. Many of the technical capabilities required for one, are fundamental to the other.
Nothing conclusive but Think Tanks like the Claremont Institute depicts the DF-31 having multiple MIRVs: MissileThreat :: CSS-9 (DF-31/DF-31A) Then again...they may ulterior motives like drumming up the dangers of Nuclear Missile threats i.e. name.